Mediocre-Polish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

1,040

Trades

1,349

lifetime

Volume

$6.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-28 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 90% +$2

Other

12% 67% -$22

Sports

3% 28% -$45

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No		+5	$3	97¢	$5	+$2	10-15 18:04
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes		+4	$1	8¢	$0	-$1	05-18 18:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	22	$30	66	0	+66	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	+$9	05-19 07:04
Bengaluru 3: Dominik Palan vs Kokoro Isomura	15	$23	87	0	+87	Dominik Palan	-$1	05-19 07:16
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	16	$18	75	0	+75	New York Mets	+$3	05-19 02:31
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	4	$16	13	13	+0	Daniel Altmaier	+$10	05-19 19:18
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	9	$16	25	13	+12	Jakub Mensik	$0	05-27 15:58
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	7	$13	18	14	+4	Milwaukee Brewers	+$2	05-27 18:41
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Oleg Prihodko	5	$13	8	8	+0	Andrea Guerrieri	+$3	05-19 14:42
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur	8	$12	34	0	+34	Alexei Popyrin	-$1	05-19 10:48
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	5	$12	18	7	+11	Nuclear TigeRES	$0	05-19 18:02
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech	8	$11	15	15	+0	Jil Teichmann	+$1	05-27 17:35
Solana Up or Down - October 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	-$6	10-23 04:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	-$7	10-28 02:54
XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	-$6	10-27 16:24
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	-$7	10-24 16:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	-$7	10-23 15:28
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	7	$10	11	8	+4	Joao Fonseca	-$1	05-27 18:52
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	-$7	10-21 18:14
Solana Up or Down - October 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	-$7	10-21 22:09
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 09:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-16 09:45
XRP Up or Down - October 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-15 22:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-15 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-16 05:45
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-16 07:14
Bengaluru 3: Kuan-Yi Lee vs Kriish Tyagi	4	$10	8	6	+2	Kriish Tyagi	+$3	05-19 14:42
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-16 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	-$7	10-24 06:18
Solana Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-15 17:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	10-17 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	3	$10	9	9	+0	Up	-$7	10-28 02:09
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 09:45 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	10-17 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x2c2edd…
10-28 18:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x158f56…
10-28 17:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x8f9205…
10-28 15:28:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x268ca8…
10-28 13:32:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x95e02b…
10-28 13:07:56	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x952b4a…
10-28 11:19:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xd1c506…
10-28 11:18:31	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x2cf7ae…
10-28 10:02:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xd068ff…
10-28 09:12:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x62af79…
10-28 08:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x40c330…
10-28 08:18:19	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x843a6a…
10-28 08:13:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x84ced4…
10-28 08:08:41	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd57dc7…
10-28 07:28:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xc28e76…
10-28 07:02:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xf88455…
10-28 04:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0xded259…
10-28 04:27:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x133ac0…
10-28 04:17:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x8cec00…
10-28 03:53:34	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x5c089d…
10-28 03:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xe1c86d…
10-28 03:42:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x83398a…
10-28 03:08:29	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xeda674…
10-28 02:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x5b337a…
10-28 02:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x3903f6…
10-28 02:52:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xaab6db…
10-28 02:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xe40dd6…
10-28 02:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x928d92…
10-28 02:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xf20eba…
10-28 02:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x06d832…
10-28 01:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5b33ee…
10-28 01:27:44	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x216fa3…
10-28 01:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x1e1b8f…
10-28 00:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x7e13c0…
10-27 23:33:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x57e1cd…
10-27 23:32:50	BNB Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x6c6a9d…
10-27 23:27:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x94a5c4…
10-27 21:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x4fc7fb…
10-27 21:08:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xbcac9d…
10-27 19:08:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb74257…
10-27 19:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xc88fe8…
10-27 19:02:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$0	0x42cfd8…
10-27 18:17:39	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x67c565…
10-27 17:23:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xaa3170…
10-27 17:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x68822b…
10-27 16:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xe3f416…
10-27 16:24:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x811731…
10-27 16:23:45	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xe35924…
10-27 16:17:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0x841e67…
10-27 16:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x0773fd…
10-27 15:23:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x128ade…
10-27 14:58:20	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5ad553…
10-27 14:23:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x6a40fc…
10-27 13:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x6f5092…
10-27 13:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xa7900b…
10-27 12:38:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xe23ec1…
10-27 12:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x55f37c…
10-27 11:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xa08a99…
10-27 10:54:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x5f6d8b…
10-27 09:08:23	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xe23eee…
10-27 08:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xa46fda…
10-27 08:38:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x584580…
10-27 08:13:36	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xa6737d…
10-27 07:23:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xa44fa3…
10-27 07:07:53	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x37844e…
10-27 04:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xbd7b84…
10-26 13:23:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x53e98a…
10-24 17:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x2d0621…
10-24 16:59:12	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0xcc1dae…
10-24 16:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xb9774c…
10-24 16:58:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xecaa8c…
10-24 16:58:14	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x402ad8…
10-24 16:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x09bf53…
10-24 15:22:42	BNB Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xfb86e4…
10-24 15:22:39	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xa39dcf…
10-24 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x0a059d…
10-24 14:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xd4ac77…
10-24 13:37:57	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xef5c61…
10-24 12:12:56	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xd7f45e…
10-24 11:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x99ac4e…
10-24 11:02:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xa54ac0…
10-24 10:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xaadb50…
10-24 10:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x80a9d7…
10-24 08:53:00	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x2c1441…
10-24 08:13:47	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x56b0cb…
10-24 06:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xbe9b22…
10-24 06:18:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x224a56…
10-24 03:58:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xb69c1d…
10-24 03:18:33	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x19081d…
10-24 02:27:59	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xf2f4cc…
10-24 01:32:50	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xfa5681…
10-24 01:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x6cd6ee…
10-24 01:08:50	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x96f49b…
10-24 00:22:59	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xe1b30b…
10-23 22:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x60109b…
10-23 22:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x583ced…
10-23 22:17:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x8358e9…
10-23 22:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x288b1e…
10-23 21:57:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xe9dccb…
10-23 21:28:27	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x7cbe88…