Forked-Overshoot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$683

Hit rate

86.5%

Resolved

372

Trades

2,503

lifetime

Volume

$549.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$219

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-31 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

58% 62% -$9,946

Politics

22% 58% +$1,196

Crypto

20% 54% -$2,757

Sports

0% 100% +$200

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+0	-$683	95¢	$0	+$683	10-28 06:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	4	$55.6K	29,718	29,718	+0	No	+$291	06-02 17:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$34.2K	19,379	19,379	+0	No	+$4,475	06-01 04:31
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	11	$32.8K	17,811	17,811	+0	No	+$179	06-27 07:43
will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	6	$21.2K	11,338	11,338	+0	No	+$1,185	06-15 00:09
will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	3	$20.6K	10,753	10,753	+0	No	+$591	06-12 11:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$20.5K	10,921	10,921	+0	No	+$847	05-24 09:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	12	$20.2K	10,744	10,744	+0	No	+$1,024	07-02 13:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$19.4K	13,846	13,846	+0	No	+$211	05-20 06:01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	42	$17.4K	9,500	9,500	+0	open	—	10-28 06:26
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	12	$16.4K	14,018	14,018	+0	No	+$1,425	07-05 14:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$14.8K	8,294	8,294	+0	No	+$1,771	05-30 17:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	3	$13.1K	6,725	6,725	+0	No	+$86	05-26 18:04
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	14	$11.2K	13,461	0	+13,461	Yes	-$11,181	06-14 07:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$8.0K	5,200	5,200	+0	No	+$205	05-25 17:05
will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	4	$7.2K	4,511	4,511	+0	No	+$1,276	09-30 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 28?	4	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$28	08-28 09:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	10	$5.8K	7,049	0	+7,049	open	—	10-31 17:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	2	$5.6K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	+$495	10-13 15:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	23	$5.0K	3,500	3,502	-2	No	+$213	10-11 22:00
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	1	$5.0K	5,878	0	+5,878	Yes	-$5,000	07-23 16:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	2	$4.9K	3,141	3,141	+0	Yes	+$948	06-12 10:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	14	$4.6K	2,400	2,400	+0	No	+$156	10-29 01:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on August 29?	6	$4.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$500	08-28 14:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 4?	5	$4.4K	2,310	2,310	+0	No	+$126	09-04 15:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:40 UTC	7	$4.4K	4,394	4,394	+0	Up	+$406	07-01 23:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 15:05 UTC	78	$4.3K	2,487	2,487	+0	Up	-$14	07-06 15:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$4.1K	4,678	0	+4,678	No	+$608	05-25 17:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of September 28 2026?	9	$3.9K	1,999	1,999	+0	No	+$80	10-02 18:59
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	7	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$193	09-08 06:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:05 UTC	8	$3.7K	5,227	1,953	+3,274	Up	+$966	07-01 23:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:51:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	2,698	82¢	$2,213	0xbcd820…
10-31 17:30:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x754418…
10-31 17:15:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xdafc37…
10-31 17:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc8e2ac…
10-31 17:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	138	82¢	$114	0x977b20…
10-31 17:14:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xd5125f…
10-31 17:14:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xc860c4…
10-31 17:14:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x0be87c…
10-31 17:14:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	3,088	82¢	$2,532	0xf9cb0a…
10-31 17:09:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November?	No	BUY	1,049	81¢	$849	0x496578…
10-29 01:20:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	2,134	100¢	$2,124	0xf4d829…
10-28 19:35:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x2ddce7…
10-28 19:34:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$264	0xf325fa…
10-28 06:26:53	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,675	96¢	$2,568	0xf8f9f6…
10-28 06:15:55	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x4d5e34…
10-28 06:13:46	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x76c49a…
10-28 06:09:25	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0x0e3ba3…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xd924a5…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$31	0xd69f2e…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc6814f…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x89f7fb…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x887f17…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x632763…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x2ae125…
10-27 19:53:50	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x24ac6b…
10-27 19:53:30	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x76a70c…
10-27 19:53:20	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x926896…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xfed7c7…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xf655df…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xeed539…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xe3ee78…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc2fde0…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xc247da…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb3dcb0…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x883c0c…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x3364e2…
10-27 19:53:18	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x037220…
10-27 19:53:17	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb872c4…
10-27 19:53:17	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x681b18…
10-18 07:05:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	263	93¢	$244	0x158132…
10-18 06:05:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x8a01ca…
10-18 06:03:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	183	93¢	$170	0x86582c…
10-18 06:03:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	183	93¢	$170	0x3b7bd4…
10-18 06:03:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	183	93¢	$170	0x195ff1…
10-18 06:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	357	93¢	$332	0xfa4c2c…
10-18 06:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x3f63c8…
10-18 06:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	183	93¢	$170	0x3ed916…
10-18 06:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	183	93¢	$170	0x3a9342…
10-18 06:03:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	183	93¢	$170	0xb6b0ac…
10-18 06:03:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	264	93¢	$246	0x163af7…
10-18 06:02:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	184	93¢	$171	0x22ba1e…
10-18 06:02:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	BUY	184	93¢	$171	0x18dc49…
10-15 12:06:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	601	96¢	$577	0x67d34e…
10-15 12:06:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x63f3d4…
10-15 12:06:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x43b321…
10-15 12:06:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0xdc5166…
10-15 12:06:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xb6b0f1…
10-15 11:54:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x84fdc4…
10-15 11:54:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x31729c…
10-15 11:53:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa47ef8…
10-15 11:53:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x555b28…
10-15 11:51:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xdf3401…
10-15 05:43:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$970	0x95e8fd…
10-15 04:06:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$105	0xba0daa…
10-15 03:37:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x85e459…
10-14 21:48:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$24	0x69f1ad…
10-14 14:44:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	79	20¢	$16	0x44a369…
10-14 14:44:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x3ba866…
10-14 14:44:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8f7a22…
10-14 14:44:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xef562f…
10-14 14:44:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xe33b73…
10-14 14:44:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x7e4c7d…
10-14 14:44:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x595a4b…
10-14 14:39:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0xbb49a8…
10-14 14:39:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	300	76¢	$228	0x9fc42d…
10-14 14:39:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	19	76¢	$14	0x97dc19…
10-14 14:38:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x0dda7c…
10-14 14:36:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xffa2dd…
10-14 14:31:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0xbd4554…
10-14 14:30:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xcf6fcc…
10-14 14:30:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x4e5f99…
10-14 14:27:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0xbe08bc…
10-14 14:27:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	140	20¢	$28	0x606d56…
10-14 14:25:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	55	82¢	$45	0x56fda3…
10-14 14:25:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x9121a7…
10-14 14:25:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	340	82¢	$279	0x062260…
10-14 14:24:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x863abd…
10-14 14:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xf21267…
10-14 14:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	122	82¢	$100	0x9fbeb9…
10-14 14:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x85cdbf…
10-14 14:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x42dba6…
10-14 14:24:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	49	82¢	$40	0x1064dd…
10-14 14:24:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	144	82¢	$118	0xd762f0…
10-14 14:24:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xb31fbb…
10-14 14:24:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xb78545…
10-14 14:24:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x71be43…
10-14 14:24:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	250	82¢	$205	0x11f590…
10-14 14:24:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	38	82¢	$31	0x9c13bb…
10-14 14:22:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xe3966c…
10-14 14:22:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 14?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xd18dfc…