Unlucky-Guard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$231

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 08-03 00:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

49% 25% +$231

Crypto

24% — —

Other

14% — —

Politics

13% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$1.8K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-03 02:45
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Timberwolves	+$712	05-05 04:14
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-11 16:15
mlb lad min 2026 06 22	2	$934	500	500	+0	open	—	06-23 02:13
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5	3	$861	547	541	+7	open	—	04-28 04:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$600	400	400	+0	open	—	04-20 17:29
wti up or down on june 24 2026	5	$523	608	200	+408	open	—	06-24 03:23
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$470	939	939	+0	open	—	05-07 12:00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	11	$463	2,060	1,030	+1,030	open	—	05-07 12:03
wti up or down on june 23 2026	4	$463	473	473	+0	open	—	06-23 01:14
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	17	$376	12,432	7,401	+5,031	open	—	04-26 18:17
nba min den 2026 04 20	3	$362	290	284	+6	open	—	04-21 05:27
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$343	303	297	+6	open	—	04-26 03:04
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$285	900	0	+900	open	—	04-30 23:22
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$230	675	0	+675	Spurs	$-230	05-09 00:38
will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	13	$224	700	0	+700	open	—	07-15 14:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	4	$221	129	129	+0	open	—	04-21 02:37
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	11	$203	150	150	+0	open	—	04-21 17:07
spy up or down on april 21 2026	2	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 17:40
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$152	400	0	+400	open	—	05-02 01:42
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$130	358	0	+358	Pistons	$-130	05-06 01:23
nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	2	$128	250	0	+250	open	—	04-22 15:11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$127	580	0	+580	open	—	04-22 16:04
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$121	700	0	+700	Spurs	$-121	05-07 02:26
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$113	465	0	+465	open	—	04-26 02:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$106	190	0	+190	open	—	04-22 08:12
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$103	203	0	+203	open	—	04-26 18:42
nba den min 2026 04 23	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	04-23 22:52
Knicks vs. Hawks	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	04-25 21:54
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$100	286	0	+286	open	—	04-25 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 00:20:20	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	140	48¢	$67	0xac64e1…
08-01 18:27:39	mlb min sea 2026 08 01	Minnesota Twins	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x00f742…
07-15 19:03:02	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xb31e05…
07-15 14:46:26	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	52	32¢	$17	0xde5698…
07-15 14:36:02	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x1a783f…
07-15 14:30:23	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbd24af…
07-15 13:32:19	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xf0169f…
07-15 06:33:37	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x57a2bf…
07-15 06:33:31	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x25fe27…
07-15 06:33:19	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xae6838…
07-15 06:33:19	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4bba34…
07-15 06:33:16	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4f23b0…
07-15 06:33:14	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5d1512…
07-15 05:30:25	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	500	32¢	$160	0xaa75f4…
07-15 05:30:25	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x07a027…
07-15 03:25:28	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	102	32¢	$33	0xd51c62…
06-24 03:23:37	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x231db7…
06-24 03:17:55	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	400	65¢	$260	0x6a57fa…
06-24 03:12:05	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xff9593…
06-24 03:11:08	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x31fb81…
06-24 03:06:26	wti up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x08f8b2…
06-23 02:15:02	btc updown 5m 1782180900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3f42a0…
06-23 02:15:01	btc updown 5m 1782180900	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdb2c75…
06-23 02:13:58	mlb lad min 2026 06 22	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x73f984…
06-23 02:09:40	mlb lad min 2026 06 22	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0xda0179…
06-23 02:01:50	btc updown 5m 1782180000	Up	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x2ebbc5…
06-23 02:00:25	btc updown 5m 1782180000	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf46621…
06-23 02:00:22	btc updown 5m 1782180000	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5159d2…
06-23 01:14:40	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	SELL	468	47¢	$220	0x6d3cab…
06-23 01:05:26	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x378de2…
06-23 01:04:25	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xecdb27…
06-23 01:04:04	wti up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	463	51¢	$236	0xfe1e2b…
06-22 21:26:13	btc updown 5m 1782163500	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5ce690…
