Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,962

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 04-12 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

67% 27% $-3

Politics

21% 50% $-0

Sports

9% 0% $-0

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	141	$322	636	3	+633	open	—	02-14 04:15
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	95	$213	345	77	+268	open	—	03-01 02:47
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	74	$187	267	98	+169	open	—	03-07 08:13
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	84	$180	290	77	+212	open	—	03-03 14:03
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	65	$169	313	7	+306	open	—	02-13 10:38
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	72	$161	294	34	+260	open	—	03-16 02:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	69	$151	278	40	+238	open	—	03-02 22:10
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	54	$138	185	85	+100	open	—	02-26 13:41
will the us not strike iran by march 31 2026	57	$130	238	18	+220	open	—	02-28 03:18
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	51	$117	194	40	+154	open	—	03-01 09:43
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	49	$107	185	30	+155	open	—	03-18 20:09
will japan win the 2026 world baseball classic	40	$106	146	44	+103	open	—	03-09 05:58
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	48	$104	164	40	+123	open	—	02-26 12:28
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	45	$104	180	26	+154	open	—	03-03 12:44
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	46	$104	190	20	+170	open	—	03-03 15:23
nothing ever happens khamenei	39	$103	179	19	+160	open	—	02-28 13:38
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	51	$101	142	56	+85	open	—	03-08 04:34
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	43	$100	149	50	+100	open	—	03-07 20:36
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	41	$98	137	52	+85	open	—	04-08 22:33
deepseek v4 released by february 28	41	$98	175	20	+155	open	—	02-25 01:03
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	46	$95	175	29	+146	open	—	03-03 08:45
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	45	$94	142	63	+79	open	—	03-01 14:11
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	37	$87	149	15	+134	open	—	02-13 10:39
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	33	$83	130	35	+95	open	—	03-03 09:49
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	32	$81	135	30	+105	open	—	02-27 17:04
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	28	$80	120	20	+100	open	—	03-15 20:07
pakistan x afghanistan ceasefire by march 31	37	$79	130	30	+100	open	—	03-18 18:51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	31	$74	112	37	+75	open	—	03-06 07:50
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	31	$73	134	16	+118	open	—	02-28 22:11
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	30	$73	112	32	+80	open	—	03-06 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-12 10:14:25	bkligend man jov 2026 04 12	Manresa	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x927f6f…
04-12 10:08:01	bkligend man jov 2026 04 12	Manresa	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x333890…
04-12 10:05:31	bkligend man jov 2026 04 12	Joventut	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xa84b3b…
04-12 09:40:13	bkligend man jov 2026 04 12	Joventut	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x23b17c…
04-12 09:33:53	bkligend man jov 2026 04 12	Joventut	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3fd2e4…
04-12 01:48:11	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xcfd37f…
04-12 01:41:27	Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x71c37d…
04-12 00:49:27	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xf2ba57…
04-12 00:43:11	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe6794d…
04-12 00:32:43	atp machac baez 2026 04 13	Tomas Machac	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x561232…
04-12 00:27:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x693336…
04-12 00:27:19	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x973b08…
04-12 00:26:33	atp machac baez 2026 04 13	Tomas Machac	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x23024a…
04-12 00:21:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3c96f3…
04-12 00:21:07	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5f09af…
04-11 21:32:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x6bf01c…
04-11 21:26:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x522c9f…
04-11 20:56:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x63a92c…
04-11 20:55:05	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x773b8f…
04-11 20:36:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x374b04…
04-11 20:36:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x018ad7…
04-11 20:36:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xaa77ed…
04-11 20:32:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x511a8b…
04-11 20:30:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe4fe23…
04-11 19:28:47	mlb ari phi 2026 04 11	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x0b1b38…
04-11 19:22:35	mlb ari phi 2026 04 11	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x923f42…
04-11 18:21:55	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x3e4954…
04-11 18:15:27	Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfc3c79…
04-11 17:30:19	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x632146…
04-11 17:24:05	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf5b49b…
04-11 16:56:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x52119e…
04-11 16:50:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x76c095…
04-11 16:45:27	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2d1819…
04-11 16:42:59	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbcf91c…
04-11 16:13:07	mlb ari phi 2026 04 11	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xbf28da…
04-11 16:06:55	mlb ari phi 2026 04 11	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc24a79…
04-11 15:34:19	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x882bbc…
04-11 15:28:33	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf5e1cd…
04-11 13:25:15	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x26cb5e…
04-11 13:17:51	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xea9206…
04-11 13:13:43	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x91ddc5…
04-11 13:13:33	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xef16a3…
04-11 13:11:07	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcbaa63…
04-11 13:08:29	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x380a61…
04-11 13:08:15	atp arnaldi halys 2026 04 11	Quentin Halys	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa51afd…
04-11 13:07:23	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xce6d17…
04-11 09:44:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xd12ba9…
04-11 09:37:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfce617…
04-11 03:39:09	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x24c5a0…
04-11 03:33:03	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x61e9b3…
04-11 00:40:37	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x29c74f…
04-11 00:34:23	Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x7ea717…
04-10 20:23:03	mlb cws kc 2026 04 11	Chicago White Sox	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x41777f…
04-10 20:16:57	mlb cws kc 2026 04 11	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6de089…
04-10 13:51:57	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc9aa21…
04-10 13:50:01	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe58833…
04-10 12:58:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9d00c9…
04-10 12:54:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0a859b…
04-10 12:53:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa5b289…
04-10 12:47:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xfd3016…
04-10 12:39:41	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xcc338e…
04-10 12:33:33	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x62dcd5…
04-10 11:05:33	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x80da1d…
04-10 10:59:19	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1a3413…
04-10 09:29:33	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9c2d17…
04-10 09:24:23	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x1d0ea2…
04-10 08:59:15	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x74ea2b…
04-10 08:58:55	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xef29c8…
04-10 08:47:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x2c8941…
04-10 08:41:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x107037…
04-10 08:34:45	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x98bc33…
04-10 08:28:33	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x380a24…
04-10 07:39:43	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x42fbd7…
04-10 07:33:29	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x519dc6…
04-10 07:09:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x1ff5a8…
04-10 07:05:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x65b8e4…
04-10 07:03:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x35f032…
04-10 06:59:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8ad3e2…
04-10 06:48:59	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb40907…
04-10 06:42:49	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x842e95…
04-10 05:27:31	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x920eda…
04-10 05:25:37	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf87310…
04-10 04:04:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x3da0de…
04-10 04:00:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x37eb72…
04-10 03:58:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7da265…
04-10 03:09:41	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x63fa54…
04-10 03:05:55	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4bddba…
04-10 03:00:31	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x09be5e…
04-10 02:57:49	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x60187e…
04-10 02:44:25	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0x6c7231…
04-10 02:37:59	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd36e80…
04-10 02:35:05	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9ce4ed…
04-10 02:34:49	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x6dbdbb…
04-10 02:32:37	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1dc132…
04-10 01:30:55	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x0ca8e5…
04-10 01:24:27	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3c18be…
04-10 01:19:35	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x472cd2…
04-10 01:17:13	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc29e90…
04-10 01:17:01	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x671d8d…
04-09 23:40:07	will otto ritter win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 232	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x9126cc…