Slushy-Pick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.43K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

136

Trades

2,174

lifetime

Volume

$101.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-26 22:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

98% 48% +$3,465

Sports

1% 0% -$1,097

Politics

1% 100% +$61

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	84	$4.9K	7,685	5,685	+2,000	No	-$63	06-15 15:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?	55	$4.0K	7,009	7,009	+0	Yes	+$3,276	06-13 15:41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	42	$3.4K	3,720	3,720	+0	Yes	+$600	04-28 20:23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	6	$3.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	Yes	+$136	07-10 11:22
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	27	$2.9K	1,980	1,980	+0	Yes	+$501	08-12 13:25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	37	$2.8K	17,000	17,000	+0	Yes	+$333	07-07 17:46
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	6	$2.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$1	06-12 15:34
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	45	$2.4K	3,653	2,333	+1,320	No	+$261	04-27 14:16
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	20	$2.4K	2,600	2,590	+10	Yes	-$20	04-15 20:50
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total away 2pt5	17	$2.3K	4,299	600	+3,699	Over	+$1,966	06-16 22:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,701	1,701	+0	Yes	+$461	08-28 06:01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	19	$2.3K	1,249	1,249	+0	Yes	+$14	07-11 10:46
fl1 rcl tou 2026 04 17 rcl	31	$2.2K	2,600	2,600	+0	Yes	+$548	04-17 20:30
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	49	$2.1K	3,850	2,471	+1,379	No	-$741	04-07 13:29
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	22	$2.0K	1,707	1,707	+0	Yes	-$387	07-22 12:40
lal osa rea 2026 02 21 rea	90	$1.9K	4,380	4,380	+0	No	+$498	02-21 19:07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	28	$1.6K	1,811	1,811	+0	No	+$423	06-09 14:20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	23	$1.6K	2,562	2,562	+0	Club Atlético de Madrid	+$487	05-05 19:50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	11	$1.6K	1,800	0	+1,800	Yes	+$180	07-10 20:52
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	40	$1.5K	7,947	1,843	+6,103	No	-$521	06-26 12:31
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	8	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$70	07-05 21:47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	18	$1.2K	11,808	798	+11,010	Yes	+$81	06-24 15:50
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5	4	$1.2K	1,923	0	+1,923	Under	+$733	05-09 14:44
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	12	$1.1K	782	782	+0	Yes	+$147	04-21 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	94	$1.1K	1,891	1,891	+0	Yes	+$208	10-23 11:36
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	2	$1.1K	874	874	+0	Yes	+$481	06-24 20:20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	2	$1.1K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$75	07-06 20:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	14	$1.1K	1,906	1,200	+706	Yes	+$822	07-21 14:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	15	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$528	05-06 13:45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	14	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$46	06-10 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:22:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd95f91…
10-26 22:22:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	568	27¢	$153	0x4c9015…
10-26 22:22:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xc607dc…
10-26 22:22:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x27c478…
10-26 22:21:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xde7e9c…
10-26 22:21:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x1b2f06…
10-26 22:20:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	55	27¢	$15	0x6bf884…
10-26 22:20:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	54	27¢	$14	0x430787…
10-26 17:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x339f55…
10-26 17:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	27¢	$19	0x1d8e7f…
10-26 17:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	407	27¢	$110	0x197e66…
10-26 17:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	27¢	$23	0x164825…
10-26 17:35:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	27¢	$24	0x09755f…
10-25 21:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xd8f5bb…
10-25 21:46:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0xa199bd…
10-25 21:39:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	593	26¢	$153	0x8f1914…
10-23 15:30:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	422	12¢	$51	0x480e72…
10-23 15:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	12¢	$18	0xa57352…
10-23 15:30:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0xa3292d…
10-23 15:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	12¢	$54	0xdc0bba…
10-23 15:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x4ded1d…
10-23 15:30:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	12¢	$66	0x19fc90…
10-23 15:30:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xb90c31…
10-23 15:29:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	12¢	$20	0x512474…
10-23 15:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	580	12¢	$70	0x5a2bb8…
10-23 15:28:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	12¢	$26	0x01eb85…
10-23 15:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x49f77d…
10-23 15:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x330303…
10-23 15:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	12¢	$25	0x9ffdcb…
10-23 15:27:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xee3be4…
10-23 15:27:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x21bf5e…
10-23 15:27:36	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	12¢	$11	0xb326c1…
10-23 15:27:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3a33f0…
10-23 15:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x39a810…
10-23 15:27:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x538fe3…
10-23 15:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,443	12¢	$173	0xb0accc…
10-23 15:26:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	12¢	$11	0x18da39…
10-23 15:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x7b1c23…
10-23 15:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x8e6d98…
10-23 15:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x8d41f0…
10-23 15:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	12¢	$12	0xe7dd68…
10-23 15:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x654081…
10-23 15:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0xd99be2…
10-23 15:26:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x3f422c…
10-23 15:05:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	18¢	$17	0xd45b67…
10-23 15:05:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x6aa180…
10-23 12:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	54¢	$38	0x38e625…
10-23 12:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x6239a2…
10-23 12:55:20	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x457c21…
10-23 12:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	55¢	$84	0x6793c1…
10-23 12:47:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x770df2…
10-23 12:43:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x3de778…
10-23 12:42:59	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	56¢	$59	0x4c8e9b…
10-23 11:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x13960d…
10-23 11:33:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x0e9ea0…
10-23 11:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	36¢	$21	0x9e504c…
10-23 11:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x67a966…
10-23 11:29:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x76c6ef…
10-23 11:28:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x334543…
10-23 11:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x189bd7…
10-23 11:23:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	36¢	$19	0x69d490…
10-23 11:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4e2bdc…
10-23 11:15:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xe08e39…
10-23 11:15:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x04a1de…
10-23 11:13:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x812c51…
10-23 11:11:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x8c2201…
10-23 11:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0x1265e0…
10-23 11:08:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xad52de…
10-23 11:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x400e01…
10-23 11:03:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x3cd0a2…
10-23 11:02:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xd772d1…
10-23 11:02:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x54e0fd…
10-23 10:42:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	36¢	$11	0x055b33…
10-23 10:41:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	36¢	$43	0x4f61e3…
10-23 10:23:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xf61222…
10-23 10:21:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x362aa2…
10-23 10:21:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	38¢	$23	0x06578a…
10-23 10:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	38¢	$29	0x46cba6…
10-23 10:13:05	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xaaf463…
10-23 10:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0x37bd26…
10-23 10:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	38¢	$30	0xf58abc…
10-23 10:11:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc50cec…
10-23 10:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xe1b42d…
10-23 09:59:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	38¢	$10	0xb62bb9…
10-23 09:32:21	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x67097b…
10-23 09:30:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x27b7c1…
10-23 09:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x99d0a2…
10-23 07:39:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0xab5d19…
10-22 21:38:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	597	33¢	$197	0xc5f83f…
10-22 21:38:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	33¢	$67	0xfb7799…
10-22 17:19:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0xe1b2cf…
10-22 17:19:17	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	282	20¢	$56	0xccc338…
10-22 17:18:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	20¢	$24	0x46959c…
10-22 17:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0xc73022…
10-22 17:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6414a8…
10-22 14:44:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	43¢	$97	0x1130d8…
10-22 13:42:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	30¢	$52	0xf828c1…
10-22 13:31:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb2c9e1…
10-22 13:18:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf70ffb…
10-22 13:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xe0728c…