Realized P&L
+$37.8K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
27
Trades
1,496
lifetime
Volume
$13.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8.97K
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-02-10
last 06-02 09:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
86%
100%
+$27,821
Other
8%
100%
+$2,003
Crypto
7%
100%
+$7,992
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 34 | $2.99M | 3,000,000 | 0 | +3,000,000 | Yes | +$5,000 | 04-08 04:10 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 138 | $2.50M | 2,507,124 | 0 | +2,507,124 | No | +$7,521 | 04-28 08:48 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 1 | $2.35M | 2,356,854 | 0 | +2,356,854 | No | +$2,357 | 04-02 02:16 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 139 | $1.77M | 1,766,829 | 0 | +1,766,829 | Yes | +$1,767 | 03-26 00:34 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 27 | $880.4K | 888,428 | 0 | +888,428 | No | +$7,992 | 06-02 09:29 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | 390 | $796.7K | 804,164 | 0 | +804,164 | Yes | +$7,494 | 05-12 15:11 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 104 | $505.8K | 506,950 | 0 | +506,950 | Yes | +$1,191 | 03-03 01:21 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926 | 255 | $482.1K | 483,250 | 0 | +483,250 | No | +$1,130 | 04-01 07:13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 23 | $299.7K | 300,000 | 0 | +300,000 | No | +$300 | 05-11 08:15 |
| us x iran meeting by february 6 2026 | 6 | $157.5K | 157,668 | 0 | +157,668 | Yes | +$158 | 02-10 04:34 |
| trump out as president by march 31 | 84 | $102.6K | 103,418 | 0 | +103,418 | No | +$856 | 03-31 03:12 |
| will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026 | 66 | $85.2K | 85,598 | 0 | +85,598 | Yes | +$444 | 03-02 08:56 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et | 22 | $82.1K | 82,250 | 0 | +82,250 | No | +$118 | 03-02 06:20 |
| will iran strike israel on march 2 | 21 | $68.7K | 69,154 | 0 | +69,154 | Yes | +$499 | 03-02 17:25 |
| us strike on somalia by february 7 553 | 1 | $68.3K | 68,484 | 0 | +68,484 | No | +$205 | 02-11 06:16 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747 | 31 | $51.9K | 51,915 | 0 | +51,915 | No | +$52 | 04-01 07:12 |
| will iran strike israel on march 6 | 6 | $43.0K | 43,035 | 0 | +43,035 | No | +$43 | 03-11 21:08 |
| will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28 | 41 | $32.3K | 32,476 | 0 | +32,476 | Yes | +$176 | 03-01 13:50 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621 | 23 | $31.4K | 31,430 | 0 | +31,430 | No | +$31 | 04-01 07:12 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692 | 21 | $26.9K | 26,884 | 0 | +26,884 | No | +$27 | 04-01 07:12 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 747 434 | 3 | $26.6K | 26,652 | 0 | +26,652 | Yes | +$80 | 03-12 20:16 |
| will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026 | 9 | $20.2K | 20,394 | 0 | +20,394 | No | +$222 | 03-02 15:28 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et | 40 | $19.9K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | +$110 | 03-02 05:11 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 7 | $14.5K | 14,518 | 0 | +14,518 | Yes | +$29 | 03-02 13:04 |
| will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559 | 1 | $2.2K | 2,192 | 0 | +2,192 | No | +$11 | 03-01 06:32 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 120 by march 13 158 957 | 2 | $137 | 138 | 0 | +138 | No | +$1 | 03-13 15:59 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by march 13 992 833 133 | 1 | $30 | 30 | 0 | +30 | No | +$0 | 03-13 15:38 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||