Black-Original — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$680

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

667

Trades

7,230

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 11-02 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 39% -$239

Other

35% 45% -$471

Politics

5% 81% +$44

Sports

0% 6% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 17 2am et	410	$1.2K	1,076	800	+276	Down	-$44	02-17 08:00
bitcoin up or down february 17 6am et	365	$973	938	800	+137	Up	-$9	02-17 11:56
solana up or down february 17 6am et	319	$856	837	708	+130	Up	+$29	02-17 11:57
solana up or down february 17 2am et	328	$706	772	569	+202	Down	-$4	02-17 07:59
ethereum up or down february 17 6am et	216	$579	605	453	+152	Up	-$4	02-17 11:56
xrp up or down february 17 6am et	223	$555	492	454	+38	Down	+$4	02-17 11:53
bitcoin up or down february 17 9am et	157	$540	494	388	+106	Down	-$36	02-17 14:57
xrp up or down february 17 5am et	189	$493	479	471	+8	Down	-$11	02-17 10:47
bitcoin up or down february 17 5am et	113	$426	423	412	+10	Down	-$9	02-17 10:42
ethereum up or down february 17 2am et	126	$396	324	324	+0	Up	+$13	02-17 07:52
xrp up or down february 17 9am et	96	$345	314	292	+21	Down	+$5	02-17 14:42
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 520 539	5	$332	1,266	166	+1,100	No	-$1	02-16 21:36
ethereum up or down february 17 9am et	97	$315	360	313	+46	Down	-$20	02-17 14:47
solana up or down february 16 5pm et	159	$306	315	190	+125	Down	-$21	02-16 22:56
ethereum up or down february 17 5am et	58	$298	239	230	+9	Down	+$4	02-17 10:39
solana up or down february 17 3am et	132	$298	299	229	+70	Down	-$36	02-17 08:45
highest temperature in lucknow on march 17 2026 35c	152	$297	150	150	+0	Yes	+$2	03-18 01:35
bitcoin up or down february 17 3am et	124	$295	297	279	+18	Down	+$3	02-17 08:47
bitcoin up or down february 17 8am et	79	$292	223	189	+35	Up	$0	02-17 13:53
bitcoin up or down february 17 11am et	67	$284	271	133	+138	Up	-$11	02-17 16:58
xrp up or down february 17 3am et	103	$264	244	204	+40	Down	-$16	02-17 08:48
xrp up or down february 17 8am et	88	$248	276	273	+4	Up	-$3	02-17 13:56
bitcoin up or down february 16 7pm et	73	$247	160	131	+29	Down	+$5	02-17 00:58
solana up or down february 17 9am et	85	$237	321	170	+151	Down	+$13	02-17 14:46
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 18c	254	$191	97	97	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 08:40
will trump say venezuela during monday news conference	2	$191	97	97	+0	Yes	+$1	04-06 18:18
ethereum up or down february 17 3am et	57	$157	161	161	+0	Down	-$5	02-17 08:44
solana up or down february 17 5am et	43	$155	117	117	+0	Down	-$8	02-17 10:25
xrp up or down february 17 2am et	48	$144	263	281	-18	Down	-$1	02-17 07:49
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 18 2026 30c	12	$139	98	41	+57	Yes	+$0	03-18 14:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 19:35:04	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in November?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x597dc3…
11-01 21:50:28	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5ba0c6…
11-01 21:50:06	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7219ba…
10-21 23:40:05	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x49615c…
10-21 23:39:30	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x21e36e…
10-20 01:20:42	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x04fd69…
10-20 01:20:24	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x53df0f…
10-20 00:57:42	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x35470c…
10-20 00:57:32	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x310fc0…
10-15 02:11:35	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5b667a…
10-15 02:11:32	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3f252d…
10-15 02:11:22	will trump say suicide during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xea8747…
10-15 01:56:13	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xac18e8…
10-15 01:56:07	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x3fca10…
10-15 01:56:07	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x140cf4…
10-15 01:55:55	will trump say great falls during his midterm rally in montana october 14	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8b1acb…
10-14 15:37:21	will zohran mamdani say grocery during next livestream 20261012	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x765176…
10-14 15:37:07	will zohran mamdani say grocery during next livestream 20261012	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x67f19d…
10-14 01:17:13	will trump say japan during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc54342…
10-13 13:46:52	will zacharia say america first during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0xfb0b58…
10-13 13:45:59	will zacharia say america first during the next white house press briefing 20261012	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0x93f364…
10-13 01:11:12	Will Trump say "BMW" in October?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5b0925…
10-12 23:48:56	Will Trump say "BMW" in October?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc92d9c…
10-12 23:27:30	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xba72cb…
10-12 23:27:18	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85fa74…
10-06 22:56:56	Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x07e0cb…
10-06 22:44:44	Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe63270…
10-06 22:41:48	Will Mamdani say "Family" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd63702…
10-06 22:41:48	Will Mamdani say "Family" during his announcement?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc1c4bf…
10-06 20:23:27	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd69041…
10-06 20:23:14	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0951f0…
09-24 18:16:53	Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbeb934…
09-24 18:16:45	Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x9137dc…
09-24 18:16:44	Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xfd5c9d…
09-24 18:16:44	Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x05bb5b…
09-24 18:16:33	Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x944b77…
09-18 19:42:57	will trump say pharma during his announcement on healthcare	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe06c3d…
09-18 19:42:45	will trump say pharma during his announcement on healthcare	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x8e8ed5…
08-24 18:41:00	will trump say race or indy during rose garden event	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5ee46…
08-24 18:40:43	will trump say race or indy during rose garden event	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdd9848…
08-24 18:38:22	Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xef8cb1…
08-24 18:38:22	Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9a6717…
08-24 18:38:21	Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb0f92c…
08-24 18:38:21	Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x60830e…
08-24 18:38:21	Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x2baae3…
