Active-Runway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$228

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

639

Trades

1,741

lifetime

Volume

$7.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 08-04 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

96% 49% -$221

Politics

4% 75% +$1

Crypto

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	28	$578	600	599	+1	No	-$285	04-25 03:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	12	$463	259	259	+0	Yes	+$45	07-09 17:31
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	10	$458	249	249	+0	Yes	-$2	07-20 00:37
highest temperature in paris on april 20 2026 15c	22	$411	265	264	+1	Yes	+$43	04-20 16:44
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$371	364	364	+0	cancelled	-$7	07-02 20:39
Will Trump dance today?	20	$300	150,000	150,000	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 20:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	4	$289	150	150	+0	Yes	+$10	07-21 19:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 7?	4	$179	100	100	+0	Yes	+$19	07-07 08:04
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	13	$172	153	152	+1	Yes	+$73	04-20 20:47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 3?	15	$168	121	121	+0	Yes	+$25	07-03 23:32
highest temperature in helsinki on april 19 2026 10c	12	$153	97	97	+0	Yes	+$1	04-19 14:20
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 23c	4	$137	70	70	+0	No	+$3	04-21 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	18	$133	100	100	+0	Yes	+$9	05-10 02:56
highest temperature in london on april 21 2026 13c	9	$93	724	74	+650	No	+$9	04-21 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?	3	$83	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	05-16 10:31
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	7	$76	56	66	-10	Yes	+$20	04-21 05:55
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 74 75f	3	$74	38	38	+0	No	+$2	04-21 01:16
highest temperature in jeddah on april 19 2026 37c	2	$70	42	41	+1	No	+$9	04-19 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 19?	4	$68	38	38	+0	Yes	+$8	07-19 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 25?	5	$68	76	76	+0	No	+$0	04-25 00:36
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 28c	4	$63	60	60	+0	Yes	+$27	04-19 07:12
highest temperature in shanghai on april 23 2026 16c	3	$54	35	34	+1	Yes	+$10	04-23 07:16
highest temperature in milan on april 19 2026 23c	9	$47	206	203	+3	No	-$8	04-19 13:49
highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 11c	2	$44	44	42	+2	Yes	+$43	04-22 01:43
highest temperature in jeddah on april 19 2026 38c	8	$43	30	29	+0	Yes	+$3	04-19 11:05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 16?	3	$39	21	21	+0	Yes	+$3	07-16 17:31
highest temperature in helsinki on april 21 2026 15c	5	$39	39	38	+0	Yes	-$1	04-21 12:54
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 33c	2	$37	40	40	+0	Yes	+$34	04-22 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?	6	$33	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	07-19 18:36
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	2	$33	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	04-23 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 15:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x38b774…
08-04 12:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc12343…
08-03 23:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf8334a…
08-03 23:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x92ab4a…
08-02 23:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe4f056…
08-02 23:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x58609f…
07-31 19:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe64b67…
07-31 18:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x64307e…
07-29 21:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xa50418…
07-29 19:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xbf0831…
07-28 23:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd04753…
07-28 23:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xb86f88…
07-28 21:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0xa69088…
07-28 19:02:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x9ef3b8…
07-28 15:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0728e2…
07-28 12:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe117e1…
07-27 21:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xbc73d5…
07-27 19:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x6f9439…
07-27 19:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xe42769…
07-26 21:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x65fec8…
07-26 20:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0b5219…
07-26 19:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5570c3…
07-26 18:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xca07e2…
07-25 21:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xca18bd…
07-25 20:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x51db55…
07-25 19:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4360ca…
07-24 20:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9006f6…
07-24 19:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0ac15e…
07-24 17:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x0cfcc1…
07-24 17:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdb1988…
07-24 15:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc3850a…
07-24 09:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0817eb…
07-24 07:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x35aa47…
07-22 10:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x71f085…
07-22 07:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xba27bc…
07-21 23:00:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3bc426…
07-21 22:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 21?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x929668…
07-21 22:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 21?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x784a86…
07-21 22:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 21?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x48c2af…
07-21 21:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe3f009…
07-21 20:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x442d2d…
07-21 20:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb2a984…
07-21 19:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5d1c58…
07-21 19:26:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0x80518e…
07-21 19:26:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe32aa2…
07-21 17:37:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	124	93¢	$115	0xa0e6bf…
07-21 17:36:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x3fdc38…
07-21 16:34:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x07f22e…
07-21 08:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c1089…
07-21 07:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x471663…
07-20 23:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x343420…
07-20 23:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc43eac…
07-20 23:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 20?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xba501b…
07-20 22:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1fa411…
07-20 21:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x015413…
07-20 15:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0xc96ef0…
07-20 15:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4b749e…
07-20 11:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x95077a…
07-20 09:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x06745e…
07-20 09:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xd314f5…
07-20 09:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x144c68…
07-20 09:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3965df…
07-20 09:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe8326b…
07-20 00:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	Yes	SELL	209	99¢	$208	0x1d5e07…
07-19 22:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x2cb100…
07-19 21:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xa1ca36…
07-19 21:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x5498b9…
07-19 21:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x876bdb…
07-19 21:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8b13d8…
07-19 20:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x80019a…
07-19 20:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x10e1af…
07-19 20:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7facdf…
07-19 19:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x7f366e…
07-19 19:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x572577…
07-19 19:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x18301b…
07-19 18:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0x1c8d29…
07-19 18:00:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x08634f…
07-19 16:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0xdaab60…
07-19 16:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd00215…
07-19 16:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5f6bc7…
07-19 16:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb06689…
07-19 16:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x37966d…
07-19 15:55:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb37fef…
07-19 13:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xed4c1b…
07-19 13:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xd20eee…
07-19 13:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7d2bad…
07-19 11:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xb30dfb…
07-19 09:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfe8282…
07-19 06:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x270a25…
07-18 21:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6351f9…
07-18 19:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8f44e1…
07-18 18:25:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc627b1…
07-18 16:13:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xfc8565…
07-18 10:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x26bf3f…
07-18 09:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x445dba…
07-18 07:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf81c0e…
07-18 07:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb0e1dd…
07-17 22:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 17?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x360a7a…
07-17 22:18:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0x1c3b78…
07-17 21:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 17?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb60bb1…