Oblong-Evolution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

468

Trades

573

lifetime

Volume

$2.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-12 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 87% +$78

Other

32% 57% -$11

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 total 3pt5	3	$43	24	24	+0	Under	+$3	02-24 21:50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	08-04 07:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 3?	3	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	08-03 10:19
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 3?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	08-03 21:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6?	2	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	+$11	08-07 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	4	$28	25	25	+0	Yes	+$22	08-04 07:40
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$12	08-08 21:26
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:55 UTC	1	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	04-13 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC	3	$16	17	1	+16	Down	$0	04-04 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	06-20 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	1	$13	30	0	+30	No	-$13	08-04 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 20?	2	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	06-20 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?	4	$13	26	0	+26	No	-$13	08-02 16:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:45 UTC	3	$12	15	6	+9	Up	-$1	02-03 19:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	06-20 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	06-21 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?	1	$11	30	0	+30	Yes	+$18	08-06 22:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 20?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 11:20 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	07-23 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 4?	5	$11	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-04 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 11:15 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	07-23 11:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	1	$11	30	0	+30	No	-$11	08-05 21:30
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 shots arda guler gte1	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-20 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 21?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 16:49
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	-$5	05-13 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-03 19:41
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:20 UTC	3	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	08-02 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 9?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$10	08-09 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 21:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe317b0…
08-12 21:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xfd5e8c…
08-12 21:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x7aa21d…
08-12 21:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6d087f…
08-12 21:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x0b44b0…
08-09 20:06:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5dfc08…
08-09 20:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x962916…
08-08 21:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2d4815…
08-08 21:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc3240a…
08-08 21:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xc7bed7…
08-08 21:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2a18f0…
08-08 07:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd3c466…
08-08 07:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa33f8c…
08-08 07:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xdf888d…
08-07 21:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0x76cabe…
08-07 21:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x817789…
08-07 21:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x09e0f0…
08-07 21:11:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x958368…
08-07 08:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaec16a…
08-06 22:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x4f0664…
08-06 22:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xc1265c…
08-06 22:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x00571b…
08-06 19:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe309fb…
08-06 19:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x3c6021…
08-06 19:54:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xb9679c…
08-05 21:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	29	25¢	$7	0x6d0418…
08-05 21:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x7df218…
08-05 21:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x2df25e…
08-05 08:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x66d7e4…
08-05 08:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x4f4d9e…
08-05 08:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xbd7da0…
08-05 08:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x0a7da8…
08-05 08:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe7c9fb…
08-04 22:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xcdea1f…
08-04 22:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x415460…
08-04 22:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x151a64…
08-04 22:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xecc589…
08-04 22:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	11	23¢	$3	0x42d1e2…
08-04 07:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x5a9566…
08-04 07:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xce32f0…
08-03 21:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x67b69e…
08-03 10:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x0c49e6…
08-03 10:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb5fbe5…
08-03 10:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x63ccc1…
08-03 10:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xaea98f…
08-03 10:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe5331a…
08-02 22:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf76154…
08-02 22:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xceae24…
08-02 22:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x235dfe…
08-02 22:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x1788e8…
08-02 16:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1b7aaa…
08-02 16:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8db15c…
08-02 16:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb617e1…
08-02 16:39:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb94f05…
08-02 16:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x3db5d6…
08-02 16:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa5caa7…
08-02 16:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb1a105…
08-02 16:29:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x0f66e9…
08-02 16:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51d88b…
08-02 16:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6b3582…
08-02 16:24:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xbdc407…
08-02 16:24:54	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x899125…
08-02 16:24:14	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2e5e5b…
08-02 16:19:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf6a4af…
08-02 16:19:09	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1d47db…
08-02 16:19:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x01d616…
08-02 16:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x073807…
08-02 16:09:18	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8a5a0f…
08-02 16:08:47	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2e9687…
08-02 16:08:41	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x625401…
08-02 16:08:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc32ad1…
08-02 16:04:03	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xab8a43…
08-02 15:59:50	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x3f052b…
08-02 15:59:29	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x621fbf…
08-02 15:59:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1e2e6c…
08-02 15:34:23	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd10e58…
08-02 15:33:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4fdb8e…
08-02 15:29:27	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc5f8a8…
08-02 15:24:47	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xacc840…
08-02 15:24:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x52acc9…
08-02 15:09:53	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x45a332…
08-02 15:05:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5d3f1b…
08-02 15:04:32	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3439ed…
08-02 14:59:59	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5e1a8a…
08-02 14:59:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x11cacd…
08-02 14:54:27	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa9cb6d…
08-02 14:44:50	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc22ac…
08-02 14:39:23	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc4c32a…
08-02 14:39:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb10df6…
08-02 14:34:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2d5b61…
08-02 14:34:42	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8cd2f6…
08-02 14:29:24	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x99cea9…
08-02 14:24:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x902938…
08-02 14:19:08	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x87472c…
08-02 14:14:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf24be7…
08-01 16:19:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x526adc…
08-01 16:14:42	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa88fc2…
07-31 22:59:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5dc0ef…
07-31 22:54:51	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 22:50 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfaa081…
07-31 22:44:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3261ba…