Sizzling-Tour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

647

Trades

1,562

lifetime

Volume

$6.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-12 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 50% -$165

Other

3% 29% -$60

Politics

3% 20% -$1

Sports

2% 42% -$48

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:35 UTC	7	$114	136	118	+19	Up	$0	03-05 03:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 21:15 UTC	9	$110	110	96	+14	Down	-$12	03-11 21:19
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:25 UTC	7	$92	75	74	+1	Down	+$18	03-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	6	$88	84	84	+0	Down	+$0	10-10 23:47
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 02:55 UTC	8	$81	64	63	+1	Up	+$9	03-05 02:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:50 UTC	7	$79	112	111	+2	Up	-$5	03-05 03:54
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:10 UTC	7	$79	121	120	+1	Up	+$9	03-05 04:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:00 UTC	6	$76	67	66	+1	Up	+$15	03-05 03:03
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:40 UTC	8	$75	76	75	+1	Down	$0	03-05 03:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 21:50 UTC	4	$72	60	60	+0	Down	+$42	03-04 21:55
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:05 UTC	8	$71	79	78	+1	Up	+$3	03-05 05:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 22:05 UTC	3	$68	4,526	0	+4,526	Down	-$68	03-04 22:10
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:20 UTC	4	$68	62	61	+1	Up	+$13	03-05 04:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:15 UTC	6	$65	60	60	+1	Down	+$5	03-05 03:19
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tech signing event on wednesday	2	$61	50	50	+0	Yes	+$39	03-04 20:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:15 UTC	4	$59	60	59	+1	Up	+$3	03-05 04:19
will trump say job 10 times during tech signing event on wednesday	2	$58	37	37	+0	Yes	+$8	03-04 21:12
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:45 UTC	5	$53	52	52	+1	Up	+$3	03-04 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:50 UTC	2	$53	28	28	+0	Down	+$3	03-13 02:53
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:45 UTC	4	$52	46	45	+1	Up	+$11	03-05 00:50
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:25 UTC	6	$52	44	43	+1	Down	+$5	03-04 23:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:05 UTC	6	$51	50	50	+1	Down	+$1	03-05 03:08
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:15 UTC	4	$51	37	37	+0	Up	+$11	03-05 00:18
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:00 UTC	5	$50	39	39	+1	Up	+$6	03-05 04:07
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:10 UTC	6	$50	48	47	+1	Up	-$2	03-05 03:14
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 23:40 UTC	4	$48	38	37	+1	Up	+$4	03-04 23:43
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 05:25 UTC	7	$47	94	48	+45	Down	-$10	03-05 05:29
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 04:25 UTC	5	$47	520	39	+481	Up	-$2	03-05 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 03:20 UTC	2	$47	27	27	+0	Up	+$7	03-13 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 02:55 UTC	5	$47	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	03-13 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 00:25:47	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xfaebc8…
10-12 00:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x72f389…
10-11 19:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	31	8¢	$2	0x541033…
10-11 17:33:58	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x0df154…
10-11 16:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0xeb9126…
10-11 16:08:49	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	27	35¢	$10	0x0dcf51…
10-11 16:00:48	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	27	46¢	$12	0xbd451f…
10-11 15:59:24	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x66d39f…
10-11 15:52:07	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x231861…
10-11 15:45:18	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x7c5859…
10-11 15:26:19	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xad974b…
10-11 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x8f30a0…
10-11 05:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x0d5340…
10-11 05:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x183afe…
10-11 05:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xe78a90…
10-11 05:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x1eac21…
10-11 05:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xc5b162…
10-11 05:31:36	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xbb1683…
10-11 05:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xcd62c0…
10-11 05:21:33	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x129641…
10-11 04:51:14	XRP Up or Down - October 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x4fd4cd…
10-10 23:48:37	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	62¢	$14	0xcaf991…
10-10 23:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0x94b862…
10-10 23:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x27ab45…
10-10 23:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x7993aa…
10-10 23:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x5412fd…
10-10 23:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	39¢	$11	0x576ade…
10-10 23:08:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x82c49e…
10-10 23:04:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0xf41b55…
10-10 22:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x4e1c87…
10-10 22:58:01	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0xb1af64…
10-10 20:35:34	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0x4ec544…
10-10 17:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0xa03741…
10-10 04:00:28	XRP Up or Down - October 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x06410f…
08-25 07:32:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7cb670…
08-25 07:25:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe55c51…
08-25 07:23:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x87073d…
08-25 07:20:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa757c7…
08-25 07:19:19	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 3am et	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xb48419…
08-25 07:08:37	bitcoin up or down august 25 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x237dc4…
08-25 07:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x38bbe5…
08-25 07:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf716e4…
08-25 07:04:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x5ca3ca…
08-25 06:59:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x512b5a…
08-25 06:47:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8bad85…
08-25 06:47:13	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x45310d…
08-25 06:46:28	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc66a46…
08-25 06:41:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb017ed…
08-25 06:40:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x7099fc…
08-25 06:37:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x43de92…
08-25 06:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba7726…
08-25 06:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8dbff9…
08-25 06:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xafeaf9…
08-25 06:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb54ff3…
08-25 06:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xaf5505…
08-25 06:26:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x1d8c57…
08-25 06:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd2bfcb…
08-25 06:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7b38e5…
08-25 06:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1b1d4d…
08-25 06:13:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x73d799…
08-25 06:10:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x428bf8…
07-13 21:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x35e044…
07-13 21:37:55	atp inchaus stewart 2026 07 13	Hamish Stewart	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xd940ca…
07-13 21:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8f8a03…
07-13 21:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbe8fc7…
07-13 21:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x374ab4…
07-13 21:10:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x99b527…
07-13 21:09:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xaa2383…
07-13 21:02:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x02a5ca…
07-13 21:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa238a7…
07-13 21:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf012e8…
07-13 20:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x46c140…
07-13 20:52:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd1d9ce…
07-13 20:51:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x905ed7…
07-13 20:50:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x400cf4…
07-13 20:37:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3ddd3c…
07-13 20:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x197de6…
07-13 20:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x53e1cc…
07-13 20:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x040b70…
07-13 20:23:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xba428f…
07-13 20:22:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb1b6f7…
07-13 20:21:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x7e88d3…
07-13 20:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x399e96…
07-13 20:15:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xa22725…
07-13 20:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3189b4…
07-13 20:07:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x7b7034…
07-13 20:02:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x26706a…
07-13 20:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$0	0xbd6402…
07-13 20:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1a8f60…
07-13 20:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x24603c…
07-13 19:56:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe842f6…
07-13 19:50:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4daff3…
07-13 19:43:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x62a51f…
07-13 19:41:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7bafcc…
07-13 19:41:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xc2b11b…
07-13 19:40:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc3a084…
07-13 19:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x9101ce…
07-13 19:36:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xea894e…
07-13 19:36:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x22a9e5…
07-13 19:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa24e8d…