Eminent-Warfare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$2.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-30 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

97% 20% -$22

Politics

3% 0% -$59

Crypto

0% 0% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	20	$493	894	894	+0	Yes	+$62	07-21 04:51
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	16	$337	471	471	+0	No	+$23	07-17 06:52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	10	$205	404	404	+0	No	+$7	07-20 20:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	11	$189	536	536	+0	No	-$27	07-22 19:17
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$146	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-23 01:34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$110	105	105	+0	Yes	+$36	05-05 06:36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$103	302	302	+0	No	-$35	05-05 08:44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	4	$95	75	75	+0	Yes	-$1	07-17 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	9	$92	895	722	+172	No	-$19	07-19 16:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$54	234	234	+0	No	-$2	07-21 04:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	4	$46	216	216	+0	No	-$8	07-30 02:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$35	43	43	+0	Yes	-$3	07-25 22:39
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	2	$34	37	37	+0	No	+$6	07-21 23:37
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	3	$33	42	42	+0	No	+$11	07-28 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$29	106	106	+0	No	-$5	07-23 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$28	214	114	+100	No	-$7	07-23 22:29
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$26	139	139	+0	Yes	-$24	05-11 12:02
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$21	250	250	+0	Yes	-$19	05-11 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$19	108	108	+0	No	-$7	07-23 23:21
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$16	346	346	+0	Yes	-$14	05-11 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$12	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-23 23:22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	3	$11	41	41	+0	No	-$11	07-30 02:36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$10	18	18	+0	No	$0	07-28 15:57
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	3	$8	31	0	+31	Yes	-$8	07-30 12:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	4	$6	58	58	+0	No	-$2	07-29 11:16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	3	$6	39	39	+0	No	-$4	07-30 02:40
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	1	$5	51	0	+51	No	-$5	07-22 13:42
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	2	$3	150	0	+150	No	-$3	05-11 14:14
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$3	2,707	0	+2,707	No	-$3	05-05 09:38
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$3	05-05 09:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 12:09:26	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe29e76…
07-30 10:52:35	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x832662…
07-30 04:58:14	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 28	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xce5a98…
07-30 02:40:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xe0ef8a…
07-30 02:39:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	7¢	$8	0xb3d789…
07-30 02:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0x6ef272…
07-29 11:58:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x517465…
07-29 11:16:33	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x68ab0b…
07-29 06:18:45	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xc0bbc3…
07-29 06:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xdacda2…
07-28 15:58:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3966f8…
07-28 15:57:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xee2359…
07-28 15:41:20	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf7a18c…
07-28 13:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x2bb79c…
07-28 12:16:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	12¢	$13	0x6d7ab4…
07-28 10:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0x606e37…
07-27 18:28:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x97b1bc…
07-27 18:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xaa399c…
07-27 15:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x24b061…
07-27 13:41:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	11¢	$12	0x917c06…
07-26 22:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x006eef…
07-25 22:44:55	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xa59e53…
07-25 22:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	36¢	$16	0x98b66b…
07-24 16:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x75f579…
07-24 09:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x2cb822…
07-24 02:00:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0e0a09…
07-23 23:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	17¢	$6	0x078e08…
07-23 23:21:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	6¢	$6	0x71ce7b…
07-23 23:21:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	11¢	$12	0xc2ee64…
07-23 22:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xafd9ba…
07-23 03:42:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	17¢	$6	0x7ec7f8…
07-23 03:26:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	12¢	$13	0x22edd1…
07-23 03:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	16¢	$17	0x017048…
07-23 01:34:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	37¢	$39	0xf0ed47…
07-23 00:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	37¢	$39	0x2145c5…
07-22 23:54:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	9¢	$10	0xacb3fc…
07-22 19:46:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x75b082…
07-22 19:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	36¢	$34	0x5b8642…
07-22 19:17:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0xdc2a67…
07-22 18:57:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	14¢	$14	0x1d1a3d…
07-22 18:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	36¢	$34	0xf319e3…
07-22 18:55:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xf8a8c0…
07-22 13:42:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x2488ba…
07-22 07:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	14¢	$26	0x2a886b…
07-22 06:29:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x8b749c…
07-22 06:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x31bb8c…
07-22 06:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xdbe422…
07-22 06:02:34	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	24¢	$29	0x1dd20c…
07-22 06:01:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xc364ff…
07-22 05:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	24¢	$25	0x739ea3…
07-22 02:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0xba4e9e…
07-22 02:09:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x9c3547…
07-21 23:37:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0x6a944e…
07-21 21:07:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0xcd68cd…
07-21 04:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	2¢	$3	0xeb4eda…
07-21 04:51:19	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	236	33¢	$79	0xa6196f…
07-21 03:22:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xd439b8…
07-21 03:19:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0a1531…
07-21 01:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xda72c0…
07-21 01:47:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	87	28¢	$24	0x75c7e5…
07-21 01:40:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x884664…
07-21 00:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$3	0xb62c1e…
07-20 23:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x12eedd…
07-20 20:46:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x55c991…
07-20 20:46:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	43¢	$57	0xfa4d3f…
07-20 17:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5111d4…
07-20 16:17:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x28bc51…
07-20 16:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x7f8e58…
07-20 10:17:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	38¢	$61	0xd02dc2…
07-19 23:19:21	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x8fb799…
07-19 16:48:09	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	3¢	$5	0xd84dcd…
07-19 16:35:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	33¢	$40	0x559cab…
07-19 16:32:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	249	2¢	$6	0x0379e9…
07-19 16:25:16	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x7442bc…
07-19 13:41:31	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0xfcf186…
07-19 13:04:15	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	36¢	$41	0xde0e0e…
07-19 12:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x123324…
07-19 08:37:37	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0x6549b8…
07-19 08:34:16	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	34¢	$26	0xbdc755…
07-18 20:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0xa8ce14…
07-18 20:44:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	29¢	$17	0x64bd3e…
07-18 01:31:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	27¢	$36	0x3257c6…
07-18 00:14:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	251	16¢	$40	0xd5f8d0…
07-17 18:38:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	21¢	$22	0x6ead0b…
07-17 18:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	345	7¢	$24	0x422e24…
07-17 18:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	8¢	$28	0x9c6db7…
07-17 18:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	25¢	$30	0x4bc530…
07-17 17:23:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x958b65…
07-17 07:32:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xe883bf…
07-17 07:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	5¢	$6	0x50f870…
07-17 07:11:24	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0xedc16c…
07-17 06:59:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	18¢	$20	0xf645a3…
07-17 06:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xf128dc…
07-17 06:52:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	SELL	56	68¢	$38	0x9a5a07…
07-17 06:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf3cab1…
07-17 05:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xef1499…
07-17 05:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x10fdb6…
07-17 03:48:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	26¢	$27	0x868c5a…
07-17 02:28:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x3b7d25…
07-17 01:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xf214a3…