Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

198

Trades

426

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 09-30 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

87% 51% -$41

Politics

10% 68% +$24

Crypto

2% 75% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$9

Sports

0% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	2	$46	24	24	+0	Yes	+$2	09-29 12:01
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 14?	3	$46	38	38	+0	Yes	+$30	09-15 03:53
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	2	$44	27	27	+0	Yes	+$9	09-29 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	3	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$16	09-29 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	5	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	+$6	09-28 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	3	$40	23	23	+0	Yes	+$5	09-28 12:02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	09-28 12:02
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	7	$34	27	27	+0	Yes	+$19	09-21 22:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	5	$34	23	23	+0	Yes	-$6	09-26 12:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	3	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$19	09-25 14:34
Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	2	$33	18	18	+0	Yes	+$3	09-28 04:02
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	2	$31	24	24	+0	No	+$17	09-28 19:10
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	2	$30	16	16	+0	No	+$1	09-25 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	2	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	09-26 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	4	$29	16	16	+0	Yes	+$3	09-29 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	3	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$1	09-26 14:54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	+$12	09-18 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	2	$28	16	16	+0	Yes	+$4	09-26 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$28	23	23	+0	Yes	-$3	09-30 03:07
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	$0	09-27 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or higher on September 24?	2	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	09-24 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	16	$27	32	32	+0	No	+$10	09-22 02:04
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?	2	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	09-24 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	2	$26	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	09-24 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	2	$26	17	17	+0	No	-$7	09-30 03:07
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?	2	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	-$2	09-29 22:56
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	2	$25	25	25	+0	Yes	-$10	09-28 03:07
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	09-16 16:01
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	09-20 16:26
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	2	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	09-25 04:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 03:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x18b15c…
09-30 03:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x062939…
09-30 03:07:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	55¢	$9	0x252377…
09-30 03:07:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	54¢	$12	0x3e8b8e…
09-30 01:18:41	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7b917f…
09-30 01:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x6e4d9d…
09-29 22:56:50	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 150k	Yes	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0xfcb5b7…
09-29 20:11:47	Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0xf76b86…
09-29 20:00:44	Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xffccd5…
09-29 19:55:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x449c4c…
09-29 19:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0xfa55e0…
09-29 18:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x6172bf…
09-29 17:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x20fb89…
09-29 17:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x7cbcab…
09-29 16:03:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x10c431…
09-29 13:22:51	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x790d51…
09-29 13:13:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xc8cb94…
09-29 12:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf4010e…
09-29 12:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x367249…
09-29 12:01:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x1403c0…
09-29 12:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x17954f…
09-29 07:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x13292c…
09-29 07:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc04e57…
09-29 07:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4ac28d…
09-29 05:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x02190f…
09-29 05:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$12	0x19dd98…
09-29 05:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x03096d…
09-29 01:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xb9586c…
09-28 22:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xe6266e…
09-28 21:12:05	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	SELL	42	42¢	$18	0x68de4e…
09-28 20:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x252718…
09-28 20:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd0277d…
09-28 19:10:35	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xef6be1…
09-28 17:16:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xeab441…
09-28 14:06:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xb91ae0…
09-28 13:18:41	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xa9d6f9…
09-28 12:10:47	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x4901af…
09-28 12:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1103dd…
09-28 12:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xd46eda…
09-28 12:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x38ac1b…
09-28 09:34:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x5db67c…
09-28 06:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9bb605…
09-28 06:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x61e2d7…
09-28 06:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xf67665…
09-28 06:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x775d2d…
09-28 04:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xd4a9b8…
09-28 04:52:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x07a237…
09-28 04:33:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x0cd5c1…
09-28 04:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x89a15b…
09-28 04:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x19d946…
09-28 04:02:47	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 21-27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x835e3f…
09-28 04:02:42	Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x494814…
09-28 04:02:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x09b2e5…
09-28 04:02:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x01c404…
09-28 04:02:27	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x5f74ad…
09-28 04:02:23	Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6fb3c5…
09-28 03:07:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x1e693d…
09-27 22:15:59	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x362eff…
09-27 18:26:15	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa218a9…
09-27 16:35:12	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x936f40…
09-27 12:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x08d1d3…
09-27 12:02:23	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x785a4a…
09-27 04:54:06	Will “The Cure” by Olivia Rodrigo win Best Alternative at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x107790…
09-27 01:15:29	will bitcoin reach 86k september 21 27 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x9fb2fe…
09-27 00:44:15	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x2c5b4b…
09-27 00:33:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x69e292…
09-27 00:13:41	will bitget resume withdrawals by september 27 2026	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x3f9406…
09-27 00:02:06	Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x6ff73b…
09-26 21:56:59	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x43ab3c…
09-26 20:21:57	Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x4aacf8…
09-26 20:16:59	Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0xcae753…
09-26 16:02:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4892b1…
09-26 16:02:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xde97b1…
09-26 15:16:59	Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x94cbab…
09-26 15:09:38	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x63d28c…
09-26 14:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x783caf…
09-26 14:54:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4e69d6…
09-26 12:03:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3214c5…
09-26 12:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x077e6f…
09-26 03:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x337382…
09-26 03:07:06	will bitcoin dip to 82k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x026ff9…
09-26 00:53:08	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbca025…
09-26 00:00:33	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb30d36…
09-25 20:07:35	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	No	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0x08cbd7…
09-25 20:07:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x6445eb…
09-25 19:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xa8f618…
09-25 17:40:27	Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x8d6f50…
09-25 16:01:50	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x52d30c…
09-25 15:57:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0x4d146b…
09-25 14:34:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x143b5d…
09-25 14:34:32	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x55391c…
09-25 12:28:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 26?	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0xdbc278…
09-25 12:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	No	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x42c62d…
09-25 12:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfaa8c0…
09-25 12:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc768d7…
09-25 12:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5bdc7e…
09-25 07:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5c68bf…
09-25 05:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xdfd5ce…
09-25 05:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 25?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd48900…
09-25 05:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 25?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0xac082f…