Disgusting-Sculpting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$433

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

13,141

Trades

72,711

lifetime

Volume

$42.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 09-06 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

63% 5% -$94

Crypto

36% 29% -$336

Politics

0% 25% -$1

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 469 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+0	-$2	1¢	$0	+$2	08-10 12:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 17?	44	$759	2,927	1,397	+1,529	No	+$741	07-17 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 15?	80	$634	860	860	+0	No	+$632	07-15 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 16?	11	$292	279	279	+0	Yes	+$259	07-16 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?	40	$279	509	509	+0	Yes	+$277	07-17 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 22?	6	$250	200	200	+0	Yes	+$146	07-22 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?	6	$243	300	300	+0	Yes	+$231	07-14 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?	10	$228	310	300	+10	Yes	+$216	07-15 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	11	$228	310	300	+10	Yes	+$216	07-15 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 12?	9	$224	300	300	+0	No	+$220	07-12 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 22?	6	$220	169	169	+0	Yes	+$115	07-22 08:06
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?	10	$214	2,495	0	+2,495	No	-$214	07-22 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 22?	3	$185	100	100	+0	Yes	+$13	07-22 11:16
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 20?	24	$181	275	275	+0	Yes	+$166	07-21 00:11
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	10	$179	237	237	+0	Yes	+$172	07-16 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 12?	6	$175	230	230	+0	Yes	+$166	07-12 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 22?	5	$170	100	100	+0	Yes	+$27	07-22 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 12?	10	$166	218	218	+0	Yes	+$156	07-12 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 16?	16	$165	200	200	+0	Yes	+$151	07-16 07:33
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	3	$160	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-10 12:15
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?	20	$157	210	206	+4	Yes	+$143	07-14 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 22?	18	$156	150	150	+0	Yes	+$140	07-22 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	18	$152	125	125	+0	Up	+$85	06-15 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?	50	$148	310	310	+0	Yes	+$142	07-17 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 22?	14	$147	1,625	75	+1,550	No	+$2	07-22 08:02
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	2	$146	100	100	+0	Yes	+$54	07-22 14:31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 22?	7	$142	76	76	+0	Yes	+$8	07-22 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 12?	26	$117	470	156	+314	No	+$106	07-12 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?	12	$116	150	150	+0	Yes	+$106	07-14 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 20?	14	$113	175	175	+0	Yes	+$101	07-20 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	8	$113	160	150	+10	Yes	+$109	07-14 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 16:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xb986f0…
09-06 14:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x470e64…
09-06 06:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x907e21…
09-06 06:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x31f6f8…
09-06 06:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x44964e…
09-06 06:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1b852e…
09-06 05:49:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x92ddc0…
09-06 05:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa2618a…
09-06 05:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4aa117…
09-06 05:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x51d2fc…
09-06 05:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x80760a…
09-06 04:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4e9f88…
09-06 04:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x95925f…
09-06 03:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x65232c…
09-06 03:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf4bb71…
09-06 03:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc20979…
09-06 03:14:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7f613b…
09-06 02:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe989ed…
09-06 01:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb529f5…
09-06 01:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xcd6d58…
09-06 01:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x2f86d1…
09-06 01:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd83905…
09-06 01:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3a9fd2…
09-06 01:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x27b44f…
09-06 01:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9d7e4c…
09-06 00:35:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x87b288…
09-06 00:35:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x905f81…
09-06 00:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x204559…
09-06 00:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8f96d1…
09-06 00:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x806b30…
09-05 23:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9cf7dc…
09-05 23:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xea5699…
09-05 23:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcac59d…
09-05 23:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa3406c…
09-05 23:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x915b68…
09-05 23:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe32480…
09-05 23:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x838ac3…
09-05 23:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1f8e79…
09-05 23:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa93307…
09-05 23:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbf770f…
09-05 22:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x087f8f…
09-05 22:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe2b6d9…
09-05 22:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdaf3f5…
09-05 22:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on September 7?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x7b5cc1…
09-05 22:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x65fcfe…
09-05 22:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x28ba21…
09-05 22:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x49d59c…
09-05 22:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xc179ba…
09-05 22:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xa329f0…
09-05 22:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x883b15…
09-05 21:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8d751e…
09-05 21:46:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 6?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x212412…
09-05 21:38:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x3630e3…
09-05 20:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x133838…
09-05 19:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x12aaaa…
09-05 19:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9a7d8d…
09-05 18:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xab55d7…
09-05 18:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa9290f…
09-05 18:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x813b5c…
09-05 18:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x4f9e07…
09-05 17:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf2f476…
09-05 17:31:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2c81a9…
09-05 17:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfcdddb…
09-05 17:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x248211…
09-05 16:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4fd53f…
09-05 16:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7afaf3…
09-05 16:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0006fd…
09-05 16:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xb62f7e…
09-05 15:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbe2abe…
09-05 14:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 6?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3fd182…
09-05 14:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8268d6…
09-05 14:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x7bdfbd…
09-05 14:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0cd4e6…
09-05 13:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x04e08a…
09-05 13:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x95c5db…
09-05 12:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x544489…
09-05 12:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x757ecb…
09-05 11:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5b8ab2…
09-05 11:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x79c395…
09-05 11:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x93cd1b…
09-05 10:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x744229…
09-05 10:22:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xa50e26…
09-05 10:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x1fe526…
09-05 10:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x12efa6…
09-05 10:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc8d22b…
09-05 10:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xaa49e5…
09-05 09:55:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x59e392…
09-05 09:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on September 6?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x1dd712…
09-05 08:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x735428…
09-05 08:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x109ac8…
09-05 08:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1aadc4…
09-05 08:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9f0ed4…
09-05 08:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd107f9…
09-05 08:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8d0882…
09-05 08:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 6?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x66537d…
09-05 08:03:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc6f965…
09-05 07:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xb50e1a…
09-05 07:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x3e5ad5…
09-05 06:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x15ce9f…
09-05 06:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf2693c…