Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

102

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$124

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-12

last 11-04 20:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

85% 64% +$20

Politics

14% 40% -$2

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No		+2	$1	91¢	$2	+$1	11-04 06:56
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	Yes		+4	$1	18¢	$1	$0	11-04 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 20:15:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x93d8c9…
11-04 06:56:13	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1aa04d…
11-03 10:55:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8d8e9c…
11-02 02:54:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd96497…
10-15 18:26:28	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9c294a…
10-15 15:01:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xafcc34…
10-15 15:01:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x014962…
10-15 15:01:25	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x54f243…
10-15 15:00:56	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe06a50…
10-15 15:00:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xcedb71…
10-15 15:00:11	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9c22a5…
10-15 10:19:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x85e489…
10-15 09:49:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8fa828…
10-15 01:42:28	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x89bf06…
10-14 17:41:46	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2b2fa7…
10-14 09:41:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa48b45…
10-14 01:37:40	will meta reach 770 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb113ea…
10-13 15:26:19	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4ac344…
10-13 07:13:25	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4df471…
10-12 23:09:50	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfcc61f…
10-12 15:08:29	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $198 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb1a695…
10-12 07:07:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb9cdcc…
10-11 23:07:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf1e2ca…
10-11 14:30:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xeb87b1…
10-11 03:05:05	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbc5535…
10-10 18:32:12	Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.65B?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x248abe…
10-10 06:29:55	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x25ade0…
10-09 11:52:58	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x83606c…
10-09 03:49:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x224d4a…
10-08 19:48:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x303080…
10-08 11:40:57	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa80b1d…
10-08 03:26:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x32a2fe…
10-07 17:27:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc7494a…
10-07 04:38:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd6286d…
10-06 20:35:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfc5b1e…
10-06 12:35:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1cec00…
10-06 04:35:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe49498…
10-05 17:57:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc46572…
10-05 08:17:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0b9c7a…
10-05 00:09:20	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7a4139…
10-02 07:19:38	wti closes above 93 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5cad6f…
10-02 06:10:29	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0437e5…
10-01 11:37:12	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd7d500…
10-01 11:36:06	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf41948…
10-01 03:35:26	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1a15a8…
09-30 17:21:20	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5e6b9b…
09-30 07:07:33	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6b105d…
09-29 23:04:18	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xfb3c45…
09-29 15:01:57	will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x57e8c9…
09-29 06:06:38	will meta reach 740 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x285e56…
09-28 22:06:09	will coin dip to 180 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8452ce…
09-28 14:04:26	will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x63bc6f…
09-28 05:28:18	will spy dip to 765 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5837f6…
09-28 05:28:12	will tsla reach 375 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcace41…
09-27 21:27:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x09b9be…
09-27 12:00:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x667c93…
09-27 02:54:41	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x563a04…
09-26 12:21:24	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x598ac5…
09-25 15:23:45	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4c982d…
09-25 06:58:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x55988f…
09-24 22:57:27	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8c26b9…
09-23 14:49:01	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7b43a1…
09-22 06:45:45	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xafc2af…
09-22 06:35:10	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeac891…
09-21 22:30:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1aa3be…
09-21 14:29:24	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x452a3a…
09-21 06:08:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc4a904…
09-20 22:00:49	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x57bb05…
09-20 22:00:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8eaa9a…
09-19 07:45:03	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x810ea2…
09-17 17:22:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdbe254…
09-16 00:38:34	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1798ab…
09-15 23:30:49	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd0e3f3…
09-13 23:18:37	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8d7db6…
09-11 01:28:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x16774c…
09-08 16:28:42	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 8?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcf638a…
09-08 05:40:51	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5ebc76…
09-07 09:30:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7359ee…
09-03 08:29:54	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x361ead…
09-02 20:56:33	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x03ca03…
09-01 22:22:46	will xauusd reach 4400 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d3c89…
09-01 07:35:06	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd4d9ac…
08-31 11:31:20	will hood dip to 95 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc3eb10…
08-30 23:29:48	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x16a92f…
08-30 12:24:36	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8296f9…
08-30 02:53:01	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc67d7f…
08-30 02:46:58	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x95c8ce…
08-29 18:42:28	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd7d6fc…
08-29 10:36:43	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xad4af2…
08-27 05:33:54	will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x11c242…
08-27 05:03:00	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 9 2026	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x86e6d9…
08-24 16:28:42	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x334ed9…
08-24 08:11:34	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x63fa16…
08-23 23:06:07	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $268 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x95ccbd…
08-22 16:56:48	will warsh say challenge during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa594d0…
08-21 03:31:37	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcc258a…
08-20 19:28:36	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd80f49…
08-20 01:30:37	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x78103e…
08-19 05:48:22	wti closes above 84 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7f83d8…
08-18 17:36:51	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6c5e3d…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$3	10-15 10:19
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	10-15 15:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	10-15 15:00
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	10-15 15:01
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 15:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	10-15 15:01
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-15 15:01
spy up or down on october 1 2026	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$1	10-01 11:37
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	2	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	$0	08-30 23:29
spx up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	-$2	08-14 08:50
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	-$2	08-12 06:18
spy up or down on august 14 2026	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	08-14 00:19
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	08-13 16:11
will aapl dip to 300 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-17 01:19
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-12 14:21
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	08-13 07:51
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	08-12 23:49
will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	08-17 09:28
hpq quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 26 2026 0pt66	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-14 16:56
will abnb reach 164 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	09-28 14:04
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	-$1	10-07 04:38
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:45
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-11 01:28
Will Wells Fargo (WFC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $0.65B?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-10 18:32
will googl dip to 335 by september 28 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	09-29 15:01
will meta reach 740 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-29 06:06
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-26 12:21
wti closes above 93 on october 2 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	10-02 07:19
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	10-11 23:07
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-27 12:00