Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$531

Unrealized P&L

+$73

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

231

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$117

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-05

last 11-08 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 49% +$268

Other

24% 62% +$217

Sports

17% 66% +$31

Politics

4% 40% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	No	+185	$30	52¢	$95	+$66	11-08 04:28
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	+163	$28	12¢	$20	-$7	11-07 17:56
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	+67	$17	1¢	$1	-$16	10-26 12:01
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+51	$15	1¢	$1	-$14	10-31 03:14
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	+0	-$45	99¢	$0	+$45	11-04 20:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$219	200	200	+0	Down	+$119	11-07 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$195	232	232	+0	Up	+$35	11-05 22:19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	4	$165	126	126	+0	open	—	11-04 20:06
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	5	$161	136	136	+0	Yes	+$97	10-16 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	6	$158	266	259	+7	Up	+$8	11-07 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$151	164	164	+0	Down	+$51	11-07 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$139	123	123	+0	Down	+$39	11-07 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$131	132	132	+0	Down	+$81	11-07 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$125	139	139	+0	Up	+$25	11-06 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$122	152	152	+0	Down	+$22	11-08 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$122	109	109	+0	Up	+$72	11-08 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$116	215	132	+83	Down	+$6	11-06 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$112	179	96	+83	Down	+$52	11-07 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$110	250	250	+0	Down	+$60	11-06 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$103	86	86	+0	Up	+$53	11-08 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$102	78	78	+0	Up	+$52	11-07 22:44
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$101	84	84	+0	Yes	+$67	11-04 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$98	163	163	+0	Down	-$2	11-06 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$97	152	152	+0	Up	-$3	11-06 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$96	83	83	+0	Up	+$46	11-06 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$94	196	196	+0	Down	-$6	11-08 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$94	109	91	+18	Down	+$34	11-05 22:32
UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	2	$93	61	61	+0	Abus Magomedov	+$29	10-24 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$91	68	68	+0	Up	+$41	11-06 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$89	141	69	+71	Up	+$29	11-07 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$88	97	97	+0	Down	+$23	11-05 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$86	69	69	+0	Up	+$36	11-08 07:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$85	68	68	+0	Down	+$35	11-07 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$78	78	78	+0	Down	+$28	11-06 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$78	58	58	+0	Down	+$28	11-07 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 11:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	89	5¢	$4	0x6081fe…
11-08 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xc8e931…
11-08 11:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	107	37¢	$39	0x1498be…
11-08 11:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0x66e550…
11-08 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	66	45¢	$30	0xe84f56…
11-08 11:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x4552ee…
11-08 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	86	49¢	$42	0xcc4b5b…
11-08 11:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x288867…
11-08 11:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0xf8da0e…
11-08 11:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	74	9¢	$7	0x685647…
11-08 11:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x2e5ee7…
11-08 11:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	109	89¢	$97	0xc8e5b8…
11-08 11:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xb7144f…
11-08 11:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x0295cd…
11-08 11:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0x21826e…
11-08 11:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x9df478…
11-08 11:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x340988…
11-08 09:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-08 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xa3b694…
11-08 08:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x46ef18…
11-08 08:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x0ebbb9…
11-08 07:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	69	88¢	$61	0x5fe04d…
11-08 07:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x0da6d3…
11-08 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x683c08…
11-08 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	70	53¢	$37	0x27a41e…
11-08 07:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x6c7304…
11-08 07:35:58	Spread: RB Ōmiya Ardija (-2.5)	Montedio Yamagata	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1644bf…
11-08 07:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	86	91¢	$78	0x193391…
11-08 07:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x8d90d2…
11-08 06:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xfe660d…
11-08 05:45:58	Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	31	74¢	$23	0xc5fea9…
11-08 04:28:39	Will Cuffem lose the most weight in Nozempic 2?	No	BUY	185	16¢	$30	0x3d5c1a…
11-08 00:31:54	Nuggets vs. Pacers	Nuggets	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf01e4d…
11-07 23:29:36	Spread: Nuggets (-30.5)	Nuggets	BUY	146	25¢	$36	0x2b6a14…
11-07 23:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	66	62¢	$41	0x3b4399…
11-07 23:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x35b941…
11-07 23:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	86	44¢	$38	0x77e75d…
11-07 23:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x882797…
11-07 23:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	78	81¢	$63	0x0ebf80…
11-07 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x1eae33…
11-07 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	200	85¢	$169	0x878665…
11-07 22:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x296e01…
11-07 22:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xb6dd9d…
11-07 22:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xcff003…
11-07 22:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	78	98¢	$77	0x55beda…
11-07 22:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xc7934a…
11-07 22:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x677c23…
11-07 22:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x793d68…
11-07 22:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	69	85¢	$59	0xd2c539…
11-07 22:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x208f55…
11-07 22:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0xe5ca6d…
11-07 22:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xff95c0…
11-07 22:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3a6fc2…
11-07 22:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x169c78…
11-07 22:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa14939…
11-07 22:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	96	86¢	$82	0xce7bb3…
11-07 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x4767bd…
11-07 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x02136e…
11-07 21:56:36	Nuggets vs. Pacers	Nuggets	BUY	42	73¢	$31	0x06a4c4…
11-07 21:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0x899216…
11-07 21:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe26729…
11-07 21:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x8bfc18…
11-07 21:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x54b92e…
11-07 21:42:03	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xd92591…
11-07 21:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x5c083f…
11-07 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x464db4…
11-07 21:38:48	Spread: Rockets (-7.5)	Rockets	BUY	77	46¢	$36	0x406dbd…
11-07 21:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	13	35¢	$4	0xf7d82f…
11-07 21:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xed77c9…
11-07 21:37:55	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	93	36¢	$33	0x89d169…
11-07 21:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	81	39¢	$31	0x9a9a7b…
11-07 21:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xaf2587…
11-07 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xa09cca…
11-07 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xc16453…
11-07 21:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	57	56¢	$32	0x1a36c7…
11-07 21:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x419cf5…
11-07 21:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x474b86…
11-07 21:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x965caa…
11-07 21:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	91	18¢	$16	0x48e260…
11-07 21:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	91	28¢	$25	0xd157ae…
11-07 21:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	79	47¢	$37	0xdd410e…
11-07 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x77d007…
11-07 21:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	89	33¢	$29	0xdbaed0…
11-07 21:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xa28a82…
11-07 21:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x28e27e…
11-07 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3f4794…
11-07 20:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	77	33¢	$25	0x5a4bbb…
11-07 20:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	132	81¢	$106	0x1f86cf…
11-07 20:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x9e2583…
11-07 20:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	67	38¢	$25	0x698323…
11-07 20:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x5bef4a…
11-07 19:26:52	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Wizards	BUY	56	49¢	$28	0x6258a1…
11-07 17:56:24	Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	No	BUY	163	17¢	$28	0x195891…
11-07 11:54:54	Londrina EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x52e009…
11-07 09:32:43	Spread: Antigua GFC (-1.5)	CD Malacateco	SELL	48	56¢	$27	0x714151…
11-07 08:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	68	89¢	$60	0xdf9a22…
11-07 08:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x940612…
11-07 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	81	37¢	$30	0x57cebd…
11-07 08:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xa597af…
11-07 08:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xc85f07…
11-07 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	74	45¢	$33	0x7378ab…