Lustrous-Refund — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

1,945

Trades

2,263

lifetime

Volume

$38.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-27 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 64% +$188

Other

23% 50% +$76

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 116 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	2	$1.4K	836	836	+0	FaZe	+$305	10-27 11:47
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	2	$1.3K	765	765	+0	Spirit	+$229	10-27 15:08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	3	$982	1,210	1,210	+0	MOUZ	-$519	10-27 15:56
cs2 ww acroba 2026 04 02	3	$835	1,231	1,205	+25	ACROBATS	+$72	04-02 13:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:00 UTC	5	$742	422	417	+5	Up	+$38	04-11 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 13:00 UTC	2	$721	406	400	+6	Up	+$78	04-24 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 13:45 UTC	2	$694	357	356	+1	Up	+$13	04-11 13:50
cs2 ww nemi1 2026 03 12	3	$680	504	504	+0	WW Team	+$327	03-12 15:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:50 UTC	2	$664	485	465	+20	Down	+$277	04-24 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$613	418	418	+0	Up	+$215	05-20 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:50 UTC	2	$602	415	400	+15	Up	+$206	04-11 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 11:05 UTC	2	$583	293	293	+0	Up	+$3	04-11 11:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:05 UTC	2	$557	306	303	+4	Up	+$46	04-04 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:50 UTC	2	$553	367	355	+12	Down	+$163	04-11 12:55
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	2	$537	413	413	+0	BetBoom Team	+$289	10-26 18:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 12:30 UTC	2	$531	338	328	+9	Down	+$128	04-24 12:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 08:15 UTC	2	$510	319	311	+8	Up	+$114	04-05 08:20
cs2 3dmax voc 2026 04 05 total games 2pt5	2	$451	439	435	+3	Over	-$198	04-05 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	3	$448	291	287	+4	Up	+$125	03-24 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 22:40 UTC	2	$439	291	282	+9	Up	+$128	04-23 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:05 UTC	3	$429	234	232	+3	Up	+$33	04-14 14:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 13:10 UTC	2	$417	212	212	+0	Down	+$3	04-14 13:15
cs2 nemi1 ww 2026 04 04	2	$410	289	284	+5	WW Team	+$161	04-04 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$407	279	279	+0	Up	+$145	05-22 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 08:35 UTC	5	$401	321	305	+16	Down	+$205	04-11 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:55 UTC	2	$382	207	205	+2	Up	+$27	04-14 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$379	251	251	+0	Up	+$119	05-21 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$378	717	0	+717	Down	-$378	05-22 19:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 11:10 UTC	2	$374	208	205	+3	Up	+$35	04-24 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:35 UTC	2	$371	276	264	+12	Down	+$163	04-11 12:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:56:33	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	1,210	19¢	$231	0x5ad93e…
10-27 15:12:48	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf95b7a…
10-27 15:08:59	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	1,207	62¢	$748	0x55fc9f…
10-27 15:08:03	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	SELL	765	100¢	$764	0xc3f34e…
10-27 14:49:05	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	765	70¢	$535	0x8b9894…
10-27 14:01:15	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	257	53¢	$136	0x328b4d…
10-27 11:47:51	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	SELL	836	100¢	$835	0xf6b7e4…
10-27 11:03:35	Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner	FaZe	BUY	836	63¢	$529	0x07b2c8…
10-27 10:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	282	35¢	$100	0xd9dadd…
10-27 08:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	438	46¢	$200	0xaf465a…
10-27 07:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	233	2¢	$5	0xabcc64…
10-27 07:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xda300d…
10-27 07:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	641	16¢	$100	0x147668…
10-26 19:54:57	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	SELL	231	100¢	$231	0x9c941c…
10-26 19:16:29	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	231	51¢	$118	0xd03481…
10-26 18:02:15	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	413	100¢	$413	0x6c75de…
10-26 17:08:38	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	413	30¢	$124	0x3eba4d…
10-26 12:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x3f7933…
10-25 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	121	97¢	$117	0xd9ef56…
10-25 21:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x9d3ade…
10-25 13:53:56	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7e11e1…
10-25 11:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x27e21f…
10-25 00:10:12	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xcd5b25…
10-25 00:09:42	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x145218…
10-25 00:09:27	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x0922ca…
10-25 00:09:21	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x0b4ebf…
10-24 23:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x1040ee…
10-24 23:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	90	19¢	$17	0x9d58cb…
10-24 23:08:00	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x18fccb…
10-24 23:07:18	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x7a6c45…
10-24 23:07:08	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x48ded6…
10-24 23:05:29	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x3d96f9…
10-24 22:27:32	Will "Primate" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x133afc…
10-24 22:27:30	Will "Sacrifice" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3290af…
10-24 22:25:57	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xcadbc1…
10-24 22:13:06	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xb4220b…
10-24 22:11:36	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x121409…
10-24 22:04:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x57502b…
10-24 21:51:08	Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xbbba95…
10-24 21:50:20	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x4dd397…
10-24 21:45:38	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x0d8b3a…
10-24 21:41:05	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 25?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x2d65e4…
10-24 21:32:12	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc9f2a3…
10-24 21:32:06	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xa5162d…
10-24 21:15:56	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x683e46…
10-24 21:15:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xb87487…
10-24 21:15:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9fe263…
10-24 21:15:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x3526a0…
10-24 21:12:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xf6ff19…
10-24 21:12:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xdf394d…
10-24 21:12:18	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x441f46…
10-24 21:11:23	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 25?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x651da9…
10-24 21:11:21	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 25?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xb8d164…
10-24 21:11:11	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.2800 and $4.2899 on October 25?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xed421c…
10-24 20:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x7ffc40…
10-24 20:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x864c92…
10-24 20:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x091afa…
10-24 20:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x16eea5…
10-24 20:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xeb5179…
10-24 20:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xc74a9a…
10-24 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x44b7c0…
10-24 20:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x6a12a2…
10-24 20:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x26defb…
10-24 20:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xf56a87…
10-24 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf12109…
10-24 19:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0xdafc19…
10-24 19:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x268c81…
10-24 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x9b87ed…
10-24 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4f3b80…
10-24 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x308327…
10-24 18:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9692a5…
10-24 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xe02360…
10-24 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xbe5099…
10-24 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x418232…
10-24 18:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe43779…
10-24 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf0be8a…
10-24 18:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x552c94…
10-24 18:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0ea632…
10-24 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf5d5f1…
10-24 18:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xf4f9ef…
10-24 18:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x2f9fc6…
10-24 18:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x013dbe…
10-24 18:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd7b424…
10-24 18:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbb90f9…
10-24 17:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf9ca4c…
10-24 17:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x04bd86…
10-24 17:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x8a6c69…
10-24 17:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x23ec50…
10-24 17:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc53563…
10-24 17:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x84f0e9…
10-24 17:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x494006…
10-24 17:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x976eac…
10-24 16:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb68282…
10-24 16:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x7cc924…
10-24 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xeabd53…
10-24 16:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x19cc02…
10-24 16:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x453c74…
10-24 16:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xb008b5…
10-24 16:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb844b2…
10-24 16:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x683793…