Golden-Presidency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$233

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

390

Trades

759

lifetime

Volume

$77.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$108

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-09 09:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

94% 60% +$285

Crypto

6% 85% -$53

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+833	$100	12¢	$104	+$4	09-23 15:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes		+4	$3	99¢	$4	+$1	10-09 09:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?	2	$2.4K	1,408	1,408	+0	Yes	+$380	09-17 19:39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	2	$2.3K	1,351	1,351	+0	Yes	+$346	09-20 14:53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	3	$2.3K	1,480	1,282	+198	Yes	+$399	09-15 21:21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?	2	$2.3K	1,282	1,282	+0	Yes	+$281	09-19 21:01
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20?	2	$2.2K	1,266	1,266	+0	Yes	+$241	09-20 20:08
wta parks fernand 2026 09 22	2	$2.2K	1,370	1,370	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$164	09-23 12:55
wta andreev sasnovi 2026 09 22	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	Mirra Andreeva	+$110	09-23 11:57
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter	4	$2.1K	1,176	1,176	+0	Karolina Muchova	+$76	10-02 08:09
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?	2	$2.1K	1,075	1,075	+0	Yes	+$74	09-18 19:18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	2	$2.1K	1,075	1,075	+0	Yes	+$66	09-16 20:03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?	2	$2.0K	1,071	1,071	+0	Yes	+$168	09-13 15:35
atp hijikat rublev 2026 09 25	2	$1.8K	1,081	1,081	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$206	09-25 11:26
daviscup zverev prizmic 2026 09 20	2	$1.7K	897	897	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$96	09-20 18:30
wta andreev fernand 2026 09 24	4	$1.5K	1,014	1,014	+0	Leylah Fernandez	+$158	09-25 12:19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?	2	$1.5K	810	810	+0	Yes	+$89	09-12 19:24
Singapore Open: Maria Sakkari vs Nao Hibino	2	$1.5K	814	814	+0	Maria Sakkari	+$96	09-24 15:18
China Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Maja Chwalinska	2	$1.4K	822	822	+0	Dayana Yastremska	+$222	10-02 05:26
China Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolina	4	$1.3K	1,946	1,946	+0	Elina Svitolina	-$658	10-03 08:15
Tolentino: Veronika Erjavec vs Katerina Tsygourova	2	$1.3K	833	833	+0	Veronika Erjavec	+$333	09-22 14:20
Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou	2	$1.2K	746	746	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$246	09-24 14:24
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderi	2	$1.2K	873	873	+0	Kyrian Jacquet	+$207	10-02 08:31
St. Tropez: Remy Bertola vs Jesper de Jong	2	$1.2K	705	705	+0	Jesper de Jong	+$204	09-22 14:20
Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	3	$1.2K	667	667	+0	Xinyu Wang	+$166	09-24 09:44
China Open: Sara Bejlek vs Maddison Inglis	2	$1.1K	704	704	+0	Sara Bejlek	+$123	10-02 09:10
US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina	2	$1.1K	646	646	+0	Elena Rybakina	+$167	09-09 18:00
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva	2	$1.0K	635	635	+0	Anna Bondar	+$229	09-24 06:24
Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?	1	$1000	1,449	0	+1,449	No	-$1,000	09-27 12:47
wta fernand gibson 2026 09 27	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Leylah Fernandez	+$493	09-27 08:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?	1	$1000	1,429	0	+1,429	Yes	+$429	09-20 18:41
China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	2	$953	554	554	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$153	10-01 14:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 09:33:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xab9449…
10-08 19:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0x547bf9…
10-08 19:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x984d7f…
10-08 19:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x075c8a…
10-08 19:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x76350f…
10-08 09:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x5d9ca1…
10-08 09:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x238cd8…
10-08 04:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x8b3e79…
10-08 04:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xfd052f…
10-08 04:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xabdb55…
10-08 04:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0c44bf…
10-08 04:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x9bf54b…
10-08 04:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x6484a9…
10-08 04:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0x709d1c…
10-08 04:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xf1e2b1…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x0af8f7…
10-07 20:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x39d23f…
10-07 20:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$7	0x5c1b8b…
10-07 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xacb2ab…
10-07 19:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x28dca3…
10-07 18:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x7b08ed…
10-07 18:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x99c327…
10-07 18:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x219a06…
10-07 18:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4f3187…
10-07 18:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$8	0xbf0eb7…
10-07 18:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x58e792…
10-07 17:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x89cee3…
10-07 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x071131…
10-07 17:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$9	0xf353bb…
10-07 17:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x40d634…
10-07 17:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x161494…
10-07 17:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xada642…
10-07 17:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x7ef667…
10-07 17:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xf6a208…
10-07 15:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0xd739ca…
10-07 15:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xafe6c7…
10-07 15:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0x9cdd73…
10-07 15:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3fdb1a…
10-07 06:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0x675f2f…
10-07 06:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xfc8102…
10-07 06:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x656661…
10-07 06:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x750472…
10-06 21:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x63fc43…
10-06 21:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x11f265…
10-06 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xbd292f…
10-06 21:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x505b1c…
10-06 15:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xe05b72…
10-06 15:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xe4476e…
10-06 15:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x11625a…
10-06 15:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf288fc…
10-06 15:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xe703ee…
10-06 15:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x8824f9…
10-06 15:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x17eb36…
10-06 15:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x29ad07…
10-06 15:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xc1dbf9…
10-06 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x398fd6…
10-06 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xec0734…
10-06 15:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfcd967…
10-06 15:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x38b0a7…
10-06 15:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x307e6d…
10-06 15:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x150137…
10-06 15:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf9349b…
10-06 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x4f0bdb…
10-06 15:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x94f658…
10-06 15:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x933f08…
10-06 15:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x96abd7…
10-06 15:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x8256fb…
10-06 15:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xaf4332…
10-06 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x6fb824…
10-06 15:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xfd283c…
10-06 15:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xdfd13d…
10-06 15:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x7b6198…
10-06 08:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xea0ef7…
10-06 08:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x65adfc…
10-06 07:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x96cb0c…
10-06 07:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xfd3c4c…
10-06 07:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x832403…
10-06 07:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9974e6…
10-06 07:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x37f6ea…
10-06 07:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbd7fb7…
10-06 07:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x4e5a5f…
10-06 07:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xe438aa…
10-06 07:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4feef6…
10-06 07:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xa9d58e…
10-06 07:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0xdbadcd…
10-06 07:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x2355f5…
10-06 07:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x8e9ea5…
10-06 07:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xaf9b1e…
10-06 04:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xc10b03…
10-06 04:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6b70ce…
10-06 04:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xdd0e62…
10-06 04:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xc1088a…
10-06 04:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x25c755…
10-06 04:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x540d8b…
10-06 04:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x5a6e32…
10-06 04:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xe11d0a…
10-06 04:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x8fde59…
10-06 04:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x66ae27…
10-06 04:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x46cf6c…
10-06 04:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xea66f8…