Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

52.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$119

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-02 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

89% 51% -$2

Politics

10% 62% +$4

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes		+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	10-03 05:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	2	$3	10	+10	No	-$1	08-22 04:48
will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	09-27 06:20
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 05:48
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-10 08:59
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 13:56
will googl dip to 335 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 05:14
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-14 05:53
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-09 08:44
qubt quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt04	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-09 13:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-20 21:35
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-08 00:20
will pltr dip to 159 by august 10 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-10 07:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 04:47
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-24 10:37
will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-10 00:51
Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$2	09-09 16:49
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-22 21:56
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-13 21:52
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-23 05:58
will msft dip to 472 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-17 21:13
will hood reach 100 by august 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-11 18:46
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-10 17:29
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-08 11:48
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-08 11:50
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 05:50
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-11 09:41
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-28 23:16
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $182 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-24 02:37
will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-23 17:14
will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$3	08-21 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 10:54:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7c3f69…
11-02 02:54:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xbcbb59…
11-01 15:30:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc827f0…
10-25 02:20:38	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0cfc3b…
10-19 07:01:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x69fa8a…
10-18 23:01:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5c5fb7…
10-18 13:10:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5d5d42…
10-17 19:39:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x90d5b9…
10-17 04:21:08	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2eafa1…
10-16 08:15:00	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdf9ae2…
10-15 11:32:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc0378a…
10-15 03:32:14	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ac01d…
10-14 07:30:59	will msft dip to 540 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x571ec3…
10-13 23:15:37	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb17f4e…
10-13 14:51:56	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa3340b…
10-12 06:46:47	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcc3c3a…
10-11 22:46:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x990e44…
10-11 14:32:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x748784…
10-11 04:30:54	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd1f967…
10-10 19:24:31	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x93c4e8…
10-10 06:25:43	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x20b729…
10-09 03:24:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf7aa02…
10-08 19:18:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb5afca…
10-08 10:06:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3a0660…
10-08 01:17:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1e1638…
10-07 17:16:58	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x217efb…
10-07 04:16:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x414d1a…
10-06 20:14:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb49865…
10-06 12:04:13	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdd0c15…
10-06 04:02:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2903c5…
10-05 15:08:37	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc82160…
10-05 00:26:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5fa22c…
10-03 05:03:18	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3861f8…
10-02 09:24:41	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeff6cd…
10-01 16:32:02	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1c4409…
10-01 08:21:29	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x092e59…
09-30 23:20:26	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xabf19c…
09-30 11:55:39	meta up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x45ed58…
09-30 03:52:29	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdc628d…
09-29 19:51:20	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $150 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4ae46f…
09-29 11:41:02	spx up or down on september 29 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xed31a5…
09-29 03:40:26	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x71b7e6…
09-28 19:39:23	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfeb191…
09-28 10:37:15	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb7c7b…
09-28 00:56:18	will tsla dip to 352 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5004c5…
09-27 16:44:59	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd5ce81…
09-27 06:20:17	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5de397…
09-27 06:20:08	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x998569…
09-26 22:15:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5f0a21…
09-26 07:29:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfe00e0…
09-25 18:25:32	wti closes above 92 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x952afb…
09-25 10:15:51	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9911a1…
09-25 02:15:09	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb5d9e5…
09-24 15:41:08	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad2ece…
09-23 05:58:34	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x7101a5…
09-22 21:56:52	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x38f90d…
09-21 13:56:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x077ccb…
09-21 05:50:47	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x613403…
09-20 21:35:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x981fd6…
09-19 05:48:42	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xb8b8c7…
09-14 05:53:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x0773af…
09-13 21:52:54	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xfa1f29…
09-10 08:59:13	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xbdea6e…
09-10 00:51:46	will wti dip to 95 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x84e2eb…
09-09 16:49:33	Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x0081a0…
09-09 08:44:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xb015c3…
09-08 00:20:51	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xda7da1…
09-07 14:02:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xae086d…
09-01 09:26:19	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x8f0933…
08-30 12:44:07	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x26c284…
08-30 00:40:57	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe5a4a7…
08-28 23:16:51	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x3aa319…
08-24 10:37:57	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x9b3ec9…
08-24 02:37:27	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $182 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x183b5d…
08-23 17:14:09	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xb1f315…
08-23 06:34:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbe6b3c…
08-22 04:48:24	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x8cbb83…
08-21 20:04:22	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x91feb0…
08-18 15:51:25	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x2068d4…
08-18 05:14:49	will googl dip to 335 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x09b4da…
08-17 21:13:58	will msft dip to 472 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2ddc58…
08-17 12:25:04	will tsla reach 360 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xcf8964…
08-17 04:10:51	will coin dip to 145 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x7eeca9…
08-12 02:46:42	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xad9560…
08-11 18:46:09	will hood reach 100 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x7bd4fe…
08-11 09:41:21	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x449ab3…
08-11 01:37:22	will amzn reach 284 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x303266…
08-10 17:29:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x06af24…
08-10 07:49:00	will pltr dip to 159 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xefa378…
08-09 23:48:34	will meta dip to 580 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xf82715…
08-09 13:33:12	qubt quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt04	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xf9de83…
08-09 04:47:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x2cef38…
08-08 19:51:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xa644a2…
08-08 11:50:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xb1ba80…
08-08 11:48:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x35af4f…