Wobbly-Leadership — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

297

Trades

589

lifetime

Volume

$31.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-28 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

56% 69% +$11

Politics

40% 74% -$1,912

Crypto

3% 89% -$115

Sports

1% 62% +$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	2	$3.9K	2,203	2,203	+0	No	+$473	06-19 02:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$2.2K	3,110	0	+3,110	Yes	-$2,200	06-19 02:42
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	1	$1.5K	1,728	0	+1,728	No	+$201	05-15 20:23
usisrael strike yemen by march 14	6	$1.4K	765	765	+0	No	+$70	03-15 13:20
Will Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,340	0	+1,340	No	+$263	04-07 08:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	5	$896	1,277	676	+602	Yes	-$466	06-19 02:56
israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	2	$770	422	422	+0	No	+$18	04-07 08:43
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	2	$718	976	0	+976	No	+$258	03-15 23:54
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?	3	$619	350	350	+0	No	+$79	08-21 20:03
Will Abo Qir Semad SC win on 2026-08-21?	2	$548	279	279	+0	Yes	+$8	08-21 19:04
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$500	582	0	+582	No	+$82	05-13 22:10
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-09-06?	2	$498	266	266	+0	No	+$18	09-06 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 8?	2	$489	249	249	+0	No	+$9	09-08 08:41
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 9?	2	$486	253	253	+0	No	+$6	09-09 07:49
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-09-06?	2	$485	246	246	+0	Yes	+$7	09-06 13:29
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-09-06?	2	$485	245	245	+0	Yes	+$5	09-06 14:12
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$484	270	270	+0	No	+$0	03-12 12:15
Will L.R. Vicenza win on 2026-08-21?	2	$386	375	375	+0	Yes	-$334	08-21 20:20
will trump say womens sport during the white house easter egg roll	1	$374	420	0	+420	No	+$46	04-03 15:56
Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-10-28?	2	$360	181	181	+0	Yes	+$2	10-28 21:17
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	2	$340	170	170	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 19:42
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	5	$321	474	0	+474	No	+$153	03-18 19:40
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$319	224	224	+0	No	+$119	03-18 19:32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	2	$300	151	151	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 16?	2	$292	163	163	+0	No	+$32	08-16 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 17?	2	$263	143	143	+0	No	+$23	08-17 08:31
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	2	$262	155	155	+0	No	+$14	08-08 20:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?	2	$259	132	132	+0	No	+$5	08-15 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	3	$254	145	145	+0	No	+$35	08-12 09:36
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$245	251	0	+251	Yes	+$6	07-09 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:30:07	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0xcd1848…
10-28 21:17:13	Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0xd6f573…
10-28 20:04:29	Will CU Técnica de Cajamarca win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	181	99¢	$179	0xc7ee85…
10-28 19:42:26	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0xc57162…
10-28 19:20:47	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xae80da…
10-27 20:19:57	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xd07e2e…
10-27 20:12:30	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	147	87¢	$128	0x12120d…
10-27 20:03:51	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x4ee084…
10-27 20:03:30	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xbe52b9…
10-26 21:18:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$150	0xa7789b…
10-26 21:12:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0xae7d99…
10-25 21:24:02	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xc15697…
10-25 20:58:51	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	42	42¢	$17	0x94279a…
10-25 20:26:33	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x24a9a2…
10-25 15:16:35	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x3496bb…
10-23 10:43:47	Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-10-23?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xf334e0…
10-22 02:25:48	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x549c26…
10-19 20:41:35	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xf67bd8…
10-19 20:40:48	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x942144…
10-19 20:24:09	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x95495c…
10-15 20:50:15	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x301cc7…
10-15 20:40:32	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x46415c…
10-15 20:39:48	Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$53	0xa64a49…
10-15 18:25:23	Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xab3668…
10-14 20:45:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8e6b27…
10-11 15:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x3e7ecc…
10-11 14:59:10	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x02b54c…
10-11 14:40:36	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa7bdc2…
10-11 14:39:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8a581c…
10-10 15:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2220b8…
10-01 20:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x38ddd1…
10-01 20:42:26	Will Malta vs. Gibraltar end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x24ae11…
10-01 20:35:45	Will Malta vs. Gibraltar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x268d5f…
