Afraid-Howitzer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-09 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

38% 0% —

Sports

16% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	20	$1.5K	1,135	1,135	+0	open	—	05-16 02:32
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-30 05:46
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	27	$702	567	567	+0	open	—	04-16 13:12
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	5	$554	374	374	+0	open	—	04-16 21:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$510	340	340	+0	open	—	05-11 15:00
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$389	223	223	+0	open	—	04-23 21:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$378	215	215	+0	No	+$0	04-19 18:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	10	$365	400	400	+0	open	—	04-17 14:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	4	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 13:49
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	4	$346	250	250	+0	open	—	04-18 18:08
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	9	$321	255	255	+0	open	—	06-23 04:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	7	$300	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 12:36
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	10	$298	240	240	+0	open	—	04-19 17:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$270	175	175	+0	open	—	04-15 21:08
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 18:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$244	200	200	+0	open	—	07-07 01:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$228	346	346	+0	open	—	05-19 23:24
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$227	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 18:23
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$224	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 20:04
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$220	122	122	+0	open	—	04-14 06:25
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$217	126	126	+0	open	—	06-24 11:53
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$212	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 21:04
over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	2	$212	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 13:59
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$208	200	200	+0	open	—	07-09 20:01
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	2	$204	157	157	+0	open	—	07-01 10:26
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$204	200	200	+0	open	—	07-08 07:29
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 0 39	6	$202	117	117	+0	open	—	04-15 07:40
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$195	139	139	+0	Yes	+$0	04-19 14:37
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	2	$192	111	111	+0	open	—	04-14 11:52
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$188	200	200	+0	open	—	04-16 20:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:01:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0xe76eb0…
07-09 10:10:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0x18f36d…
07-08 21:04:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x966924…
07-08 21:03:56	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xa7d663…
07-08 07:29:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	SELL	200	49¢	$98	0x4b87bc…
07-07 14:51:55	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xed6c15…
07-07 01:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0xf9d0fb…
07-06 23:21:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xa9f42a…
07-02 16:04:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xf91b9b…
07-02 15:47:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x5315cd…
07-01 10:26:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	SELL	157	65¢	$102	0x3a6d5f…
07-01 06:20:56	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	157	65¢	$102	0xf1f651…
06-30 01:19:17	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x24a132…
06-30 01:19:16	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	99	48¢	$48	0x285367…
06-30 01:10:20	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0xe83a57…
06-30 01:02:40	will netherlands reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134487	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x1d989a…
06-29 14:50:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xb1236c…
06-29 14:49:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x5e2e33…
06-29 13:30:56	atp fritz draper 2026 06 29	Taylor Fritz	SELL	44	58¢	$25	0x081b3e…
06-29 13:30:53	atp fritz draper 2026 06 29	Taylor Fritz	BUY	44	58¢	$25	0xd05e50…
06-26 13:59:51	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	200	46¢	$92	0xd807c7…
06-25 15:28:31	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x9cfe08…
06-24 11:53:47	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	126	86¢	$108	0xadfd74…
06-24 11:49:38	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	126	86¢	$108	0xe51cbe…
06-23 04:16:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x8c7a83…
06-23 04:13:28	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xc444f4…
06-23 04:10:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0xabadb3…
06-23 04:02:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xbfd7bb…
06-23 03:52:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x1612ec…
06-23 03:52:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xd0d9af…
06-23 03:28:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	129	66¢	$85	0x508fb3…
06-21 05:40:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	126	60¢	$76	0x84a5e0…
06-20 19:48:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	126	60¢	$76	0x871900…
05-30 05:46:53	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	SELL	1,000	62¢	$620	0xfa88d3…
05-30 05:46:51	Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0xa9ab3b…
05-22 22:07:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	15¢	$45	0xbf39af…
05-22 22:02:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	303	15¢	$45	0xd14d67…
05-19 23:24:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	346	33¢	$114	0x50a182…
05-19 23:22:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	275	33¢	$91	0x4a8813…
05-19 23:22:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	71	33¢	$24	0xb0aec7…
05-16 02:32:27	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	451	65¢	$293	0x2a5377…
05-16 02:32:25	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x65150e…
05-16 02:32:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	148	65¢	$96	0xddc8b8…
05-16 02:32:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x052627…
05-16 02:32:16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0x8b6a07…
05-16 02:32:13	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0x92cea4…
05-16 02:32:11	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	43	65¢	$28	0xf543bc…
05-16 02:32:09	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	19	65¢	$13	0xf89b11…
05-16 02:32:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xf3f1fa…
05-16 02:31:57	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x8e2e0e…
05-16 02:31:52	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x837e24…
05-16 02:31:38	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	155	65¢	$101	0xb968bb…
05-16 02:31:34	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x09bcc6…
05-16 02:31:27	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	49	64¢	$31	0x405385…
05-16 02:22:21	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x4ed6db…
05-16 02:21:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	37	56¢	$20	0x0c72e5…
05-16 02:19:18	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	87	56¢	$49	0xbf07a7…
05-16 02:19:00	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0xf09702…
05-16 02:19:00	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	49	65¢	$32	0x86f020…
05-15 20:26:10	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0xc88392…
05-13 10:06:12	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	53	63¢	$33	0xf072f5…
05-13 06:17:32	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	53	63¢	$33	0x9a2a0a…
05-11 15:00:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	340	75¢	$255	0x11bda4…
05-11 15:00:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	340	75¢	$255	0xce0564…
04-23 21:33:58	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	87¢	$195	0x9acf00…
04-23 21:33:56	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	223	87¢	$194	0x260ae6…
04-19 18:06:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	55	88¢	$48	0xbe979c…
04-19 18:03:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	160	88¢	$141	0x85b397…
04-19 18:02:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	215	88¢	$189	0x4eaa10…
04-19 17:23:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	127	62¢	$79	0x0fd5f9…
04-19 14:37:54	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	139	70¢	$97	0x6ca4f6…
04-19 12:17:14	Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	139	70¢	$97	0x800b40…
04-19 12:15:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x4864be…
04-19 12:11:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xbe3f7d…
04-19 12:10:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xeb9a59…
04-19 12:09:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0xfd1085…
04-19 12:09:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	53	62¢	$33	0x613d65…
04-19 12:07:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0xcf46e6…
04-19 12:05:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$7	0x083719…
04-19 12:05:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$7	0x01af53…
04-19 12:05:22	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	240	62¢	$149	0x2e0804…
04-18 18:08:32	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	SELL	200	57¢	$113	0x5118ad…
04-18 14:57:44	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x093a97…
04-18 09:58:14	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	SELL	55	62¢	$34	0x6fa5ff…
04-17 22:02:20	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xd41228…
04-17 22:02:20	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x82a1d6…
04-17 22:02:18	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfaad13…
04-17 22:02:18	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdb3b09…
04-17 22:02:18	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x68fa58…
04-17 22:02:18	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x41b58f…
04-17 22:02:18	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0b37df…
04-17 22:02:16	Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x28ba3a…
04-17 18:23:18	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	190	51¢	$97	0x1452eb…
04-17 18:22:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xdf241e…
04-17 18:22:18	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xfcdca5…
04-17 17:47:06	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x789bb3…
04-17 17:47:00	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xcec672…
04-17 17:46:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xe39ce2…
04-17 17:46:56	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xd45e90…
04-17 17:46:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	32¢	$42	0xc4dc1f…