Disguised-Champion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$108

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

308

Trades

558

lifetime

Volume

$32.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$230

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-13 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 99% +$14

Other

39% 97% -$34

Sports

11% 100% +$4

Politics

4% 88% -$92

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+243	$221	94¢	$230	+$9	10-13 10:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	28	$1.1K	592	563	+29	New York Yankees	+$1	04-18 19:25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$958	578	578	+0	No	+$3	10-04 22:12
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	10	$896	455	455	+0	Yes	+$3	09-25 20:35
mlb bos min 2026 04 15	17	$714	383	334	+49	Boston Red Sox	+$0	04-15 19:58
epl lee wol 2026 04 18 lee	16	$710	362	362	+0	Yes	+$1	04-18 15:35
lal mal ray 2026 04 12 mal	13	$438	364	76	+288	Yes	+$1	04-12 16:00
nhl van lak 2026 04 09	5	$436	221	221	+0	Kings	+$1	04-10 04:47
Will the price of Solana be greater than $140 on September 22?	3	$429	215	215	+0	No	-$1	09-21 16:27
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	2	$400	201	201	+0	Yes	+$0	09-09 21:33
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?	2	$398	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	09-19 15:30
aus bri mct 2026 04 18 mct	6	$352	236	118	+118	Yes	+$1	04-18 08:57
nhl phi nj 2026 04 07	7	$330	222	110	+112	Flyers	+$1	04-08 01:22
bl2 svd h96 2026 04 11 h96	7	$294	186	112	+74	Yes	+$3	04-11 20:25
mlb bal bos 2026 06 04	2	$248	124	124	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$0	06-04 20:08
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt40 on january 3	2	$246	123	123	+0	No	+$0	01-03 11:47
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	4	$246	123	123	+0	Athletics	+$0	05-20 04:19
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Tyra Caterina Grant	2	$239	120	120	+0	Tyra Caterina Grant	+$1	04-21 13:48
bun wer hsv 2026 04 18 wer	3	$229	115	115	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:22
j1100 cer kyo 2026 04 18 cer	12	$229	115	115	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:50
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$221	243	0	+243	open	—	10-13 10:28
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-24?	6	$219	110	110	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 18:27
Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 1?	1	$216	216	0	+216	No	+$0	09-29 16:01
Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on September 28?	1	$216	216	0	+216	No	+$0	09-26 15:40
tur kay koc 2026 02 09 koc	13	$214	168	73	+95	Yes	+$9	02-09 15:55
es2 cad cor 2026 04 04 cor	6	$211	110	110	+0	Yes	+$8	04-04 13:56
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 7?	1	$210	211	0	+211	No	+$1	09-06 16:49
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 9?	1	$210	210	0	+210	Yes	+$0	09-08 16:05
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 17?	1	$207	207	0	+207	No	+$0	08-15 17:02
ethereum above 1600 on august 15 2026	1	$207	207	0	+207	Yes	+$0	08-14 16:33
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 10?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	08-08 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 10:28:32	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	243	91¢	$221	0x17197c…
10-10 07:20:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0xc906d2…
10-10 07:20:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x08dc02…
10-08 08:00:12	Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xb446d7…
10-08 07:59:58	Will APTV be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x640a86…
10-08 07:55:19	Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x8767a2…
10-08 07:54:45	Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xda7f01…
10-05 13:18:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x2d6298…
10-04 22:12:28	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0xf34e67…
10-04 22:10:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xff660e…
10-04 22:09:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	150	84¢	$125	0x7e50c1…
10-04 22:08:34	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	150	83¢	$125	0xa06771…
10-04 22:07:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	97	84¢	$81	0xcbfc0e…
10-04 22:06:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x832023…
10-04 22:06:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	97	83¢	$81	0xc828da…
10-04 22:05:14	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	96	83¢	$79	0x6134ae…
10-04 22:05:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x2edf72…
10-04 22:03:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	96	82¢	$79	0xe437bf…
10-04 22:03:10	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	216	83¢	$179	0x1a6261…
10-04 22:03:02	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2cbe1f…
10-04 22:02:28	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	217	82¢	$179	0x5706ac…
10-01 18:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 38°C or higher on October 3?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x7fcfee…
10-01 18:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on October 3?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe65ffc…
10-01 18:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C or below on October 3?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfd0e53…
09-29 16:01:47	Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on October 1?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x41b090…
09-26 15:40:09	Will the price of Solana be greater than $160 on September 28?	No	BUY	216	100¢	$216	0x0bde6c…
09-25 20:35:57	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xb29de5…
09-25 20:35:39	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x901543…
09-25 20:34:57	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x7ab7fb…
09-25 20:33:48	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	111	98¢	$109	0x41252d…
09-25 20:33:42	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xef8d51…
09-25 20:32:41	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xf17fe2…
09-25 20:31:45	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0x7f3f80…
09-25 20:30:30	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xa42a73…
09-25 20:30:18	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0xdf5fac…
09-25 20:29:39	Will Belgium win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0xaab859…
09-24 18:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa73e81…
09-24 09:47:11	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on September 24?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xc2a76a…
