Low-Credibility — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

304

Trades

8,451

lifetime

Volume

$45.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-17 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 94% +$18

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 297 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773339600	27	$14	135	+135	open	—	03-12 18:25
btc updown 5m 1772587200	2	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-04 01:24
btc updown 5m 1772719500	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-05 14:09
btc updown 5m 1772584200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-04 00:33
btc updown 5m 1772589600	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-04 02:03
btc updown 5m 1772397000	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-01 20:33
btc updown 5m 1772902800	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 17:03
btc updown 5m 1772889300	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	03-07 13:20
btc updown 5m 1772915700	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 20:38
btc updown 5m 1772850900	1	$10	18	+18	open	—	03-07 02:39
xrp updown 15m 1772373600	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-01 14:07
btc updown 5m 1772550900	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 15:18
btc updown 5m 1772721000	3	$10	19	+19	open	—	03-05 14:34
btc updown 5m 1772633700	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	03-04 14:18
btc updown 5m 1772913000	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	03-07 19:52
btc updown 5m 1772856000	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	03-07 04:03
btc updown 5m 1772918400	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-07 21:23
btc updown 5m 1772930100	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	03-08 00:38
btc updown 5m 1772603700	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-04 05:58
bitcoin up or down march 3 9am et	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 14:44
btc updown 5m 1772635500	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-04 14:48
btc updown 5m 1772804400	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-06 13:43
btc updown 5m 1772464200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-02 15:12
btc updown 5m 1772527200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 08:43
btc updown 5m 1772539200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-03 12:03
btc updown 5m 1772897400	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 15:33
btc updown 5m 1772596800	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-04 04:03
btc updown 5m 1772914200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-07 20:12
btc updown 5m 1772449200	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-02 11:03
btc updown 15m 1772824500	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	03-06 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe1dc08…
05-17 21:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa31812…
05-17 21:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf4d4c5…
05-17 20:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2c16bc…
05-17 19:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa0d93c…
05-17 19:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x32a900…
05-17 19:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb93f39…
05-17 18:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa48555…
05-17 18:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6270a8…
05-17 18:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xc6b102…
05-17 18:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xaf41f6…
05-17 17:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x59bf9e…
05-17 17:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x32cdfa…
05-17 17:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x95c048…
05-17 16:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf21e30…
05-17 16:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8ce766…
05-17 16:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x36c8ac…
05-17 16:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf98ca4…
05-17 16:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9480b8…
05-17 16:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbb7c9b…
05-17 16:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf1a93c…
05-17 15:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7f5fd0…
05-17 15:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb082da…
05-17 15:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f0fef…
05-17 14:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x56e7df…
05-17 14:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x97ca68…
05-17 14:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x7ced48…
05-17 14:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcae2e6…
05-17 14:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe3a57…
05-17 13:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0e13e0…
05-17 13:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9f8b39…
05-17 13:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd19af8…
05-17 12:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbbc7a2…
05-17 12:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6457b6…
05-17 12:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x671653…
05-17 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5c688a…
05-17 11:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0de6ed…
05-17 11:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x356e58…
05-17 11:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x6c3f81…
05-17 11:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x61a7d2…
05-17 10:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x295785…
05-17 10:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1da314…
05-17 10:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x975ead…
05-17 10:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe856a4…
05-17 10:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9ea6a1…
05-17 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x802da6…
05-17 10:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2cb84c…
05-17 09:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc8b5aa…
05-17 09:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x165418…
05-17 09:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x090248…
05-17 09:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x06b121…
05-17 09:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcee00e…
05-17 07:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd5a1e5…
05-17 07:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd34ee…
05-17 07:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd25e7a…
05-17 06:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x38c514…
05-17 04:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf25a79…
05-17 03:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x997712…
05-17 03:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x79080f…
05-17 02:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0f6393…
05-17 02:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x33224b…
05-17 02:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbcb19f…
05-17 02:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbf8f5b…
05-17 01:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab1a49…
05-17 01:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xedc35e…
05-17 01:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xa9e555…
05-17 01:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7ca4ab…
05-17 01:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x488667…
05-17 01:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x41b38a…
05-17 01:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9bae7d…
05-17 00:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbce6a8…
05-17 00:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x10defe…
05-17 00:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x48c8e3…
05-17 00:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x549e86…
05-17 00:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x070298…
05-17 00:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf601d5…
05-16 23:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0ec711…
05-16 23:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdb9262…
05-16 23:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5b385d…
05-16 22:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0517ff…
05-16 22:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x17d9a2…
05-16 22:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc8c9d4…
05-16 22:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x423460…
05-16 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x559fc0…
05-16 21:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9f5afa…
05-16 21:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x254c09…
05-16 21:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xdd6d86…
05-16 21:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa0580d…
05-16 21:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb7be7c…
05-16 20:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x241565…
05-16 20:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7dfd92…
05-16 19:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x41bb8d…
05-16 19:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa9809…
05-16 18:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x234156…
05-16 16:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9c3520…
05-16 16:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbbe4af…
05-16 15:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7b337a…
05-16 15:07:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4183ca…
05-16 15:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdd4344…
05-16 14:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe0479b…