Embellished-Forum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

524

Trades

864

lifetime

Volume

$1.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 08-29 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

96% 71% -$21

Politics

2% 40% +$9

Crypto

1% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 29?	3	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$3	07-29 10:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$22	17	17	+0	No	+$12	05-23 03:45
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	05-01 11:37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 30?	4	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	07-30 11:25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4?	4	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	08-04 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-16 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 4?	5	$19	14	14	+0	No	-$3	08-04 08:47
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	06-19 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?	5	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$1	07-27 11:35
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?	3	$17	20	10	+10	No	-$6	06-14 02:24
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	06-17 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?	2	$17	11	11	+0	Yes	-$3	06-18 05:55
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	06-14 05:33
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	06-15 04:41
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$13	16	0	+16	No	-$13	06-13 02:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$13	21	21	+0	Yes	+$3	06-13 16:46
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	06-15 23:11
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 btts	3	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$3	07-01 03:58
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$8	06-25 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-15 10:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?	4	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-28 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-28 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 29?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-29 16:23
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-27 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 27?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	07-26 23:06
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	1	$9	10	0	+10	Yes	+$1	06-13 02:56
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$9	13	0	+13	Spain	+$3	07-10 14:47
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	-$9	06-15 10:59
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	-$9	06-20 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 13?	4	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 02:31:09	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x820192…
08-28 14:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc19588…
08-28 14:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7e810b…
08-28 14:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 28?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf15d3e…
08-24 14:05:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x83dad8…
08-24 14:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 24?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2ac673…
08-24 14:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 24?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3cb187…
08-22 06:24:19	will warsh say bitcoin or crypto or cryptocurrency during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xec6e29…
08-21 08:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x09dc10…
08-21 08:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 21?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x287d87…
08-21 08:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0586a0…
08-21 08:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x2e4459…
08-19 14:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x74325c…
08-19 14:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8fc40e…
08-19 14:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0a535f…
08-19 14:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6c3e34…
08-19 14:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x10b5fe…
08-18 23:29:06	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xca6cc8…
08-18 15:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6e5f7c…
08-18 14:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe91c78…
08-18 14:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe8dc21…
08-18 14:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe934b6…
08-18 14:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x981dd5…
08-18 14:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf7bf7d…
08-18 14:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9abe62…
08-18 10:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x804aef…
08-18 10:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x198db0…
08-18 08:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3ee561…
08-18 07:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6ea0a5…
08-18 07:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3adb92…
08-17 09:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xea9526…
08-17 09:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 17?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x058831…
08-17 09:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x55078e…
08-17 08:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb96149…
08-17 07:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x93f9a9…
08-16 23:16:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6ef480…
08-16 16:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x403b97…
08-16 15:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xae2e7c…
08-16 15:08:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xedebc1…
08-16 14:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe49118…
08-16 14:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 16?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe5ae88…
08-16 14:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x74192f…
08-16 14:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa4cb2c…
08-16 11:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb009b3…
08-16 10:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf930d4…
08-16 10:59:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4ce527…
08-16 10:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa65c74…
08-16 09:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x25ef8a…
08-16 08:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x99cff3…
08-16 08:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb39d7d…
08-16 08:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6a2dfe…
08-16 07:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfbacc6…
08-16 07:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 16?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe93819…
08-15 16:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe429f4…
08-15 16:27:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x471483…
08-15 16:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf83ad6…
08-15 16:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x53e9e2…
08-15 16:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf00a00…
08-15 16:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7d6603…
08-15 15:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x87bd94…
08-15 15:01:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x6730dd…
08-15 14:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xff9515…
08-15 14:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc953e4…
08-15 14:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x7915b1…
08-15 14:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe3cfe3…
08-15 14:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8b69f5…
08-15 10:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x566638…
08-15 10:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe51bc4…
08-15 09:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x85de5c…
08-15 09:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x51291f…
08-14 17:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x514393…
08-14 17:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1f1c13…
08-14 17:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5713fa…
08-14 17:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf7e2d4…
08-14 17:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa5515c…
08-14 17:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x36108b…
08-14 14:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xebd1f4…
08-14 14:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd88f47…
08-14 14:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x08517a…
08-14 14:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3b1f14…
08-14 14:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf53b2f…
08-14 14:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa7476b…
08-14 13:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc6f727…
08-14 13:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 14?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeb0867…
08-14 08:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 29°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3d9500…
08-14 08:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8c78d7…
08-13 23:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6338a5…
08-13 16:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x387e59…
08-13 15:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 13?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x15ccc8…
08-13 15:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x68c1d0…
08-13 15:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf01094…
08-13 15:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x04f9ac…
08-13 15:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc98dda…
08-13 15:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 13?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2375c2…
08-13 15:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x10b2a8…
08-13 15:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbb0f38…
08-13 14:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x37f23e…
08-13 14:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf5ab2b…
08-13 14:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5e4ade…
08-13 14:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x970479…