Frugal-Teaching — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

-$177

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

407

Trades

1,646

lifetime

Volume

$76.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-10 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Other

87% 79% -$20

Crypto

9% 53% -$77

Politics

3% 57% -$63

Sports

1% 60% -$155

Tech

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+495	$209	6¢	$32	-$177	07-20 14:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 5.5	117	$2.2K	1,114	1,114	+0	Under	+$10	05-17 20:52
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	7	$1.9K	1,004	1,004	+0	No	+$10	05-16 14:43
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	17	$1.4K	824	824	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$28	04-13 17:23
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?	25	$1.1K	535	535	+0	Yes	$0	02-22 12:44
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 team total away 2pt5	4	$1.0K	505	505	+0	Under	+$5	06-19 21:04
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 120 139	7	$824	432	432	+0	No	+$11	03-27 12:51
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 0 99	12	$821	413	413	+0	No	+$1	03-03 19:16
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 4pt5	2	$808	417	417	+0	Under	+$8	06-15 20:43
Bitway FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$787	397	397	+0	Yes	-$1	03-02 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 09:55 UTC	4	$746	405	404	+1	Up	-$29	03-04 10:01
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	33	$740	3,680	3,680	+0	No	-$76	02-13 09:28
ethereum up or down on march 4	7	$727	378	378	+0	Up	+$15	03-04 15:08
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	10	$697	412	412	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$2	05-09 17:33
OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$697	384	381	+3	Yes	+$8	04-03 11:21
cricipl raj che 2026 03 30	4	$648	369	369	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$7	03-30 16:21
cricipl roy che 2026 04 05	10	$645	1,318	1,318	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$1	04-05 17:28
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	8	$634	401	401	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$0	04-25 17:47
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	11	$623	445	444	+1	Kolkata Knight Riders	$0	04-26 18:19
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	3	$613	317	317	+0	Yes	+$4	03-30 11:00
fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	4	$613	323	323	+0	Under	+$13	06-15 19:46
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	2	$606	304	304	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 15:36
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	4	$604	306	306	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$6	05-04 17:49
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 7?	2	$603	303	303	+0	No	+$3	05-07 19:52
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 200 219	4	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	04-09 20:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$598	310	310	+0	No	-$1	04-28 13:06
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	2	$597	300	300	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$2	04-29 18:02
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	6	$596	300	300	+0	Yes	+$3	04-30 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	4	$590	295	295	+0	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-16?	5	$583	300	300	+0	Yes	+$1	05-16 13:54
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?	29	$581	700	700	+0	Down	-$7	04-29 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 16:45:37	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x10226f…
10-10 07:31:49	FC Tōkyō vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf57ebc…
10-10 07:26:10	FC Tōkyō vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf255d0…
10-09 16:32:38	Finland vs. Serbia: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x97a75a…
09-09 19:43:01	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	147	35¢	$51	0xb6c9e9…
09-09 19:24:06	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x010db9…
09-09 17:57:28	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x9efe9a…
07-25 19:59:28	sui luz thu 2026 07 25 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0xacc77b…
07-25 19:53:33	sui luz thu 2026 07 25 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xeaf7a6…
07-25 19:12:12	sui luz thu 2026 07 25 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0x218fd5…
07-20 14:50:25	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x888d8b…
07-19 21:27:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x8bd4f8…
07-18 22:19:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	107	35¢	$37	0xb3d140…
07-18 21:23:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xaa86e0…
07-15 18:19:16	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x6fb6c9…
07-14 20:17:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x0ac5d3…
07-11 15:02:20	Exact Score: Aalesunds FK 3 - 3 Molde FK?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x123621…
07-10 20:58:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xd476e7…
07-10 20:51:04	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xb8d87c…
07-10 20:38:19	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x7c446e…
07-10 20:27:37	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xedc640…
07-10 19:55:16	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	112	92¢	$103	0x3fd30c…
07-10 19:43:59	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x35c792…
07-10 09:31:38	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x245d15…
07-09 21:24:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	65	98¢	$64	0xc5bf2b…
07-09 21:22:23	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	53	26¢	$14	0x6595d1…
07-09 21:19:38	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	53	24¢	$13	0x63f33a…
