Second-Casserole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,902

lifetime

Volume

$7.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-05 04:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 42% $-28

Other

28% — —

Sports

15% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 266 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04 spread home 1pt5	8	$316	289	284	+5	open	—	04-05 04:15
nba det phi 2026 04 04	4	$118	328	0	+328	open	—	04-04 23:51
btc updown 5m 1776545100	30	$95	99	56	+43	open	—	04-18 20:49
mlb sf bal 2026 04 11 total 7pt5	2	$84	67	66	+1	open	—	04-12 00:40
ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	2	$80	62	61	+1	open	—	04-11 22:24
cricipl pun sun 2026 04 11	2	$75	53	52	+1	open	—	04-11 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	17	$73	81	83	-2	open	—	04-29 00:01
uel scf cel4 2026 04 09 scf	2	$67	50	50	+1	open	—	04-09 19:37
ufc jos60 rob21 2026 04 04	3	$66	195	0	+195	open	—	04-05 00:00
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$66	72	72	+0	open	—	04-05 00:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	6	$65	138	138	+0	open	—	04-13 01:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$63	98	98	+0	open	—	04-07 20:59
uel bol ast4 2026 04 09 ast4	2	$62	45	44	+1	open	—	04-09 20:11
sea tor ver 2026 04 11 tor	2	$60	45	44	+1	open	—	04-11 14:46
nhl car utah 2026 04 11	2	$59	49	49	+0	open	—	04-11 21:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$56	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 21:01
bun ein koe 2026 04 05 ein	2	$54	43	43	+0	open	—	04-05 17:00
btc updown 5m 1776731400	8	$54	48	30	+18	open	—	04-21 00:32
nhl las col 2026 04 11	2	$54	37	37	+0	open	—	04-12 02:52
sea cre bol 2026 04 05 bol	2	$53	40	40	+1	open	—	04-05 13:18
mlb ari phi 2026 04 11 total 8pt5	2	$53	42	41	+1	open	—	04-11 19:19
fl1 ang lyo 2026 04 05 lyo	2	$49	45	45	+0	open	—	04-05 14:31
cricipl che del 2026 04 11	2	$47	54	53	+1	open	—	04-11 16:24
btc updown 5m 1776633300	8	$45	71	14	+58	open	—	04-19 21:16
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	22	$42	40	40	+0	open	—	03-16 20:51
ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	1	$39	127	0	+127	open	—	04-12 00:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$39	96	96	+0	open	—	04-13 19:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	6	$38	56	56	+0	open	—	04-16 00:05
dota2 bb4 liquid 2026 03 15	20	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	03-15 13:45
btc updown 5m 1776731700	6	$35	119	0	+119	open	—	04-21 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 04:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb1cef2…
05-05 04:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe82f85…
05-05 03:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x416316…
05-05 03:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7d0bb2…
05-05 03:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0xf561b7…
05-05 03:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xebd3f8…
05-05 03:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc16982…
05-05 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8dc933…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7a5dbb…
05-05 02:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xf40495…
05-05 02:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd1611b…
05-05 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xd04c85…
05-05 01:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x8caee2…
05-05 01:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0xb960d7…
05-05 01:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x7a9123…
05-05 01:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfffbd8…
05-05 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4e59b9…
05-05 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7acbc8…
05-05 00:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x67002c…
05-04 23:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x66fdf3…
05-04 23:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x0d045e…
05-04 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6aefc0…
05-04 22:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbdef27…
05-04 21:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x5225a2…
05-04 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb9129f…
05-04 19:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3d09fc…
05-04 17:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6d4e4e…
05-04 17:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x63dfad…
05-04 17:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2caf7d…
05-04 17:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x13afcd…
05-04 16:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x182357…
05-04 16:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xbaaa78…
05-04 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe6665c…
05-04 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x762163…
05-04 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x6b9073…
05-04 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x53ea66…
05-04 16:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x3ff56d…
05-04 16:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc6e8ed…
05-04 16:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb70f1d…
05-04 16:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeddf35…
05-04 16:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x27fa5e…
05-04 16:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x26d0d5…
05-04 16:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7ce7f8…
05-04 15:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb0a6d7…
05-04 15:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb81ec2…
05-04 15:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x59aba0…
05-04 15:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf48263…
05-04 15:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x55647a…
05-04 15:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x780aab…
05-04 15:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x4b21f0…
05-04 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7bc8f1…
05-04 15:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8874c7…
05-04 15:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$0	0x221af9…
05-04 15:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x75ea80…
05-04 15:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6bd736…
05-04 15:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x384a8a…
05-04 15:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xafa985…
05-04 14:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5813a1…
05-04 14:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0xe3df7c…
05-04 14:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xeb5692…
05-04 14:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x36b99c…
05-04 14:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa0adab…
05-04 14:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdd2a2d…
05-04 14:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1a92bb…
05-04 14:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xcf6d89…
05-04 14:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x03f753…
05-04 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd6df6e…
05-04 14:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfd10a6…
05-04 13:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb1655a…
05-04 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3b6651…
05-04 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0531cd…
05-04 13:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9d3b99…
05-04 13:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4437fe…
05-04 13:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9e0150…
05-04 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x849a6f…
05-04 13:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf2530e…
05-04 13:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4fc38d…
05-04 13:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x51d3ca…
05-04 13:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4629d3…
05-04 12:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7d0e0d…
05-04 12:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1ff783…
05-04 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe1f0ab…
05-04 12:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xccdf9a…
05-04 12:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x1325b0…
05-04 12:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x15d9b4…
05-04 11:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xc288b3…
05-04 11:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc291be…
05-04 11:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x027049…
05-04 11:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xbb090e…
05-04 10:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x3b23a4…
05-04 10:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x421693…
05-04 10:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x00129b…
05-04 10:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x29b898…
05-04 10:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x268247…
05-04 10:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0dc353…
05-04 10:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x94d46d…
05-04 10:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbaa15e…
05-04 09:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x45ce0b…
05-04 09:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x69803d…
05-04 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x756c14…