06-22 16:16:19	btc updown 5m 1782144900	Up	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x196812…
06-22 16:14:55	btc updown 5m 1782144900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x41df95…
06-22 16:14:52	btc updown 5m 1782144900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb658ff…
06-22 16:13:47	btc updown 5m 1782144600	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd8718d…
06-22 15:10:11	btc updown 5m 1782141000	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1a452f…
06-22 00:46:56	btc updown 5m 1782089100	Down	SELL	32	17¢	$6	0x73689b…
06-22 00:46:38	btc updown 5m 1782089100	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x551a4c…
06-22 00:46:23	btc updown 5m 1782089100	Up	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x0c120d…
06-22 00:45:02	btc updown 5m 1782089100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf8541c…
06-22 00:44:46	btc updown 5m 1782089100	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9b37d9…
06-22 00:40:50	btc updown 5m 1782088800	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xadbc96…
06-21 21:57:10	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	8¢	$24	0x692d7f…
06-21 21:42:58	btc updown 5m 1782078000	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4ca447…
06-19 02:58:41	btc updown 5m 1781837700	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x4664b2…
06-12 17:33:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x9e25d9…
05-09 00:38:44	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	75	34¢	$26	0x74f090…
05-09 00:37:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0x7516e7…
05-07 12:03:34	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	SELL	1,030	25¢	$257	0xc607a9…
05-07 12:00:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	939	22¢	$207	0x0a8f87…
05-07 02:26:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x5afff2…
05-07 02:15:45	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	600	18¢	$108	0xd8dadc…
05-06 01:23:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x9a59d5…
05-05 13:15:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	939	28¢	$263	0xa84744…
05-05 12:12:18	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xbbf491…
05-05 04:14:22	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	710	100¢	$709	0x052367…
05-05 03:50:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	290	56¢	$162	0x899a2a…
05-03 22:16:18	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	16¢	$160	0x39928c…
05-03 21:20:02	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x19bcdc…
05-03 02:45:42	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,200	40¢	$880	0x35e5ce…
05-02 19:30:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	1,989	10¢	$199	0xf99df4…
05-02 01:42:18	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0xe4f3d6…
05-02 00:50:52	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe1ebcc…
05-02 00:45:34	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x152fd8…
05-02 00:33:26	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	110	53¢	$58	0x52efbb…
05-02 00:32:32	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	89	46¢	$41	0x7e80cf…
05-01 23:07:50	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xc4ab0b…
05-01 21:27:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xabea91…
05-01 21:23:04	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x8372a7…
05-01 21:13:44	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0x5c8af8…
05-01 21:13:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0b5f9b…
05-01 21:13:08	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x9563db…
05-01 21:08:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x7f58f8…
05-01 20:09:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,000	41¢	$820	0x7bab22…
05-01 19:08:42	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Wolves	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x5a4749…
04-30 23:22:16	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	600	31¢	$186	0x3dcf3a…
04-30 00:00:38	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x28f8d0…
04-28 04:35:52	NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	SELL	541	99¢	$536	0x333d2a…
04-26 18:42:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc53384…
04-26 18:41:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x1cafef…
04-26 18:40:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	94	51¢	$48	0x786895…
04-26 18:22:18	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x51ee92…
04-26 18:17:02	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	966	1¢	$14	0x2e95d1…
04-26 18:16:12	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x3508f8…
04-26 18:16:08	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	729	2¢	$11	0x3da258…
04-26 03:04:02	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	297	82¢	$243	0xda51e5…
04-26 02:16:54	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa63127…
04-26 02:16:36	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Wolves	BUY	365	24¢	$88	0x9a8c1c…
04-26 01:48:04	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	817	2¢	$17	0xd7bae7…
04-26 01:48:00	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x94a967…
04-26 01:44:28	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,030	2¢	$22	0x5cb6cf…
04-26 01:44:24	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,030	2¢	$23	0xd24729…
04-26 01:44:20	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,756	2¢	$40	0x30b1a0…
04-26 01:44:16	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,009	2¢	$24	0xdf5312…
04-26 01:41:36	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x921974…
04-25 22:26:28	Stars vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x7b1151…
04-25 21:54:06	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x459968…
04-25 01:38:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xa95f42…