Realized P&L
-$39.1K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
95
Trades
3,960
lifetime
Volume
$171.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-15 01:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Crypto
68%
44%
-$26,462
Other
21%
50%
-$6,294
Politics
8%
40%
-$4,035
Tech
3%
0%
-$2,264
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bitcoin above 90k on january 3 | 113 | $25.7K | 69,999 | 24,119 | +45,880 | Yes | +$3,272 | 01-03 16:51 |
| bitcoin above 90k on january 4 | 246 | $19.4K | 73,855 | 0 | +73,855 | Yes | -$19,389 | 01-04 10:23 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 121 | $8.4K | 37,400 | 37,400 | +0 | No | +$1,682 | 03-09 15:34 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 34 | $8.3K | 392,665 | 5,220 | +387,445 | No | -$3,470 | 06-03 14:21 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 3 | $5.9K | 7,000 | 1,411 | +5,589 | Yes | -$3,871 | 02-26 13:10 |
| will company b be accused of insider trading | 10 | $5.8K | 4,839 | 4,839 | +0 | No | +$626 | 02-24 16:34 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 27 | $5.2K | 4,760 | 4,760 | +0 | No | -$322 | 03-22 11:47 |
| will another company be accused of insider trading | 11 | $4.9K | 6,159 | 0 | +6,159 | No | +$1,234 | 02-25 18:16 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 26 | $4.7K | 12,949 | 12,949 | +0 | Yes | +$29 | 03-23 10:14 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 13 | $4.7K | 189,802 | 189,802 | +0 | Yes | +$297 | 04-07 18:16 |
| Germany to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire? | 23 | $4.5K | 6,722 | 0 | +6,722 | No | -$4,503 | 06-20 20:21 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 55 | $3.1K | 52,112 | 52,112 | +0 | No | -$656 | 04-01 01:19 |
| will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544 | 2 | $3.0K | 3,985 | 3,985 | +0 | Yes | -$873 | 07-15 01:02 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:10 UTC | 78 | $2.6K | 2,000 | 1,969 | +31 | Up | +$624 | 03-26 10:12 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 06:55 UTC | 35 | $2.5K | 1,960 | 1,960 | +0 | Down | +$418 | 04-01 06:59 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 6 | $2.5K | 27,339 | 27,339 | +0 | Yes | +$283 | 02-28 20:28 |
| iran closes its airspace by june 8 | 18 | $2.4K | 112,433 | 0 | +112,433 | Yes | -$2,366 | 06-10 15:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:45 UTC | 28 | $2.3K | 1,300 | 1,300 | +0 | Up | +$247 | 03-18 17:49 |
| bitcoin above 68k on march 22 | 90 | $2.3K | 11,352 | 0 | +11,352 | Yes | -$2,319 | 03-22 15:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC | 64 | $2.3K | 3,000 | 1,152 | +1,848 | Down | -$341 | 03-18 13:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 01:25 UTC | 41 | $2.2K | 2,000 | 1,974 | +26 | Down | +$799 | 03-10 01:28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | 165 | $2.0K | 5,359 | 0 | +5,359 | Down | -$2,043 | 06-01 15:17 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:30 UTC | 4 | $1.7K | 999 | 989 | +10 | Down | +$274 | 03-18 17:35 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:55 UTC | 67 | $1.7K | 1,200 | 1,200 | +0 | Down | +$228 | 03-25 15:59 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 17:25 UTC | 14 | $1.7K | 1,100 | 1,096 | +4 | Down | +$450 | 03-25 17:28 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:05 UTC | 45 | $1.7K | 1,100 | 795 | +305 | Up | +$212 | 03-26 10:10 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 01:40 UTC | 26 | $1.6K | 1,160 | 1,120 | +40 | Up | +$565 | 04-01 01:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 18:25 UTC | 54 | $1.6K | 1,095 | 1,095 | +0 | Up | +$348 | 04-07 18:28 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 12 | $1.6K | 88,419 | 0 | +88,419 | Yes | -$1,594 | 03-01 04:52 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 2 | $1.5K | 10,136 | 0 | +10,136 | Yes | -$1,501 | 03-24 10:45 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||