Slippery-Champagne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$169

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,183

lifetime

Volume

$100.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

$189

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-27 10:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

79% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$4

Sports

5% 100% +$152

Crypto

3% 100% +$13

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+161	$150	93¢	$150	$-0	06-23 12:40
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No		+78	$35	50¢	$39	+$4	06-06 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	33	$6.9K	6,800	7,026	-226	open	—	03-17 18:27
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	17	$4.5K	4,297	4,797	-500	open	—	03-17 21:34
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	6	$3.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-04 22:57
will trump visit china by march 31	106	$3.8K	3,025	2,849	+176	open	—	03-17 14:06
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22 total 146pt5	16	$3.3K	3,213	3,213	+0	open	—	03-22 03:38
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20 total 131pt5	12	$3.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	03-19 23:34
cbb furman uconn 2026 03 20 spread home 20pt5	21	$2.9K	2,899	2,899	+0	open	—	03-20 20:06
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21 total 151pt5	36	$2.6K	2,667	2,667	+0	open	—	03-21 14:50
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	11	$2.5K	2,376	2,376	+0	open	—	03-17 17:25
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22 total 137pt5	13	$2.2K	2,296	2,189	+107	open	—	03-21 23:41
netanyahu out by march 31 854	20	$2.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-15 20:15
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22 total 147pt5	6	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-21 20:10
cbb hpnt ark 2026 03 21 total 168pt5	12	$2.0K	2,019	2,019	+0	open	—	03-21 15:43
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	18	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-04 21:59
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22 total 154pt5	5	$1.8K	1,818	1,818	+0	open	—	03-22 10:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	1	$1.7K	1,923	0	+1,923	open	—	05-30 11:04
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	19	$1.7K	1,400	950	+450	open	—	03-11 23:38
cbb tcu duke 2026 03 21 total 140pt5	3	$1.6K	1,395	2,000	-605	open	—	03-21 14:50
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20 spread home 2pt5	5	$1.6K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-20 13:35
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22 total 144pt5	19	$1.4K	1,453	1,447	+6	open	—	03-22 13:57
cbb lehi pvam 2026 03 18	3	$1.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	03-17 23:38
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	22	$1.1K	925	404	+521	open	—	03-12 22:51
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$1.1K	1,019	119	+901	open	—	04-08 13:16
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	3	$1.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-18 19:59
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20 total 150pt5	4	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-19 23:34
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	11	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-03 16:58
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28 total 138pt5	5	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-27 17:52
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22 total 164pt5	4	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-22 14:32
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	03-16 14:57
cbb tx byu 2026 03 19	3	$991	2,003	0	+2,003	open	—	03-19 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 10:59:04	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x21d303…
06-27 10:53:49	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	47	66¢	$31	0x3be0de…
06-27 10:51:05	will spain reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120763	Yes	BUY	518	83¢	$430	0x57cd39…
06-23 12:40:23	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0xbc6205…
06-23 12:38:04	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc0c07a…
06-23 12:37:14	will julian alvarez score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411102	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5cda59…
06-23 12:37:11	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x16b7fc…
06-22 19:42:05	will julian alvarez score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611150411104	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x13a8b0…
06-22 19:40:58	will vinicius jrpt score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145257761	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xf28e7b…
06-22 19:38:49	will the announcers say messi during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023978	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x8c4460…
06-22 19:38:22	will the announcers say captain during the france vs iraq fifa world cup match 20260619205900203	No	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0db264…
06-22 19:36:47	will starmer say labour during resignation 20260622052443861	No	BUY	30	22¢	$6	0x65d751…
06-21 13:49:14	will netherlands go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622450	Yes	BUY	191	94¢	$180	0x62150d…
06-21 13:43:47	will germany go unbeaten in the 2026 fifa world cup group stage 20260612152622448	No	BUY	2,500	25¢	$625	0x58335e…
06-19 18:40:26	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 goals mo toure gte1	Yes	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xc718de…
06-19 10:18:58	will lambdas valuation hit high 10b by june 30	Yes	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x0fa556…
06-19 10:17:56	will andurils valuation hit high 110b by june 30	No	BUY	210	97¢	$205	0x0fcfe5…
06-19 10:17:46	will andurils valuation hit high 95b by june 30	No	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0xb39384…
06-19 10:15:58	will databricks valuation hit high 250b by june 30	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x135eb1…
06-19 10:15:50	will databricks valuation hit high 225b by june 30	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xb4be60…
06-19 10:15:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x04e86c…
06-15 09:31:58	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	17¢	$26	0xef2596…
06-15 09:31:33	ai data center in space by december 31 2027	No	SELL	52	81¢	$42	0xa7e3cb…
06-08 20:12:46	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,667	0¢	$33	0xdc57d0…