08-24 18:38:19	Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x68978a…
08-24 18:38:07	Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x404de1…
08-17 18:05:16	will trump say who are you this week 20260823	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c39a3…
08-17 18:04:28	will trump say who are you this week 20260823	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x55dd40…
08-14 20:08:27	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1c33f1…
08-14 20:08:13	will trump say maga or make america great again during remarks in new york 20260811183234692	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd197bd…
07-29 19:15:38	will trump say design or designed during announcement with the secretary of transportation 20260729142018028	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0x6872ec…
07-28 18:38:02	will trump say patriot during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556643	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x46bc17…
07-28 18:38:01	will trump say patriot during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556643	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x874660…
07-28 18:37:59	will trump say patriot during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556643	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x4f95df…
07-28 18:37:41	will trump say patriot during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556643	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2fce00…
07-28 18:28:46	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x435b6b…
07-28 18:28:43	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x54aeb1…
07-28 18:28:35	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xda6496…
07-28 18:28:35	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcdebfd…
07-28 18:28:35	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb0a498…
07-28 18:28:34	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xcd7a7f…
07-28 18:28:17	will trump say sister during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556639	Yes	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x62648f…
07-27 19:43:04	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x222741…
07-27 19:42:54	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x22be28…
07-27 19:23:45	will trump say no no no this week 20260724154805087	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1e8a39…
07-25 02:28:55	will trump say tiktok this week 20260719005322460	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x16c4da…
07-25 02:28:45	will trump say tiktok this week 20260719005322460	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x910dd7…
07-25 02:23:51	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x388239…
07-25 02:23:49	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xdfbd28…
07-25 02:23:48	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x954487…
07-25 02:23:45	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc54264…
07-25 02:23:45	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xb74cc0…
07-25 02:23:34	will trump say bibi or netanyahu this week 20260719005322457	Yes	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0x7c6a8f…
07-23 20:38:49	will trump say biden during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322969	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9cca0d…
07-23 20:38:46	will trump say biden during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322969	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x4b8cf7…
07-23 20:38:45	will trump say biden during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322969	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xfb844f…
07-23 20:38:45	will trump say biden during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322969	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb8c591…
07-23 20:38:34	will trump say biden during dodgers white house visit 20260723135322969	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x41c365…
07-23 15:39:48	will leavitt say world cup during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130097	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x485a7b…
07-23 15:39:37	will leavitt say world cup during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130097	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4571d4…
07-23 15:34:13	will leavitt say xi or jinping during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130102	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca4aa9…
07-23 15:34:03	will leavitt say xi or jinping during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130102	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd73218…
07-23 15:24:18	will leavitt say cdc or who during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130095	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8b1cac…
07-22 21:59:16	will trump say landslide this week 20260719005322448	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x362b3b…
07-22 20:42:24	will trump say landslide this week 20260719005322448	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd193fd…
07-17 01:11:53	will trump say communist or communism this week 20260710153927790	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x361cd5…
07-17 01:11:52	will trump say communist during speech to the nation 20260713200621426	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x528dce…
07-17 01:11:41	will trump say communist during speech to the nation 20260713200621426	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x51593b…
07-17 01:11:41	will trump say communist or communism this week 20260710153927790	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3ac61d…
07-16 17:26:53	will leavitt say baby during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953940 493	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x19e37b…
07-16 17:26:43	will leavitt say baby during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953940 493	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfa30aa…
07-15 19:50:08	will trump say border at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716018	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x267ac2…
07-15 19:49:50	will trump say border at defense and innovation summit 20260713185716018	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x16b1eb…
07-13 18:09:55	will trump say champion at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133757	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02fb54…
07-13 18:09:44	will trump say champion at freedom 250 showcase 20260713143133757	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd290a2…
07-08 09:04:44	will trump say cancer this week 20260703145736717	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0c2546…
07-07 23:29:04	will trump say pathetic in july 20260629200910952	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x85e11a…
07-07 12:46:29	will trump say pathetic in july 20260629200910952	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe79704…
07-06 16:24:43	will trump say visa in july 20260629200910958	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdc0e7b…