Hearty-Wire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

4,312

Trades

14,708

lifetime

Volume

$80.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 09-21 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 43% -$3,327

Other

7% 51% -$544

Sports

0% 57% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 343 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 24?	2	$1.3K	655	655	+0	No	-$6	07-24 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 23?	2	$545	273	273	+0	No	-$1	07-23 11:24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 24?	4	$535	349	349	+0	No	-$153	07-24 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 14:45 UTC	46	$402	872	0	+872	Down	+$2	06-08 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	43	$399	527	0	+527	Up	+$118	05-12 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:40 UTC	29	$294	488	0	+488	Up	-$74	06-08 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 23?	23	$266	194	194	+0	Yes	+$121	07-23 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$251	199	199	+0	Up	+$51	05-23 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:15 UTC	24	$248	467	0	+467	Down	-$52	06-08 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 15:00 UTC	32	$247	446	0	+446	Down	-$63	06-08 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:40 UTC	22	$226	403	0	+403	Up	-$66	06-09 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 14:45 UTC	12	$223	133	133	+0	Up	+$42	07-07 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	19	$220	450	0	+450	Down	+$6	06-08 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$212	225	0	+225	Up	-$212	05-07 01:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 19:30 UTC	17	$211	427	0	+427	Up	+$9	06-08 19:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-02 19:45 UTC	18	$207	302	0	+302	Down	-$73	07-02 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 10:00 UTC	24	$207	507	0	+507	Up	+$32	06-09 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$206	221	0	+221	Up	+$15	05-06 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 22:10 UTC	17	$204	334	0	+334	Down	-$70	06-08 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$201	214	0	+214	Down	+$13	05-06 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 16:50 UTC	20	$196	326	0	+326	Down	-$87	06-07 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:30 UTC	22	$195	402	0	+402	Up	+$9	06-08 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 23:05 UTC	15	$194	354	0	+354	Down	+$22	06-07 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	30	$193	339	0	+339	Down	-$43	05-15 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	12	$186	196	0	+196	Up	-$186	05-08 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$183	197	0	+197	Up	+$14	05-08 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$180	190	0	+190	Down	+$9	05-08 02:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 09:15 UTC	16	$179	279	0	+279	Up	-$74	07-08 09:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 14:00 UTC	15	$178	265	0	+265	Down	-$10	07-07 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$178	189	0	+189	Down	+$11	05-07 21:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 11:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x71e1e9…
09-21 11:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8d752e…
09-21 11:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd11b37…
09-21 10:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0xbaf89c…
09-21 10:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7fb070…
09-21 10:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf106f9…
09-21 10:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xde3240…
09-21 10:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x57023f…
09-20 12:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$46	0x53d2fe…
09-20 11:53:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xb529e3…
09-19 13:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xa9c952…
09-19 13:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xa6f346…
09-19 13:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x7bb451…
09-19 12:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf6e42f…
09-19 12:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x35f841…
09-19 12:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x86749b…
09-19 11:54:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x3fdd28…
09-19 10:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x9c4f3d…
09-19 10:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x36157a…
09-19 10:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaa8ec0…
09-19 10:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x71e61a…
09-19 06:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5d358c…
09-19 06:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x379ca1…
09-19 05:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdb5bfe…
09-19 03:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7e6830…
09-19 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0xd2fc22…
09-19 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xa8465f…
09-19 02:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x2e3a65…
09-17 22:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcd2e1b…
09-17 21:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa397c1…
09-17 20:29:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x5e7b89…
09-17 20:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x34f872…
09-17 19:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x65d0a3…
09-17 19:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x64bb1b…
09-17 11:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0b0f36…
09-17 04:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x367096…
09-16 21:34:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa2bbb3…
09-16 21:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa7f1be…
09-15 09:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8157a5…
09-15 09:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x486121…
09-15 09:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x0be6b4…
09-15 09:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x0883d3…
09-15 03:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x32bd4a…
09-14 23:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xefed18…
09-14 23:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x4ff9ce…
09-14 23:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x308845…
09-14 23:59:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x2a6c84…
09-14 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb0ab9c…
09-14 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x8bedb0…
09-14 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x72b306…
09-14 04:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x32b09b…
09-14 01:17:03	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or higher on September 14?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2071be…
09-13 23:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x765063…
09-13 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc99f39…
09-13 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xbe1505…
09-13 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7dfdd2…
09-13 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x441b3c…
09-13 20:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x2f4e6b…
09-13 20:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5208b8…
09-13 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe7d50f…
09-13 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xd4d739…
09-13 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc91908…
09-13 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xc266ce…
09-13 17:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x28e218…
09-13 12:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x5abd76…
09-13 12:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x19dbbd…
09-13 11:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x9c5a0d…
09-13 11:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfeee9a…
09-13 11:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x97c319…
09-13 11:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x819fa8…
09-13 07:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x991781…
09-13 05:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe5921d…
09-13 05:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x2f3444…
09-13 04:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe8bf7f…
09-13 04:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xe7c039…
09-13 04:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x97d8d2…
09-13 04:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x888b8f…
09-13 04:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xff9592…
09-13 04:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x46ed66…
09-13 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0b98a0…
09-13 03:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x23f8a9…
09-13 03:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf3f879…
09-13 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5204b8…
09-13 00:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xbc5325…
09-13 00:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x896774…
09-13 00:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x053a42…
09-13 00:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb26e27…
09-13 00:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5b0e30…
09-12 23:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xf133e8…
09-12 23:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x5665ea…
09-12 23:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x73f192…
09-12 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x754076…
09-12 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x2fbc14…
09-12 23:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x507f52…
09-12 23:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x249faf…
09-12 23:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x04b610…
09-12 22:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x828627…
09-12 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf8996b…
09-12 19:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5672b0…
09-12 19:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x134b2e…