Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

107

Trades

450

lifetime

Volume

$6.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 11-02 22:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 63% -$29

Politics

4% 25% -$47

Other

3% 50% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?	Yes		+24	$4	13¢	$3	-$1	10-25 16:54
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?	Yes		+8	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	10-25 16:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	4	$333	452	452	+0	Down	-$54	10-25 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	10	$225	144	144	+0	Down	+$15	10-27 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$201	149	149	+0	Down	+$1	10-27 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9AM ET	8	$173	167	167	+0	Down	+$13	10-26 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$161	95	95	+0	Down	+$13	10-27 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$152	88	88	+0	Up	+$2	11-02 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	6	$150	159	159	+0	Up	+$0	10-27 03:31
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	13	$137	181	134	+47	Down	-$10	10-25 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:00 UTC	6	$135	154	152	+2	Down	+$10	03-13 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	12	$129	113	113	+0	Down	-$1	10-25 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$121	120	120	+0	Down	+$21	10-27 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	4	$112	81	81	+0	Down	+$12	10-27 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	4	$109	79	79	+0	Up	+$9	10-27 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$109	65	65	+0	Down	+$9	10-27 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	5	$108	125	91	+33	Down	-$2	10-25 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$107	228	61	+167	Up	-$3	10-27 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$107	63	63	+0	Up	+$7	11-01 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$106	67	67	+0	Up	+$6	11-02 00:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	4	$106	72	72	+0	Down	+$6	10-25 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	5	$105	133	77	+56	Down	-$5	11-02 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$104	63	63	+0	Up	+$4	11-01 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$103	57	57	+0	Down	+$3	11-01 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$103	58	58	+0	Up	+$3	11-01 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$102	61	61	+0	Up	+$2	11-02 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 18:55 UTC	6	$102	99	97	+1	Down	+$5	03-13 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET	2	$100	54	54	+0	Up	+$2	10-25 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$100	78	78	+0	Up	+$0	11-02 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$97	90	90	+0	Down	-$3	11-02 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	4	$97	77	77	+0	Up	-$3	10-27 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3PM ET	4	$95	79	79	+0	Up	-$5	10-26 20:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	42	55¢	$23	0x57900c…
11-02 22:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x675230…
11-02 22:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	47	51¢	$24	0x3b4694…
11-02 22:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x8dbdfa…
11-02 16:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xf00df8…
11-02 16:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x90525d…
11-02 16:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x6e644d…
11-02 16:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x40448e…
11-02 16:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0x244c03…
11-02 16:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc60ff0…
11-02 16:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x75db62…
11-02 16:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x5e9393…
11-02 16:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x6f9100…
11-02 16:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	35	77¢	$27	0xfeff1c…
11-02 16:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x41f517…
11-02 03:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x908d4a…
11-02 03:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xec3d01…
11-02 03:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x8cf894…
11-02 03:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x910504…
11-02 03:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0x5233de…
11-02 03:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xf96a7a…
11-02 03:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	36	84¢	$30	0xb32c78…
11-02 03:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xbebec0…
11-02 00:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	41	63¢	$26	0xc5fb97…
11-02 00:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x171bbe…
11-02 00:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	66¢	$24	0x888944…
11-02 00:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x5baf6f…
11-02 00:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x4f35e0…
11-02 00:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x0dab93…
11-02 00:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x91dedf…
11-02 00:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xf9a8b5…
11-02 00:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x5522d0…
11-02 00:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	89¢	$27	0x191e3f…
11-02 00:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x7b3218…
11-02 00:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	125	2¢	$2	0x890e7b…
11-02 00:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x1b843b…
11-02 00:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xa0dc84…
11-02 00:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x73638a…
11-02 00:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0x7776c3…
11-02 00:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x51ae2e…
11-02 00:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6ff899…
11-02 00:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x29ca24…
11-02 00:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xd84489…
11-02 00:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x504035…
11-02 00:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xc86804…
11-02 00:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x7ecbac…
11-02 00:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x9710a3…
11-02 00:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x287114…
11-02 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xe021fe…
11-02 00:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0xdd6a66…
11-02 00:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x486ec5…
11-02 00:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x5bc5c6…
11-02 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xe1629e…
11-01 23:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	29	90¢	$26	0x3fd73b…
11-01 23:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x18fd90…
11-01 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	81¢	$27	0x727ea3…
11-01 23:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xf6ef56…
11-01 23:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd366b8…
11-01 23:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	125	6¢	$8	0x88c616…
11-01 23:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xf45be5…
11-01 23:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x3ced7d…
11-01 23:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xf23392…
11-01 23:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x8a403e…
11-01 23:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x39054f…
11-01 23:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x5267ed…
11-01 23:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x318645…
11-01 23:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x695758…
11-01 23:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x09f1b7…
11-01 23:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x7e6374…
11-01 23:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xac760b…
11-01 23:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	32	84¢	$27	0x9b0df6…
11-01 23:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xb33576…
11-01 23:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x3d79b4…
11-01 23:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x2ac297…
11-01 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x6c0945…
11-01 23:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x110f50…
11-01 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0xbf032c…
11-01 23:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x2189dc…
11-01 23:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xa24a4b…
11-01 23:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x3a94f1…
10-27 04:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xa80db7…
10-27 03:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	53¢	$18	0x1c270b…
10-27 03:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x6dd82d…
10-27 03:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	74¢	$26	0xad12bf…
10-27 03:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x353f23…
10-27 03:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x63ac1f…
10-27 03:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2afd83…
10-27 03:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x4f033a…
10-27 03:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xcffe52…
10-27 03:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	52	72¢	$38	0xd388ef…
10-27 03:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x764313…
10-27 03:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	68	50¢	$34	0x409a2f…
10-27 03:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x5279f0…
10-27 03:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xce447f…
10-27 03:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x6b54b6…
10-27 03:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	44	83¢	$36	0xd79b8c…
10-27 03:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x761366…
10-27 03:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb083c0…
10-27 03:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x380537…
10-27 03:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xa22320…