09-21 19:37:39	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on September 22?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0x684f01…
09-21 16:27:18	Will the price of Solana be greater than $140 on September 22?	No	SELL	174	99¢	$172	0xad9059…
09-21 15:08:24	Will the price of Solana be greater than $140 on September 22?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xf6d86a…
09-20 14:27:06	Will the price of Solana be greater than $140 on September 22?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x741ad5…
09-19 15:30:35	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x95d196…
09-19 15:26:15	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf62dc4…
09-17 05:58:49	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfc4226…
09-17 05:58:10	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xad1ca4…
09-17 05:57:39	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x14a9fd…
09-17 05:56:43	Will Polymarket be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xc41a60…
09-17 05:56:12	Will Google Maps be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c78ef…
09-14 15:35:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on September 16?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x041d50…
09-14 15:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 16?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xd3a14b…
09-13 17:04:04	Will XRP reach $1.80 September 7-13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x152423…
09-13 17:03:52	Will XRP reach $1.70 September 7-13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x56af29…
09-12 02:32:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on September 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe09ad2…
09-12 02:31:01	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.90 on September 13?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x5040ad…
09-10 01:49:40	Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x827b85…
09-10 01:49:30	Will MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x8d50d7…
09-10 01:49:06	Will 7 Brew Coffee be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc91624…
09-09 21:33:51	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$200	0x128690…
09-09 19:12:57	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x7920c7…
09-08 16:05:18	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xba8cef…
09-06 16:49:28	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 7?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0xc77e05…
09-04 13:57:39	Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on September 5?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x180487…
09-02 20:38:46	Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x9f1364…
09-02 20:35:04	Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xfdd174…
08-29 16:56:40	xrp above 1pt9 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x8d61c2…
08-29 16:56:28	xrp above 2 on august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5ddb19…
08-28 08:19:15	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x49a409…
08-28 08:16:45	Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on August 29?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x7f3f77…
08-28 08:14:39	Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x918393…
08-26 16:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1ab748…
08-24 16:42:54	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 26?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc67fa1…
08-24 16:42:30	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 26?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb89535…
08-23 13:11:13	Will the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on August 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x150d49…
08-23 13:10:39	Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xd70c34…
08-20 04:35:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on August 22?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1f2c0a…
08-17 19:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d742a…
08-17 19:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x639ce4…
08-15 17:02:03	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 17?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xd24443…
08-14 16:33:48	ethereum above 1600 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xb9186b…
08-12 17:32:33	ethereum above 1500 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x5792da…
08-10 17:36:16	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 12?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x8a4ea6…
08-10 17:35:51	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on August 12?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x7c4a1d…
08-08 17:34:21	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on August 10?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xea2a05…
08-06 11:39:45	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.50 on August 8?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xdc4be6…
08-03 05:03:06	Will "Hannibal: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd69390…
08-03 05:02:32	Will "My Daughter's Father: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x337cae…
08-03 05:02:21	Will "Elite Force: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7cc7eb…
08-03 05:02:09	Will "The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5a176…
08-01 04:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 2?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x078d80…
07-30 05:04:57	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 31?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x63b2bc…
07-30 05:04:42	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on July 31?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x2d3f76…
07-29 02:27:29	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Chicago Cubs	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x329bd5…
07-26 16:45:39	Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 28?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$205	0x4f475a…
07-24 17:22:45	Will the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 26?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x600f5c…
07-24 17:22:13	xrp above 0pt8 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x692181…
07-22 14:06:36	Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on July 24?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7bded1…
07-18 08:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x010702…
07-18 08:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 25°C or below on July 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8cb3a5…
07-15 16:36:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 17?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$197	0x547128…