Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.1%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 05-22 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$54

Other

27% — —

Tech

7% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$253	506	506	+0	open	—	05-22 02:47
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$165	125	125	+0	open	—	04-29 11:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$138	250	31	+219	open	—	05-14 15:24
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	2	$97	67	67	+0	open	—	05-20 03:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$95	336	336	+0	open	—	05-07 11:09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	2	$80	160	0	+160	open	—	03-05 11:48
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$70	95	0	+95	open	—	02-18 04:00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	3	$66	87	36	+51	open	—	04-25 14:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$56	65	27	+38	open	—	04-30 00:44
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	6	$56	2,210	0	+2,210	open	—	03-04 01:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$47	28	28	+0	No	+$7	05-07 11:09
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$45	439	0	+439	open	—	02-22 20:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$44	63	22	+41	open	—	05-20 01:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$43	45	44	+1	open	—	04-29 11:16
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$35	3,911	0	+3,911	open	—	02-18 04:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$35	28	28	+0	No	+$15	04-29 11:16
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	3	$32	144	0	+144	open	—	03-04 01:15
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$32	51	0	+51	open	—	03-05 11:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$31	69	0	+69	open	—	04-25 14:16
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$30	333	0	+333	open	—	03-04 01:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$30	143	0	+143	open	—	04-23 12:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$30	91	0	+91	open	—	03-05 11:47
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$25	10,776	0	+10,776	open	—	04-25 14:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$25	2,778	0	+2,778	open	—	04-29 18:33
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	04-25 14:07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	1	$25	58	0	+58	open	—	04-25 13:21
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	2	$25	63	0	+63	open	—	04-13 12:51
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$25	145	0	+145	open	—	02-22 15:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$25	55	0	+55	open	—	03-05 11:45
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$20	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	03-04 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 02:47:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	273	18¢	$49	0xf459a8…
05-20 03:00:48	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2ba839…
05-20 01:41:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1c2f3a…
05-20 01:39:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x5a3e99…
05-20 01:20:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xcdb28d…
05-20 00:17:23	Spread: Knicks (-11.5)	Knicks	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x99e208…
05-20 00:16:15	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Knicks	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x18b665…
05-14 15:24:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0x703d77…
05-14 15:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0x08c62e…
05-07 11:09:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x57b4fd…
05-07 11:09:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	38¢	$69	0x867c78…
05-07 11:09:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	336	21¢	$71	0x3b7959…
05-05 01:45:00	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x496ce1…
05-05 01:44:58	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x06d7f3…
05-04 22:01:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x1ccb0e…
05-04 22:00:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xca9fa8…
05-04 22:00:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x870d5e…
05-04 22:00:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x3e6c22…
05-04 22:00:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xf1447a…
04-30 04:07:04	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Utah	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5f47d4…
04-30 04:06:42	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9f20d8…
04-30 02:21:38	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x41fe68…
04-30 02:21:24	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf38cc5…
04-30 02:21:14	Knicks vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb73c5f…
04-30 02:14:24	Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x09b076…
04-30 02:14:20	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7c4612…
04-30 02:14:12	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x83c174…
04-30 02:08:46	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x120af2…
04-30 01:22:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	76¢	$40	0x85c20f…
04-30 01:18:02	US bank failure by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0xbe88af…
04-30 01:07:28	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x9994d6…
04-30 00:44:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xa07d16…
04-29 18:33:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x981b3a…
04-29 18:33:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	454	1¢	$4	0x9e68e6…
04-29 18:33:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,769	1¢	$16	0x259ee3…
04-29 18:33:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6d23f7…
04-29 18:33:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x580916…
04-29 18:33:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xd6820c…
04-29 11:16:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xb0e5d5…
04-29 11:16:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	44	63¢	$28	0x7b1837…
04-29 11:16:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x16bc9a…
04-25 16:34:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	327	0¢	$1	0x8b7b6a…
04-25 14:16:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x5199dc…
04-25 14:16:14	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,147	1¢	$10	0x6979ab…
04-25 14:16:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x94e6f8…
04-25 14:16:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x66228c…
04-25 14:07:26	Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xd35c02…
04-25 14:06:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0eb4f8…
04-25 14:05:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	SELL	36	58¢	$21	0x926a15…
04-25 14:01:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x84883e…
04-25 14:01:20	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,263	1¢	$10	0xe929e4…
04-25 14:01:00	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x958790…
04-25 13:58:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x08ca07…
04-25 13:56:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x571829…
04-25 13:56:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0xa3c4d6…
04-25 13:55:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x48df28…
04-25 13:47:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xf2db37…
04-25 13:46:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xe15b25…
04-25 13:44:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0x5886d4…
04-25 13:36:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xabaccf…
04-25 13:36:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x07c08d…
04-25 13:21:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x50882f…
04-23 12:46:26	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x01acb8…
04-23 12:46:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xff36c0…
04-23 12:41:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfa291b…
04-23 12:41:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xf63b43…
04-23 12:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x9916d7…
04-23 12:39:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xf45b62…
04-13 14:25:25	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	776	1¢	$5	0xd4a346…
04-13 14:25:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	2¢	$5	0x0991cc…
04-13 14:25:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xba9620…
04-13 14:24:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x7f6237…
04-13 12:51:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xd6d6cb…
04-13 12:51:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x24a9cd…
04-13 12:51:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x35cad3…
04-13 12:51:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x5b3b07…
04-13 12:51:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xccf35e…
04-13 12:50:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa9d283…
04-13 12:50:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0xcd054f…
04-13 12:50:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3b4059…
04-13 12:49:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x3b6500…
03-09 11:56:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x6cd4ab…
03-09 11:56:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x3229fa…
03-07 10:58:39	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x895db2…
03-07 10:57:53	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xef3900…
03-07 10:57:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x66179f…
03-05 11:53:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x649b6d…
03-05 11:49:35	will uae strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x23cea0…
03-05 11:49:11	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8254df…
03-05 11:49:03	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc65b9f…
03-05 11:48:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x1580d4…
03-05 11:47:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x9b35af…
03-05 11:47:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf1b12b…
03-05 11:47:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x49e79c…
03-05 11:47:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x593d26…
03-05 11:47:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xeb9ee7…
03-05 11:45:59	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf68428…
03-05 11:45:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xe8918c…
03-05 11:45:25	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0xf17538…
03-04 01:15:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0xc6ed1d…