10-01 20:29:08	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	SELL	21	13¢	$3	0xb50b3c…
10-01 20:15:17	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7d4a95…
09-30 21:28:35	Will OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x7ea800…
09-30 20:55:56	Will OL Lyonnes vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x244f81…
09-30 18:53:45	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x6bb23b…
09-30 18:22:48	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-30?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xcf9ebe…
09-28 22:34:39	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e37f8…
09-28 22:34:33	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x12f8df…
09-28 17:10:48	Will France win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x976f94…
09-28 17:01:06	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x758fc1…
09-28 14:03:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0xb1e97b…
09-28 14:01:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x03b8a3…
09-28 13:48:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x2784c7…
09-28 13:01:20	Solana Up or Down - September 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x16542c…
09-28 12:25:50	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x260a44…
09-28 12:23:35	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x397447…
09-28 12:22:02	Will Japan vs. Venezuela end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x8b4c5b…
09-28 12:14:02	Will Japan vs. Venezuela end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x0ea7d6…
09-28 00:33:30	Will Haiti win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0x194891…
09-27 21:43:42	Will Paraguay win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xa767eb…
09-27 21:21:47	Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xb4855a…
09-27 20:52:51	Will CSD Cobán Imperial win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0x19cdcb…
09-27 20:47:12	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x15bea3…
09-27 20:41:39	Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	84	92¢	$77	0x66be57…
09-27 20:32:50	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xabf308…
09-27 20:32:44	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x007d11…
09-27 20:27:50	Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	32	5¢	$2	0x621f83…
09-27 19:04:21	Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xfebcbd…
09-27 19:04:02	Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xedc872…
09-27 19:03:33	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xa77200…
09-27 18:49:18	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	85	100¢	$84	0xe60c18…
09-27 18:02:18	Will SD Eibar win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0xe05207…
09-27 17:59:08	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x8481e2…
09-27 17:51:36	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0xc3c94f…
09-27 17:27:05	Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-09-27?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x067c05…
09-27 17:26:54	Will UD Almería win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfaf7be…
09-27 15:51:41	Will UD Almería win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbef381…
09-27 15:50:05	Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-09-27?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x82e10e…
09-27 15:23:47	Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x52f926…
09-27 14:52:17	Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x3cbc59…
09-27 14:44:08	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x572203…
09-27 14:40:17	Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2a5288…
09-27 13:41:30	Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xdbc79a…
09-27 13:26:51	Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x42900a…
09-27 13:26:45	Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9967ea…
09-27 02:52:21	Will Colombia vs. Mexico end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x32ab2b…
09-27 02:47:14	Will Portland Thorns FC vs. Houston Dash end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0x6ba24e…
09-27 02:46:56	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x01b8e4…
09-27 02:33:35	Will Portland Thorns FC vs. Houston Dash end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x489092…
09-27 02:31:05	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x488bb6…
09-26 09:56:06	Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x759c2d…
09-26 09:55:59	Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe275e9…
09-26 02:33:11	Will Atlante FC win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x509d20…
09-26 02:31:36	Will Suriname win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7e8c9d…
09-26 02:30:56	Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xeec499…
09-26 02:26:53	Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6b13fe…
09-25 12:23:14	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfd8cd2…
09-25 12:19:29	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x5bfa44…
09-25 12:17:54	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x07f122…
09-22 20:51:27	Will Arsenal WFC vs. HB Køge end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xade846…
09-22 20:48:30	Will Arsenal WFC vs. HB Køge end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xde435a…
09-22 20:48:03	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22?	Yes	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x040f9d…
09-12 11:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x72b9f7…
09-12 11:19:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbcc274…
09-12 11:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7fce3d…
09-12 11:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b6869…
09-12 11:18:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1698ca…