Fake-Panic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

778

Trades

810

lifetime

Volume

$7.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-01 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Other

80% 97% -$3

Sports

14% 99% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:30
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 0.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
Ōita Trinita vs. Tegevajaro Miyazaki: O/U 1.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	05-17 07:02
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	06-12 10:42
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-23 02:09
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-20 21:48
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:36:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17bd55…
11-01 01:38:52	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ed42a…
11-01 01:09:22	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa78c96…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e4a12…
11-01 00:05:18	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x198433…
10-31 00:26:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x048c1e…
10-30 23:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa904ad…
10-30 22:23:49	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b6ba7…
10-30 16:19:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1243ad…
10-29 15:14:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f4607…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x72406e…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf9ea9c…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x812534…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e1353…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6be1f…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdd6211…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x945d33…
10-20 18:41:08	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc550e0…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc8a63…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8dab4…
10-15 20:32:38	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x153ab4…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x088d45…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x361158…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x120ec2…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x342af7…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65949e…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc9d22…
10-12 09:09:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeda3a5…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea7bcc…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a4c30…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90ab90…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb46cf…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x055c42…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0ceee…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa10dcd…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67f52a…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b2619…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x913cc8…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x54d1d5…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c62c1…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfde4c0…
10-02 14:15:35	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x100f7f…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39d81a…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x875029…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2010bf…
10-01 12:08:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fcd41…
10-01 07:27:00	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf9a29…
10-01 07:16:11	atp buse halys 2026 09 29	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b6f44…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f007d…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a8b8…
09-30 23:54:51	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x44cfd0…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e2bbc…
09-29 13:18:53	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x92b6d8…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20130a…
09-28 17:00:09	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec9d03…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x744d44…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a3db…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x333772…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63e523…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e3f14…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1af0e…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacbf33…
09-26 17:08:14	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe6b041…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86ae7e…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x02e769…
09-25 10:12:51	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x942f39…
09-24 21:04:29	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbef2fe…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf34185…
09-24 09:44:56	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2aeda6…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0109f…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2b6069…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c22e8…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71686a…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf97994…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5706f…
09-20 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0608b…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x910271…
09-20 12:44:51	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x550169…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe88f38…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b4a46…
09-19 03:59:37	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6231bd…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bcaad…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x581a78…
09-17 20:00:13	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x959152…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5330de…
09-17 14:00:55	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b3904…
09-17 12:54:37	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbf525…
09-16 11:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9b06f…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd18c56…
09-16 01:10:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22b0a5…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56b770…
09-15 17:50:42	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x064e75…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9977f…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77907d…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27b65c…
09-14 01:22:55	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfe05f…
09-13 22:59:31	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5d457…
09-13 20:06:01	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09f9b9…
09-13 14:59:10	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff7c22…
09-13 14:16:06	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd33b37…