07-09 21:19:13	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x353616…
07-08 17:01:10	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$6	0xbe1ddc…
07-07 17:58:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x25c340…
07-06 21:14:43	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	66	29¢	$19	0xfa6dd2…
07-06 20:38:59	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9ad2b4…
07-06 20:16:17	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x2c0044…
06-30 22:36:34	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xc32f03…
06-30 19:11:37	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9a1c81…
06-30 18:48:10	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xadf3c6…
06-30 18:14:53	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	63	95¢	$59	0xaae462…
06-30 18:13:14	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	37	95¢	$36	0xff3de0…
06-30 17:40:58	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x218eb9…
06-30 02:58:22	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	105	96¢	$101	0xd09e24…
06-30 02:49:22	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x9e0730…
06-28 20:57:41	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x08b287…
06-28 20:52:35	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x3957fa…
06-28 20:45:52	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x84f441…
06-28 19:04:25	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x00862a…
06-26 20:29:10	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xde13c0…
06-26 19:07:32	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3710c3…
06-25 23:08:10	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xf76342…
06-25 21:43:52	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xa305e8…
06-25 21:43:47	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	5	92¢	$4	0xe730be…
06-25 21:40:43	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x83869e…
06-25 21:09:26	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners total 11pt5	Under	SELL	62	80¢	$49	0xa574b0…
06-25 20:50:07	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x6a12a5…
06-25 20:29:44	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x794c96…
06-25 20:29:13	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	116	86¢	$100	0x4549f4…
06-25 20:09:07	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xa8795f…
06-24 23:30:41	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	108	90¢	$97	0x62334d…
06-24 22:40:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x7bd1d3…
06-24 22:19:50	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x2a590a…
06-24 22:09:53	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xcfe7f5…
06-24 20:16:35	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xf39fdb…
06-24 20:09:25	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x06cf7c…
06-24 19:20:08	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0xbebeb5…
06-24 16:46:14	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0xce7bda…
06-23 21:50:32	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xae5dd1…
06-23 20:27:16	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa22c2e…
06-23 18:50:02	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	72	99¢	$72	0xd04f40…
06-23 18:32:25	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xff85b0…
06-23 18:32:17	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x555b3d…
06-23 18:32:17	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x3892fc…
06-23 18:31:50	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xec7ffa…
06-23 17:18:17	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x219c19…
06-23 17:07:38	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xecaa38…
06-23 13:40:50	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xfa67d2…
06-22 22:05:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xc56988…
06-22 21:17:56	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x77208e…
06-22 17:12:59	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	106	93¢	$99	0xcd45d9…
06-22 17:09:56	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc2dec3…
06-22 02:51:14	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	106	98¢	$105	0x4a253d…
06-22 02:44:17	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x81b827…
06-22 02:35:16	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0xb30f75…
06-22 02:29:58	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x6c958a…
06-21 17:31:01	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x149d05…
06-21 17:13:44	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x863e28…
06-21 16:13:19	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x44ab5d…
06-21 16:10:50	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x53cc01…
06-21 16:05:22	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x10b80c…
06-21 05:47:26	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xf9c15a…
06-21 05:44:02	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	89	98¢	$87	0x2ff7fd…
06-21 04:31:50	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xc45628…
06-20 22:00:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x09dd79…
06-20 21:58:01	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x5a2fbb…
06-20 21:35:32	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0x5ac3a2…
06-20 21:03:26	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0xc6d25d…
06-20 20:45:55	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0x0862d3…
06-20 20:33:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0xb68bc5…
06-20 19:46:04	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x42fc96…
06-20 19:36:38	Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Germany?	No	SELL	70	70¢	$49	0x52a0f2…
06-20 19:29:26	Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Germany?	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x2ab60f…
06-20 18:46:55	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 6pt5	Under	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0xd67e8a…