Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$356

Unrealized P&L

-$25

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

6,911

Trades

8,875

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-31 04:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 78% -$300

Other

8% 76% -$56

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+1,863	$15	0¢	$7	-$8	10-14 10:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+88	$5	6¢	$5	+$0	10-21 02:02
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+332	$5	1¢	$3	-$2	10-21 02:03
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+271	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	10-14 10:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+33	$10	0¢	$0	-$10	10-14 01:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 05:35 UTC	13	$65	87	0	+87	Up	-$65	09-29 05:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:55 UTC	13	$65	72	0	+72	Up	+$7	10-15 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	18	$60	93	0	+93	Down	-$60	10-20 14:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	12	$60	64	0	+64	Up	+$4	10-15 02:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 03:10 UTC	6	$21	16	10	+6	Up	+$1	06-23 03:14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	8	$16	14	14	+0	Up	$0	07-29 06:44
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$15	1,863	0	+1,863	open	—	10-14 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:30 UTC	3	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	06-23 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:15 UTC	4	$14	10	10	+0	Down	$0	07-28 18:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:15 UTC	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	07-28 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 10:25 UTC	5	$13	12	7	+5	Down	+$2	06-23 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	6	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	07-29 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	6	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	07-29 05:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 03:25 UTC	3	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	09-29 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 16:45 UTC	4	$12	19	6	+13	Up	$0	07-28 16:48
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	6	$12	10	10	+0	Up	$0	07-29 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$12	10	10	+0	Up	$0	07-29 06:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$11	33	33	+0	No	+$1	10-13 05:27
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	6	$11	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	07-29 05:47
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	6	$11	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	07-29 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 18:10 UTC	4	$11	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	07-28 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$11	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	07-29 05:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 10:20 UTC	3	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	06-23 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$10	7	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	10-20 10:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	2	$10	11	11	+0	Up	-$10	08-10 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 03:15 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	06-23 03:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:30 UTC	2	$10	12	4	+8	Up	-$10	08-10 23:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	10-14 01:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 18:30 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	-$10	08-10 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc97ddd…
10-31 02:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf62960…
10-31 01:42:13	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x42ab8c…
10-31 01:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd4138c…
10-31 01:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe738a0…
10-31 00:56:13	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x20c2cc…
10-31 00:26:07	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xf090fc…
10-30 20:32:30	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8ce6a7…
10-30 20:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x06ccdb…
10-30 20:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x190025…
10-30 20:26:52	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4ac607…
10-30 20:17:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x53c8d8…
10-30 20:11:43	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcb438d…
10-30 20:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x62f2b3…
10-30 20:00:48	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbcab42…
10-30 19:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcd6ea3…
10-30 19:51:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xee1691…
10-30 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5479ca…
10-30 19:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe61bae…
10-30 19:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1aa17a…
10-30 19:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcf2933…
10-30 19:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x39c7ce…
10-30 19:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x824b51…
10-30 19:22:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xcf2960…
10-30 19:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$4	0x4b5686…
10-30 19:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x0bc133…
10-30 19:01:25	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb7942d…
10-30 19:01:16	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9119fc…
10-30 19:01:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x218c6c…
10-30 19:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0xc79493…
10-30 18:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0016bb…
10-30 18:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x217723…
10-30 18:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc569fd…
10-30 18:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5629d8…
10-30 18:41:16	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7add73…
10-30 18:32:36	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x58e070…
10-30 18:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x7cb880…
10-30 18:21:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x46f371…
10-30 18:02:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x666893…
10-30 17:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xe2ddce…
10-30 17:51:13	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x05a1ce…
10-30 17:41:10	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf77a31…
10-30 17:38:00	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xec9a8d…
10-30 17:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc1d941…
10-30 17:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x937b9d…
10-30 17:20:57	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x947d7b…
10-30 17:12:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe16099…
10-30 17:08:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x59ff7b…
10-30 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x2bff2f…
10-30 17:01:19	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4d79e5…
10-30 17:01:10	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8b9267…
10-30 17:01:03	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xda5182…
10-30 15:42:01	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xe91962…
10-30 15:40:27	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd41306…
10-30 15:37:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x5821d1…
10-30 15:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x963815…
10-30 15:31:21	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7d01b4…
10-30 15:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xae9802…
10-30 15:25:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd45bad…
10-30 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa64091…
10-30 12:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x89dbbe…
10-30 12:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb353d2…
10-30 12:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xae806c…
10-30 12:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xcaaa32…
10-30 12:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf42e68…
10-30 12:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf547bf…
10-30 11:57:12	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcf1e86…
10-30 09:26:21	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1f99ee…
10-30 09:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc35070…
10-30 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb369b0…
10-30 05:07:25	BNB Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe964f1…
10-30 05:06:48	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbe16a2…
10-21 02:03:14	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	2¢	$5	0x2ff8b1…
10-21 02:02:59	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	6¢	$5	0x38dcb8…
10-21 02:02:18	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	3¢	$5	0x31475e…
10-21 02:02:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x1a92e9…
10-20 14:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x546645…
10-20 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x966de6…
10-20 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x83afb6…
10-20 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x52d041…
10-20 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x44fd76…
10-20 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1326ae…
10-20 14:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xb78cf2…
10-20 14:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x07d106…
10-20 14:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xedbc00…
10-20 14:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeb4e61…
10-20 14:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x924ebd…
10-20 14:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x22cb6c…
10-20 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd6821b…
10-20 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc521bb…
10-20 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x83b312…
10-20 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x73c0f8…
10-20 14:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x73a07a…
10-20 14:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x529d82…
10-20 10:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x85cf85…
10-20 10:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x808ab3…
10-20 04:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1fae1…
10-20 02:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4b1cde…
10-15 05:41:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x01f13a…
10-15 03:19:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x981321…