Tempting-Wash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$4.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-29 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

41% 67% +$63

Crypto

31% 64% $-1

Politics

28% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$422	585	585	+0	open	—	04-20 00:09
crict20blast dur lan 2026 06 09	2	$236	186	186	+0	open	—	06-09 22:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$218	167	167	+0	open	—	04-26 21:34
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$163	103	103	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$43	05-10 14:48
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Islamabad United	2	$162	90	90	+1	open	—	04-23 12:58
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	3	$151	97	97	+0	open	—	06-17 00:02
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$144	158	85	+73	open	—	04-21 21:53
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$141	91	91	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$41	05-13 19:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$137	77	77	+0	open	—	04-21 19:40
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	2	$128	78	78	+0	open	—	05-15 19:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$124	127	127	+0	open	—	04-21 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	7	$122	93	93	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	3	$120	100	80	+21	open	—	04-28 00:43
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	1	$115	139	0	+139	open	—	06-24 00:37
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$114	61	61	+0	open	—	04-21 00:36
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$109	70	70	+0	open	—	04-20 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$108	74	74	+0	open	—	04-28 23:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$102	0	439	-439	open	—	06-15 10:29
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$102	65	65	+0	open	—	04-28 17:27
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	2	$97	67	67	+0	open	—	05-14 19:42
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$92	57	57	+0	open	—	05-17 19:54
cricmlc mi los 2026 06 27	2	$88	106	106	+0	open	—	06-28 00:45
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	2	$84	75	75	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-22	05-10 18:03
crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 13	2	$75	100	100	+0	open	—	06-14 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	7	$69	110	69	+42	open	—	04-28 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$54	71	52	+18	open	—	04-27 20:29
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	1	$52	71	0	+71	open	—	05-01 17:09
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	05-17 19:52
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Peshawar Zalmi	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	04-25 16:51
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Karachi Kings	1	$49	88	0	+88	open	—	04-23 17:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 23:17:40	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	42	61¢	$25	0xafb668…
06-29 22:54:47	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xa6d526…
06-28 00:45:07	cricmlc mi los 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Knight Riders	SELL	106	4¢	$4	0x948dd0…
06-27 23:25:53	cricmlc mi los 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Knight Riders	BUY	106	79¢	$84	0xf90cf6…
06-25 21:41:08	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0xee1ef4…
06-24 00:37:47	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	139	83¢	$115	0x7d8b88…
06-17 00:02:08	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	97	99¢	$96	0xf1e727…
06-16 22:50:14	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xee362b…
06-16 22:49:41	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x92a835…
06-15 10:29:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	222	7¢	$16	0x3eebed…
06-14 03:27:39	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 13	West Indies	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0xefa1cf…
06-14 01:54:48	crint wst2 lka2 2026 06 13	West Indies	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x47b950…
06-11 17:51:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	217	40¢	$87	0xf8e477…
06-09 22:56:22	crict20blast dur lan 2026 06 09	Lancashire	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x79d9e5…
06-09 20:06:00	crict20blast dur lan 2026 06 09	Lancashire	BUY	186	27¢	$50	0x50c7c6…
05-17 22:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa7a4e5…
05-17 21:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4d99b8…
05-17 21:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x429383…
05-17 21:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x1040ad…
05-17 21:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd1583d…
05-17 21:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x995a16…
05-17 21:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x798629…
05-17 21:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9197bd…
05-17 19:54:20	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0x9594b8…
05-17 19:52:12	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x7087b8…
05-17 16:03:16	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x8018c3…
05-15 19:39:53	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Lucknow Super Giants	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x2cf836…
05-15 16:18:36	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xf19533…
05-14 19:42:23	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xd40a04…
05-14 17:04:32	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x4d38d6…
05-13 19:15:47	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x5cd30a…
05-13 17:06:19	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x77b268…
05-13 01:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x616a1f…
05-13 01:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xec5832…
05-13 01:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x09ed64…
05-13 01:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x7b25f3…
05-13 01:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd72ad4…
05-13 01:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5a194a…
05-13 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	54	49¢	$26	0x7af58d…
05-13 01:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x8eed80…
05-13 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1fa0ee…
05-10 18:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xda3ce0…
05-10 18:03:54	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Royal Challengers Bangalore	SELL	75	42¢	$31	0x28aada…
05-10 16:29:07	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0x7724bd…
05-10 14:48:50	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xcd61a4…
05-10 11:45:49	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x229aea…
05-09 20:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	61	46¢	$28	0x931cbc…
05-09 20:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xac80df…
05-09 20:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0xa539c7…
05-09 20:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xbeab48…
05-09 20:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x2b2f52…
05-09 20:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xdc89f3…
05-09 20:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x6321b3…
05-09 20:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6930bb…
05-09 20:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0x0ac378…
05-09 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5bbcfa…
05-09 20:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0xceb62e…
05-09 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x597e01…
05-01 17:09:08	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Delhi Capitals	BUY	71	73¢	$52	0x470efa…
04-30 01:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x82ab04…
04-30 01:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x552d4a…
04-30 01:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xda4fef…
04-30 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x81c202…
04-30 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfe0764…
04-30 01:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x66d7c2…
04-30 01:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0xd436e6…
04-30 01:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfe2009…
04-29 17:16:06	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	41	36¢	$15	0x7505c7…
04-29 16:52:34	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	41	65¢	$26	0x443dba…
04-29 16:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9ad2d3…
04-29 16:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xbccc62…
04-29 16:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0efa35…
04-28 23:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa53737…
04-28 23:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x282600…
04-28 23:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xf49375…
04-28 23:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xa6945d…
04-28 23:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	74	71¢	$52	0xe8b457…
04-28 23:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	76¢	$56	0x862f00…
04-28 23:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xda834d…
04-28 21:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xda4c3c…
04-28 21:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x4a97ef…
04-28 21:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xd32514…
04-28 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0xc06c23…
04-28 21:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc19665…
04-28 21:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0xf4275e…
04-28 21:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x76830b…
04-28 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0xcf758b…
04-28 21:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x9244b1…
04-28 20:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	26	42¢	$11	0xe9f630…
04-28 20:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3ec29c…
04-28 20:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	35¢	$11	0xdbb649…
04-28 20:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb26c93…
04-28 20:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x745431…
04-28 20:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x235230…
04-28 20:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x34b2be…
04-28 20:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	43	17¢	$7	0x612ec7…
04-28 20:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x2ca8c4…
04-28 20:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8a7e6d…
04-28 17:27:56	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xbe1a5a…
04-28 16:07:26	Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	65	57¢	$37	0x9b2995…