06-08 14:15:45	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,667	0¢	$50	0xb67636…
06-06 10:31:04	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2296bd…
06-06 10:19:06	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0xb5ecec…
06-06 10:17:33	will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x2dad3d…
06-01 13:16:23	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x8c4c6c…
06-01 13:16:12	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by June 30?	No	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x5d3996…
06-01 13:12:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x4db912…
06-01 13:06:50	Hyperliquid listed on Binance by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	4¢	$5	0x9aaffa…
06-01 10:40:15	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	No	BUY	197	76¢	$150	0xc2a4e5…
05-30 11:04:32	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	1,923	91¢	$1,750	0x5547e2…
05-24 12:49:41	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x71543f…
05-24 12:38:26	Will Roma qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xfe00af…
05-23 13:31:05	Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0xa3b2de…
05-16 10:19:52	Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0xb216f0…
05-16 00:34:14	Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x31ad1c…
05-15 23:02:09	Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xaf5f50…
05-15 21:38:25	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	61	72¢	$44	0xdf5995…
05-15 11:19:34	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf232c9…
05-06 12:50:12	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x227da3…
05-06 12:50:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x2505bd…
05-06 11:48:54	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	96	47¢	$45	0x119b02…
05-04 11:31:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x5ee0d2…
04-29 09:06:58	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd6de8a…
04-29 09:06:54	Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf10026…
04-29 06:30:46	Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x22d7d9…
04-29 06:24:12	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5cef81…
04-28 23:03:56	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	1	69¢	$0	0xc5c2eb…
04-28 23:03:50	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x8c3038…
04-28 21:35:08	Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?	Yes	SELL	121	97¢	$117	0xf96430…
04-28 21:35:08	Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x942082…
04-28 19:06:48	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa660d3…
04-28 18:40:46	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x4ef76a…
04-28 18:36:04	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x3ba3fa…
04-28 17:46:50	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0xb6ea86…
04-28 17:06:04	Will Google reach $400 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	4¢	$1	0x40433f…
04-28 16:39:48	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0x7c5631…
04-28 14:09:02	Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xda6df3…
04-17 17:22:16	Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang?	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xcdb5cd…
04-14 10:50:19	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	48	37¢	$18	0xde6378…
04-12 12:34:41	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	328	69¢	$226	0xca0fa9…
04-10 10:12:19	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	39¢	$12	0xac4bc3…
04-10 09:56:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x99f0e7…
04-10 09:53:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	13¢	$32	0x3803cb…
04-08 13:16:27	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,019	98¢	$1,000	0x7d1f6b…
04-08 13:15:35	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xefb441…
04-08 13:13:57	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x6fc3ee…
04-07 10:14:57	Over $100M committed to the Fluent public sale?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x41f9e2…
04-07 09:53:01	nba lal gsw 2026 04 09	Lakers	BUY	133	35¢	$46	0x3526c0…
04-05 17:50:05	sea int rom 2026 04 05 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	1,000	47¢	$470	0xf38e5a…
04-05 17:40:09	sea int rom 2026 04 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,000	48¢	$480	0xcdfc95…
04-04 22:57:03	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	SELL	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xc7f410…
04-04 21:59:15	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	738	47¢	$347	0x09b909…
04-04 21:34:29	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7b0662…
04-04 21:34:25	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xee3d28…
04-04 21:34:11	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0xa204c1…
04-04 21:33:43	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xdaa8ff…
04-04 21:33:43	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0x0a2a9b…
04-04 21:33:41	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xeed493…
04-04 21:33:41	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	115	48¢	$55	0xc2fa42…
04-04 21:33:39	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xe18226…
04-04 21:33:21	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x5dc71e…
04-04 21:32:53	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x742536…
04-04 21:32:23	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x6d0a19…
04-04 21:31:53	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x9f65ea…
04-04 21:31:21	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x158142…
04-04 21:31:11	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xd1bba1…
04-04 19:41:27	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x19225d…
04-04 18:12:29	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	2,000	52¢	$1,040	0xa01055…
04-04 17:24:33	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	SELL	2,000	47¢	$940	0x1b6ca5…
04-04 15:36:23	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x4f32d6…
04-04 15:35:29	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x07fb0d…
04-04 15:32:05	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	1,970	47¢	$926	0x3b0a6f…
04-04 12:44:19	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	SELL	1,000	50¢	$500	0x0113dd…
04-04 07:04:01	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 total 139pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x6ad51c…
04-03 16:58:17	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	SELL	1,000	52¢	$520	0x20dbaf…
04-03 14:58:47	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	Illinois Fighting Illini	BUY	442	52¢	$230	0xf41c17…