Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$97

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-14

last 11-07 11:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

74% 60% +$8

Politics

23% 69% +$8

Tech

2% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	+3	$1	82¢	$3	+$2	11-05 17:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+2	$1	55¢	$1	+$0	11-06 22:44
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	+3	$1	30¢	$1	$0	11-07 11:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+1	$1	40¢	$1	$0	11-06 12:52
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	11-03 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:33:07	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc24a2c…
11-06 22:44:51	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xde427a…
11-06 12:52:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xee9ca1…
11-06 04:21:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xab6286…
11-05 17:28:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x445b5d…
11-05 09:11:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdf398f…
11-04 23:25:06	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc52b4d…
11-04 05:03:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8af233…
11-03 19:33:12	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x51fd93…
11-03 11:17:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf5e9a4…
11-03 03:13:16	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc3e8c9…
11-02 19:12:54	Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $900?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7f8678…
11-02 10:54:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x04e7c0…
11-02 02:54:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x29b177…
11-01 09:49:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd380c7…
10-27 15:49:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x96aa40…
10-27 07:48:48	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7ddb92…
10-26 23:48:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x54d0d5…
10-22 20:32:50	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2aa6f5…
10-22 12:12:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3b6f56…
10-17 15:44:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x35e8ed…
10-16 08:18:57	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x85867c…
10-16 00:02:46	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8cbbed…
10-15 13:23:46	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc39dc6…
10-09 15:42:58	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x512090…
10-05 18:05:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9f1cf9…
10-05 10:04:49	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x357499…
10-05 00:47:04	will nvda reach 240 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd21def…
10-02 15:26:00	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xeacc90…
10-02 06:59:51	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0efae9…
10-01 10:48:24	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x422dd8…
10-01 02:38:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe2cbb3…
09-30 11:46:33	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf6fa4c…
09-29 03:36:57	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x42a73a…
09-28 19:36:48	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x191861…
09-25 21:09:17	will ewy dip to 182 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xee394f…
09-20 22:30:53	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x28062b…
09-19 08:35:46	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4924d3…
09-16 16:12:14	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xd1bb28…
09-16 08:06:09	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xa96d8e…
09-16 00:03:01	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xa8a96f…
09-13 08:57:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x2086ac…
09-12 15:13:27	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xf4a597…
09-11 06:24:43	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x4cdca3…
09-10 18:57:12	Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $650?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa23391…
09-10 17:51:37	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf1a904…
09-10 08:27:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9dfd5c…
09-09 17:41:16	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xd95ea3…
09-09 09:41:01	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x7927a6…
09-08 12:34:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6220cd…
09-07 19:51:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc2e346…
09-07 07:55:39	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $332 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x54749b…
09-03 12:49:49	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x71a33d…
09-03 03:54:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x40c2e6…
09-02 19:23:27	will xauusd dip to 4350 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb045bf…
09-02 07:34:42	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4b1111…
09-01 11:19:57	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x36f91e…
09-01 03:06:16	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3a8505…
08-30 19:01:28	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x888eb6…
08-30 07:25:21	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd65928…
08-29 22:07:33	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd702cf…
08-29 14:06:54	will pltr reach 192 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xf33e0d…
08-26 02:13:49	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $182 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x9a7c77…
08-25 16:35:25	moscow air traffic suspended by august 31 20260824	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x055815…
08-25 03:20:09	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa4e3e9…
08-24 16:41:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xdce67f…
08-24 08:32:18	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa27cec…
08-24 00:06:27	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbd1616…
08-21 16:54:48	will warsh say independent or independence during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x2a52b9…
08-21 07:03:52	will trump say barack hussein obama during his rally with darline graham	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb14be9…
08-20 23:03:22	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x8e8faf…
08-20 08:31:10	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x7b43ba…
08-19 17:48:42	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x7a797d…
08-19 03:28:28	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe55245…
08-18 16:42:24	will nvda reach 240 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x47afc8…
08-18 04:51:39	will coin reach 157 50 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x04a4e3…
08-17 20:49:31	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf3f0c5…
08-17 11:54:36	spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xe850de…
08-17 09:55:25	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x5cb07a…
08-17 01:12:31	will aapl reach 312 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x711d09…
08-14 15:36:04	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x0f7ece…
08-14 06:11:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x7852d8…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	09-13 08:57
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 08:35
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	09-09 09:41
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	09-09 17:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	09-12 15:13
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-01 11:19
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	08-24 08:32
will aapl reach 312 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	08-17 01:12
will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	09-16 08:06
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	09-01 03:06
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-10 17:51
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	08-14 15:36
will pltr reach 192 in august 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-29 14:06
Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $650?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-10 18:57
will coin reach 157 50 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	08-18 04:51
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	08-30 07:25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 08:27
will warsh say independent or independence during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-21 16:54
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	08-25 03:20
spx up or down on august 17 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	08-17 09:55
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 19:51
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	08-24 00:06
spx up or down on august 21 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	-$1	08-20 23:03
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	09-03 12:49
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-14 06:11
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	08-17 20:49
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	+$4	09-02 07:34
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-16 00:03
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	09-11 06:24
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-20 08:31