Misguided-Composite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$170

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

421

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$8.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-01 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 57% +$116

Other

46% 39% +$46

Politics

5% 59% +$24

Tech

1% 33% $0

Sports

0% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?	2	$110	110	110	+0	Yes	+$10	06-15 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 20:05 UTC	4	$99	71	70	+1	Up	+$40	02-28 20:10
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	1	$80	302	0	+302	No	-$80	07-19 15:36
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	3	$80	408	408	+0	No	-$18	03-16 08:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	2	$69	39	39	+0	No	+$9	06-19 07:39
atp alcaraz sinner 2026 04 12	3	$60	41	40	+1	Jannik Sinner	+$21	04-12 15:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$59	35	35	+0	No	-$1	05-06 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 15:55 UTC	3	$59	45	44	+0	Up	+$29	02-25 16:00
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$59	42	42	+0	Yes	+$19	04-07 23:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?	2	$58	76	76	+0	Yes	-$2	06-23 06:11
highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 25c	3	$56	37	37	+1	Yes	+$17	04-24 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 09:40 UTC	2	$54	35	35	+1	Down	+$15	02-23 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?	2	$54	54	54	+0	Yes	-$6	06-25 12:16
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 23?	2	$53	86	86	+0	No	-$7	06-23 14:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 20:30 UTC	5	$53	34	34	+1	Up	+$14	02-08 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 16:15 UTC	2	$53	34	33	+0	Up	+$14	02-26 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 08:50 UTC	3	$53	46	45	+0	Up	+$37	02-19 08:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 22:45 UTC	3	$52	38	38	+1	Up	+$23	02-07 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 14:55 UTC	4	$52	32	32	+0	Up	+$12	02-13 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 16:30 UTC	2	$52	36	35	+1	Down	+$12	02-26 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12?	3	$52	69	45	+24	No	-$8	06-12 07:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 09:10 UTC	3	$51	32	32	+0	Up	+$12	02-19 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 15:00 UTC	4	$51	32	31	+0	Up	+$12	02-13 15:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 16:15 UTC	2	$51	32	31	+0	Up	+$11	02-26 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 19?	1	$50	127	0	+127	Yes	+$77	06-19 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?	1	$50	126	0	+126	Yes	+$76	06-18 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	2	$50	104	0	+104	No	-$50	06-22 05:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?	2	$50	131	0	+131	Yes	+$81	06-21 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?	2	$50	123	0	+123	Yes	+$73	06-22 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 21?	2	$50	99	0	+99	No	-$50	06-21 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 09:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8d0b6a…
08-21 13:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd40585…
08-21 13:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x16982e…
08-21 13:15:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8f3882…
08-21 13:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xa405d0…
08-21 13:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7f54a6…
08-20 15:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x410f11…
08-20 15:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf85fb3…
08-20 15:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x07c070…
08-20 15:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x1a1d50…
08-20 15:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xf3e660…
08-20 15:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xeb56cc…
08-20 15:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x4e8619…
08-20 15:22:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa2f958…
08-20 15:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x4859b4…
08-20 15:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe90931…
08-20 15:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0ce3a6…
08-20 15:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd5040c…
08-20 15:11:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x18c497…
08-20 15:10:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x5ee034…
08-20 15:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x87c6bd…
08-20 15:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x2bdad2…
07-19 15:36:06	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	302	26¢	$80	0xcd71c9…
07-09 15:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xf3a86d…
07-09 15:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3142f4…
07-09 15:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x26fa3c…
07-09 15:16:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa5076c…
07-09 15:12:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb4ad49…
07-09 15:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdc13d3…
07-09 15:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x22445d…
07-09 15:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x5eaef6…
07-09 15:06:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x841cc4…
07-09 15:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb1ecfa…
07-09 15:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7f7672…
07-09 14:50:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe74276…
07-09 14:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x74015e…
07-09 14:45:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x91579e…
07-09 14:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xeca52f…
07-09 12:50:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x74b5f0…
07-09 12:47:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x7c4cfe…
07-09 09:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x291fc2…
07-09 09:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x888d24…
07-09 09:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xbf0981…
07-09 08:12:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x42ff93…
07-09 08:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xee7be0…
07-09 08:11:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5e8468…
07-07 07:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x367dcf…
07-07 07:38:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6e1b53…
07-07 07:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 7?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc86a21…
07-07 07:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x997855…
07-06 10:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xcbfb1e…
07-06 10:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x769db2…
07-06 10:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0x75e1ab…
07-06 07:36:29	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x757dd3…
07-06 07:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x88cb35…
07-06 07:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa9339e…
07-03 09:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x5bbcc2…
07-03 09:48:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x7cb34c…
07-01 11:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 1?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xf757c3…
07-01 09:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe71e47…
07-01 08:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x494e94…
07-01 08:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xae230b…
07-01 08:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x96be56…
06-30 08:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	53¢	$30	0xcdb6d1…
06-30 07:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x39f527…
06-30 07:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x08b3ad…
06-30 07:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	16¢	$9	0x4947f1…
06-29 07:40:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xb27712…
06-29 07:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x959f42…
06-29 07:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0x0bdb1d…
06-28 09:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xac1ac2…
06-28 09:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x23d0ff…
06-28 09:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	45	41¢	$19	0xa5d338…
06-28 09:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x63ba0c…
06-28 09:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x0913ef…
06-28 09:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 28?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb6751e…
06-27 12:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x2e55ef…
06-27 12:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xf30a93…
06-27 11:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x5d14c1…
06-27 11:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x3a7a98…
06-27 11:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xe22bf8…
06-26 09:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	76	23¢	$17	0x4429f7…
06-26 09:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	76	40¢	$30	0xf802e6…
06-26 09:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x2949a6…
06-26 09:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x86d175…
06-26 09:43:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x5ffa84…
06-26 09:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x278821…
06-25 12:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x11b5e9…
06-25 12:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x8a1720…
06-25 12:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	54	44¢	$24	0xbefa55…
06-25 12:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0xcfe604…
06-25 12:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	36	22¢	$8	0x38c5e4…
06-25 06:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xfd5680…
06-25 06:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x51dad4…
06-25 06:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xa19051…
06-25 06:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x01ba1e…
06-25 06:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xfadcc8…
06-24 11:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xcfb95a…
06-24 07:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 24?	Yes	SELL	83	17¢	$14	0x39ec99…
06-24 07:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x1cf089…