Square-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$683

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

2,496

Trades

5,035

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 11-14 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$683

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 182 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	6	$95	104	104	+0	Down	+$57	06-03 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:20 UTC	3	$94	65	63	+2	Up	+$26	04-12 22:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:05 UTC	3	$92	76	73	+3	Down	+$14	04-10 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:10 UTC	3	$91	77	74	+3	Down	+$14	04-10 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:40 UTC	3	$91	100	73	+27	Down	+$13	04-08 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:05 UTC	2	$89	75	73	+3	Up	+$17	04-10 18:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:55 UTC	5	$89	82	78	+3	Down	+$17	04-10 15:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 21:45 UTC	2	$85	69	67	+2	Up	+$9	04-08 21:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:35 UTC	2	$82	65	63	+3	Up	+$25	04-12 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	7	$81	147	50	+97	Down	-$26	04-27 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	7	$80	73	70	+3	Up	+$10	04-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:15 UTC	2	$79	59	57	+2	Down	+$20	04-10 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:15 UTC	5	$77	146	139	+7	Down	-$21	04-12 22:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:50 UTC	4	$77	71	60	+11	Down	+$7	04-10 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:15 UTC	2	$76	66	63	+3	Down	+$18	04-10 18:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:30 UTC	2	$76	74	72	+2	Up	-$2	04-12 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 15:35 UTC	4	$74	69	67	+2	Up	+$7	04-10 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$74	85	81	+4	Up	+$18	04-27 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$74	86	64	+22	Up	+$21	04-26 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$71	57	57	+0	Up	+$25	05-07 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:05 UTC	3	$70	88	0	+88	Up	+$18	04-12 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:35 UTC	2	$69	71	68	+2	Down	-$7	04-10 19:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:45 UTC	3	$68	54	53	+2	Up	+$12	04-10 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$68	89	85	+4	Down	+$8	04-27 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 22:40 UTC	3	$66	89	85	+3	Down	-$20	04-12 22:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 14:35 UTC	6	$65	62	52	+10	Down	+$14	04-10 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 19:20 UTC	2	$64	50	48	+2	Down	+$18	04-10 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 20:45 UTC	6	$64	63	50	+13	Up	+$22	04-08 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 22:05 UTC	4	$64	141	133	+8	Up	+$5	04-08 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$63	78	78	+0	Up	+$25	05-07 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 06:05:47	XRP Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5e17b8…
11-14 00:52:03	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x29686c…
11-14 00:51:46	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0d634f…
11-14 00:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x3d95ca…
11-14 00:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x7fa132…
11-14 00:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5478c0…
11-14 00:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x92554e…
11-13 17:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xef7d04…
11-13 17:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe6805a…
11-13 14:34:31	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x156ab2…
11-13 14:34:30	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x317af4…
11-13 14:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x7f24cf…
11-13 14:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x98ed1c…
11-13 14:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x90d550…
11-13 14:32:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x45f219…
11-13 14:32:06	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3a6bf3…
11-13 14:31:46	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd063af…
11-13 13:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4a8350…
11-13 13:31:57	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb2bdf3…
11-13 13:31:21	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe9cdab…
11-13 13:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xe8a5eb…
11-13 13:30:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x795077…
11-13 12:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x6a8ccf…
11-13 12:36:39	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x634580…
11-13 12:04:07	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x752f3c…
11-13 12:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xd3cb98…
11-13 12:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xac248f…
11-13 12:01:06	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x60e5b5…
11-13 11:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x9463e9…
11-13 11:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd5c1d4…
11-13 11:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x7cf539…
11-13 11:18:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1f11d1…
11-13 11:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xdccbd8…
11-13 11:17:37	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x20fef5…
11-13 11:10:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x75a803…
11-13 11:09:48	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xbb4051…
11-13 11:07:19	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x576682…
11-13 11:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa11d3f…
11-13 10:36:49	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x35f34a…
11-13 10:35:09	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3bf789…
11-13 10:32:34	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x2aee65…
11-13 10:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xafd04d…
11-13 10:19:48	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x9466e0…
11-13 10:19:45	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x559a62…
11-13 10:19:06	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x8df39c…
11-13 09:20:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x7ad996…
11-13 09:20:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9b8adb…
11-13 09:18:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf2938b…
11-13 09:06:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x6d18a6…
11-13 09:06:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xec6d59…
11-13 09:06:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	22¢	$3	0xcd9ce5…
11-13 09:03:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x74a9d8…
11-13 09:02:37	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfe811e…
11-13 09:02:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-11-13 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6dc8c0…
11-13 08:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xcff771…
11-13 08:55:49	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x7a943e…
11-13 08:55:28	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xe13763…
11-13 08:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x16f11b…
11-13 08:48:06	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x429b24…
11-13 08:48:00	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x1f24c0…
11-13 08:37:45	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x7b1345…
11-13 08:37:39	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xf1891c…
11-13 08:37:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0xb7c757…
11-13 08:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xcdd381…
11-13 08:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xabe4f4…
11-13 08:36:15	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd8c54b…
11-13 08:36:07	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x77e712…
11-13 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x2a465b…
11-13 08:29:10	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x34dee4…
11-13 08:29:07	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x1dddde…
11-13 08:19:33	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x20b473…
11-13 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3eb7b2…
11-13 08:18:45	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd7072a…
11-13 08:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf63484…
11-13 07:51:22	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xfef96a…
11-13 07:51:13	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9d9e03…
11-13 07:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1fa5b8…
11-13 07:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc7c0af…
11-13 07:48:22	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4140ef…
11-13 07:37:33	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x459fbc…
11-13 07:37:30	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x359723…
11-13 07:36:57	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xfe4079…
11-13 07:34:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x1ce197…
11-13 07:33:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb6ea0d…
11-13 07:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x169ae3…
11-13 07:22:31	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x8865bc…
11-13 07:22:31	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x143e84…
11-13 07:20:40	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xec8d7f…
11-13 07:20:00	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x20321a…
11-13 07:07:42	XRP Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2f1529…
11-13 07:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa8fc84…
11-13 07:07:19	Solana Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x219ba8…
11-13 07:07:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd84dac…
11-13 06:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xcec80f…
11-13 06:50:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7bddc0…
11-12 11:31:58	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xade5a0…
11-12 11:16:58	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x035d1c…
11-12 10:36:30	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x30aa56…
11-12 10:31:36	XRP Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x5e8f65…
11-12 10:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2ad410…