Noisy-Steak — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$226

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

938

Trades

3,964

lifetime

Volume

$17.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-28 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 77% +$226

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 844 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	8	$47	46	15	+31	open	—	05-14 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	10	$47	31	25	+5	open	—	05-14 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	12	$46	32	22	+10	open	—	05-14 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	7	$43	45	7	+38	open	—	05-17 17:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	13	$41	31	19	+13	Down	+$7	05-12 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	05-18 08:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	12	$40	24	22	+2	open	—	05-14 11:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	9	$40	31	16	+15	open	—	05-22 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	05-13 18:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	4	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 10:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$38	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$38	31	13	+18	Down	+$4	05-13 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	4	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	05-18 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	7	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	05-16 14:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	9	$38	23	20	+3	open	—	05-16 18:59
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$37	23	23	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$37	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 19:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$37	23	22	+1	Up	+$5	05-13 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	7	$36	56	0	+56	Down	+$20	05-13 15:48
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$35	23	19	+4	open	—	05-17 16:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$35	23	19	+4	open	—	05-17 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$34	22	16	+6	Up	+$2	05-13 16:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$34	22	19	+3	open	—	05-17 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$34	38	8	+30	Down	$-4	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$34	23	23	+0	Up	+$7	05-13 20:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	6	$34	22	19	+3	Down	+$6	05-13 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	8	$34	24	18	+7	open	—	05-16 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$33	24	16	+8	open	—	05-22 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	6	$33	23	16	+7	open	—	05-17 20:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 10:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x171225…
05-28 10:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x718550…
05-28 10:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xf667a5…
05-28 09:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc57b86…
05-28 09:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0xd7d1fc…
05-28 09:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe92490…
05-28 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd0d233…
05-28 09:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xcca3ab…
05-28 09:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbdfb20…
05-28 09:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x7ba15c…
05-28 09:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0c2e90…
05-28 09:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe604ec…
05-28 09:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf1fdc7…
05-28 08:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x4c1d93…
05-28 08:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xddc175…
05-28 08:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xb7b5a8…
05-28 08:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x897865…
05-28 08:33:43	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xd6a952…
05-28 08:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xc92954…
05-28 08:32:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x52f5eb…
05-28 08:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x1ef4c6…
05-28 08:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x62ab62…
05-28 08:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xad3c24…
05-28 08:31:30	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb1373a…
05-28 08:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xb4126b…
05-28 08:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xcd714c…
05-28 08:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xc1effa…
05-28 08:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x38f9cb…
05-28 08:27:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xd38755…
05-28 08:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x0577ed…
05-28 08:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1669f8…
05-28 08:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2ce864…
05-28 08:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa582a3…
05-28 08:18:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xaf6a27…
05-28 08:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc4119f…
05-28 08:17:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xcce65e…
05-28 08:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x9e704a…
05-28 07:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xbf58b7…
05-28 07:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x8281ab…
05-28 07:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xc71ef4…
05-28 07:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xe7c1a8…
05-28 07:49:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x27c9b6…
05-28 07:48:16	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xab29a6…
05-28 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x75f2f1…
05-28 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x28d25e…
05-28 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x264b48…
05-28 07:47:03	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x0bcb9e…
05-28 07:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xd20058…
05-28 07:46:54	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xac399c…
05-28 07:46:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xba1ec3…
05-28 07:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x0f2150…
05-28 07:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0x2fb33a…
05-28 07:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x7e02f1…
05-28 07:46:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9a59d3…
05-27 21:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0xa371af…
05-27 21:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xdef0fb…
05-27 21:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x16f22b…
05-27 21:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0x3625b8…
05-27 21:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x990d28…
05-27 21:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x246fbd…
05-27 21:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd374df…
05-27 21:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x056f30…
05-27 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x1569f7…
05-27 20:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xc737cd…
05-27 20:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd41c86…
05-22 21:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xb78896…
05-22 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1c8cb0…
05-22 21:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x0c3e2c…
05-22 21:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x9c3cb3…
05-22 21:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x90b688…
05-22 21:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xbf6fa0…
05-22 20:47:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x02336c…
05-22 20:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xbdbcc9…
05-22 20:47:05	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x0e00a5…
05-22 20:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0xc34eea…
05-22 20:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x11ec72…
05-22 20:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x04a729…
05-22 20:46:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xa4b1be…
05-22 20:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0xedca8d…
05-22 20:32:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xb0c151…
05-22 20:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x2c93a0…
05-22 20:31:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xfdd9c8…
05-22 20:30:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x05037e…
05-22 20:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x41ee65…
05-22 20:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x4d1190…
05-22 20:25:02	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xd08f84…
05-22 20:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xf687c0…
05-22 20:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0xf49106…
05-22 20:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xc7442a…
05-22 20:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8a265a…
05-22 20:24:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x35b65b…
05-22 20:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xe80469…
05-22 20:24:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x4fab3c…
05-22 20:24:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf034dc…
05-22 20:23:12	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe4d0ba…
05-22 20:22:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4398e3…
05-22 20:21:09	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x7ad16e…
05-22 20:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf5fe67…
05-22 20:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x9525e2…
05-22 20:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x91e94e…