Jumpy-Politics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.49K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

377

Trades

6,527

lifetime

Volume

$152.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-30 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% +$6,594

Other

0% 50% -$108

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$1.0K	111,111	+111,111	No	-$1,000	06-02 13:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 7PM ET	54	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	10-12 23:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET	60	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	10-08 13:37
ethereum up or down july 3 2026 6am et	29	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	07-03 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	23	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	+$720	10-02 10:34
ethereum up or down september 17 2026 10am et	3	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	+$720	09-17 14:10
solana up or down july 20 2026 3am et	5	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	07-20 07:18
ethereum up or down july 2 2026 8am et	19	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	07-02 12:14
bitcoin up or down july 25 2026 5am et	5	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	07-25 09:07
solana up or down june 21 2026 7pm et	2	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	06-21 23:01
ethereum up or down july 17 2026 2pm et	14	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	07-17 18:45
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 2pm et	8	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	06-04 18:04
solana up or down july 8 2026 3am et	4	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	07-08 07:01
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	11	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	10-28 14:11
bitcoin up or down july 8 2026 8am et	3	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	+$720	07-08 12:07
ethereum up or down august 11 2026 6am et	8	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	08-11 10:05
ethereum up or down june 26 2026 8am et	18	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	06-26 12:39
bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 10pm et	6	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	07-25 02:17
ethereum up or down june 16 2026 4am et	11	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	06-16 08:10
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	3	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	06-03 16:08
solana up or down june 13 2026 10am et	17	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	06-13 14:05
ethereum up or down august 17 2026 6am et	3	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	08-17 10:09
ethereum up or down july 1 2026 8am et	24	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	07-01 12:07
ethereum up or down august 30 2026 7pm et	5	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	08-30 23:01
solana up or down june 6 2026 12am et	4	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	-$500	06-06 04:05
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	4	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	10-30 14:11
bitcoin up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	9	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	07-17 16:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8PM ET	24	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	-$500	10-27 00:12
solana up or down june 5 2026 10am et	2	$500	1,220	+1,220	Up	+$720	06-05 14:06
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 10am et	4	$500	1,220	+1,220	Down	+$720	06-04 14:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xf9ba81…
10-30 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xea8c18…
10-30 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xc5be7a…
10-30 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	714	41¢	$293	0x4cf89e…
10-30 19:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x47170b…
10-30 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xf1ea58…
10-30 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xf1daf0…
10-30 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x9afa07…
10-30 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x3d58c7…
10-30 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x0e4759…
10-30 19:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x807a0a…
10-30 19:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x65c2cd…
10-30 19:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x60deb5…
10-30 14:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xa5f628…
10-30 14:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	163	41¢	$67	0x7a6c30…
10-30 14:03:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	532	41¢	$218	0xdf5635…
10-30 14:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	516	41¢	$212	0x10063c…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0xe93c61…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0xe91a67…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0xe8d215…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xdf0b32…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xb38922…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0xabc813…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xa786ca…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa1be1a…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x993659…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0x8044d9…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0x664a89…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x658d29…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	429	41¢	$176	0x5689d9…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x46dc35…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0x45a1a1…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	90	41¢	$37	0x4305bc…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x2d186a…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x23a9e8…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x11e102…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x0f6ea6…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x004c86…
10-28 18:34:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xdc23f6…
10-28 18:34:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xd74c3d…
10-28 18:34:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb671e8…
10-28 18:34:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x62fb73…
10-28 18:34:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x28afdd…
10-28 18:33:59	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x9f85dc…
10-28 18:06:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb562d1…
10-28 18:05:34	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x992340…
10-28 18:05:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x3a80d4…
10-28 18:04:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x330884…
10-28 18:04:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa1b31a…
10-28 18:03:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf54d22…
10-28 18:03:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x39625d…
10-28 18:03:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf572ea…
10-28 18:03:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xecbb9f…
10-28 18:03:11	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xc635ca…
10-28 18:03:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbf8837…
10-28 18:03:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x99e14c…
10-28 18:03:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6a4050…
10-28 18:03:10	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x008414…
10-28 18:03:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xcec04c…
10-28 18:03:02	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6cd02d…
10-28 18:02:58	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x98bb37…
10-28 18:02:53	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xad4226…
10-28 18:02:52	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x463b23…
10-28 18:02:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2df168…
10-28 18:02:46	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7db60e…
10-28 18:02:44	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x448325…
10-28 18:02:43	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x4c56ea…
10-28 18:02:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xa33856…
10-28 18:02:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x739981…
10-28 18:02:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	97	41¢	$40	0x6294df…
10-28 18:02:40	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	140	41¢	$57	0x13b152…
10-28 18:02:38	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	117	41¢	$48	0xa27828…
10-28 18:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x9ee180…
10-28 18:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0x218733…
10-28 18:02:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	114	41¢	$47	0x0fb728…
10-28 18:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	159	41¢	$65	0x00887a…
10-28 18:02:35	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	101	41¢	$41	0x9a54ab…
10-28 18:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x3cb09d…
10-28 18:02:32	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	144	41¢	$59	0x378088…
10-28 18:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	305	41¢	$125	0x662bd8…
10-28 18:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x1722f4…
10-28 18:00:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	111	41¢	$45	0xa567cd…
10-28 18:00:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	261	41¢	$107	0x7b29db…
10-28 18:00:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	303	41¢	$124	0xc5a58e…
10-28 18:00:14	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2dfcf0…
10-28 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0xf7ad71…
10-28 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd702be…
10-28 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xa89d93…
10-28 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	304	41¢	$125	0x64814a…
10-28 14:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x5ab644…
10-28 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xec7083…
10-28 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xd9aa7b…
10-28 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbf43a0…
10-28 14:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xbf1bfe…
10-28 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xf343af…
10-28 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xba0be0…
10-28 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xa31888…
10-28 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfc94e8…
10-28 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xf503fc…
10-28 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	550	41¢	$226	0xb73b79…