Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$225

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$96

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 09-21 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$1

Crypto

35% 47% +$10

Other

20% 21% -$12

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No		+96	$80	98¢	$94	+$14	09-21 10:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No		+13	$6	12¢	$2	-$4	09-21 10:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$80	96	0	+96	open	—	09-21 10:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC	3	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$13	07-17 08:05
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$15	16	0	+16	Yes	+$1	05-30 13:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	7	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	07-16 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	4	$12	12	8	+4	Up	-$2	07-16 11:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:35 UTC	1	$10	29	0	+29	Up	-$10	03-22 19:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	04-12 15:49
will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$6	250	250	+0	No	+$4	03-30 19:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	1	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	09-21 10:54
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	1	$5	9	0	+9	No	-$5	03-22 19:44
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	03-29 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	5	$5	17	0	+17	Down	+$12	07-20 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	07-16 11:16
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$3	7	0	+7	Spain	-$3	07-16 11:38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	2	$3	11	0	+11	No	-$3	07-16 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:55 UTC	3	$3	6	0	+6	Down	-$3	07-17 07:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	No	-$1	06-02 07:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	-$1	07-16 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:50 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	07-17 07:51
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 120 139	1	$1	121	0	+121	No	-$1	03-29 17:23
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	03-30 11:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	1	$1	32	0	+32	No	-$1	03-30 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:20 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	07-16 11:16
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	-$1	04-01 07:05
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	03-29 17:21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	05-30 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:25 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	03-23 12:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	05-30 13:57
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	03-30 19:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:55 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	07-16 13:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 10:54:47	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x8243a0…
09-21 10:53:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0x1e6a69…
07-20 08:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4ea5b8…
07-20 08:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe202ab…
07-20 08:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x76177c…
07-20 08:29:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x941ee9…
07-20 08:25:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x25fbc2…
07-17 08:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3a1a13…
07-17 08:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xd6ba7d…
07-17 08:00:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x2490db…
07-17 07:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc5bfde…
07-17 07:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6e5417…
07-17 07:55:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x33fb6f…
07-17 07:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd78462…
07-16 14:04:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x73d7e7…
07-16 13:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xadf48f…
07-16 13:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x724934…
07-16 13:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe8ea3b…
07-16 13:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xa8af17…
07-16 13:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7a921e…
07-16 13:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5e8300…
07-16 13:54:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1eaa3c…
07-16 11:38:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x30a1ad…
07-16 11:17:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x4a2660…
07-16 11:17:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe9a8a0…
07-16 11:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x601ea4…
07-16 11:16:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x780e46…
07-16 11:15:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x83f72e…
07-16 11:12:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x337157…
07-16 11:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0f864d…
07-16 11:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa8c6f2…
07-16 11:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x91ca8e…
07-16 11:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x43781a…
06-02 07:04:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb467ed…
05-30 13:58:50	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x280d8d…
05-30 13:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xee75b8…
05-30 13:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa2c0cf…
05-30 13:57:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x828836…
04-12 15:49:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0fe67e…
04-01 07:06:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x06c3dd…
04-01 07:05:37	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2c4ff5…
04-01 07:05:27	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x63a081…
04-01 07:05:13	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x58f50a…
03-30 19:56:37	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 240 259	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x38b46c…
03-30 19:53:41	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x19fb98…
03-30 11:10:28	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x9c08e1…
03-30 11:10:22	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d8eb3…
03-30 11:10:18	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 180 199	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xe40775…
03-29 17:26:36	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc28fc4…
03-29 17:23:20	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 140 159	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd37219…
03-29 17:23:14	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 120 139	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x113492…
03-29 17:21:52	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x489eb6…
03-29 17:20:22	Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7e15e0…
03-23 12:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xda4255…
03-23 12:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf958d3…
03-22 19:44:13	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x05e637…
03-22 19:41:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0dd412…
03-22 19:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x019b68…