Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$287

Unrealized P&L

-$91

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

835

Trades

1,355

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$193

6 positions

First seen

2026-07-25

last 11-02 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

69% 48% -$299

Politics

17% 88% +$4

Sports

9% 48% +$29

Tech

3% 0% -$8

Crypto

2% 50% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	No	+105	$52	62¢	$65	+$13	10-26 17:28
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	Yes	+105	$66	38¢	$41	-$26	10-27 15:12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	+65	$46	56¢	$36	-$9	10-31 17:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	+71	$29	44¢	$31	+$2	10-31 17:33
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+21	$14	78¢	$16	+$2	11-01 11:11
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	+21	$78	22¢	$4	-$73	11-01 10:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	22	$1.4K	1,499	1,499	+0	open	—	10-27 14:41
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	39	$925	1,010	968	+42	open	—	11-01 11:11
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	5	$553	613	613	+0	open	—	10-10 10:59
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	37	$550	6,265	6,052	+213	Yes	-$24	10-27 19:33
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	16	$402	483	483	+0	open	—	10-20 06:56
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?	2	$371	253	253	+0	open	—	10-08 19:27
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	13	$308	394	327	+66	open	—	11-02 06:56
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?	24	$286	800	316	+484	Yes	-$27	10-20 07:26
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?	4	$229	317	106	+211	open	—	10-27 15:12
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	13	$224	318	168	+150	open	—	11-02 05:32
Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-16?	8	$187	144	144	+0	No	-$5	08-13 19:08
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	4	$178	348	29	+319	No	+$3	10-21 06:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	7	$154	204	108	+96	open	—	11-02 18:55
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	13	$122	131	87	+44	Yes	-$3	10-28 04:55
Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?	5	$111	129	84	+45	Yes	-$6	10-21 06:45
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	9	$105	200	64	+136	open	—	10-31 17:33
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	11	$92	84	73	+11	open	—	10-31 14:17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	4	$51	118	39	+79	Yes	-$2	08-31 12:21
Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	5	$45	51	51	+0	open	—	10-31 20:59
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	2	$43	85	0	+85	No	-$1	08-31 12:09
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-09?	10	$42	34	34	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 12:18
atp faria brooksb 2026 08 30	3	$42	112	0	+112	Jaime Faria	-$4	08-30 22:36
cs2 sashi vex1 2026 08 27	4	$41	82	0	+82	Sashi Esport	-$1	08-27 13:28
wta sawangk udvardy 2026 08 30	3	$40	79	0	+79	Mananchaya Sawangkaew	$0	08-31 16:29
wta navarro boisson 2026 08 30	2	$39	78	0	+78	Emma Navarro	+$0	08-31 05:12
atp batalla mashtak 2026 08 11	2	$38	22	22	+0	Oriol Roca Batalla	+$6	08-11 16:13
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?	2	$38	21	21	+0	No	+$4	08-11 19:03
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-09-02?	1	$37	40	0	+40	No	+$3	09-02 05:54
atp leong matsuda 2026 09 02	2	$37	72	0	+72	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	-$1	09-02 13:49
cfb morgst ncat 2026 08 29	2	$37	74	0	+74	Morgan State	-$3	08-28 06:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 18:55:07	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x187442…
11-02 18:51:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	48	24¢	$12	0x2bf6c2…
11-02 18:10:18	W50 Huamantla: Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin vs Giulia Alessia Monteleone	Amanda Carolina Nava Elkin	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3b8728…
11-02 06:56:57	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0x3d4eef…
11-02 06:02:16	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	49¢	$26	0x8baf51…
11-02 05:41:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0x03b59b…
11-02 05:41:09	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	39¢	$42	0x03b59b…
11-02 05:32:57	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	44	53¢	$23	0x357cc4…
11-02 05:28:31	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0xa664af…
11-02 05:25:37	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	11¢	$12	0xc66d10…
11-02 05:25:36	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x162315…
11-02 05:14:40	Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika	Omar Jasika	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7bbc9e…
11-02 05:04:30	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	70¢	$68	0x718894…
11-02 05:04:27	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb65ef2…
11-02 05:04:27	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xb65ef2…
11-02 05:04:25	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xfc2c84…
11-02 04:59:57	Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika	Omar Jasika	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa62f60…
11-02 03:22:07	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x398c19…
11-02 03:04:04	Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x9ca525…
11-02 02:46:54	W100 Incheon: eunchae Kim vs Erika Sema	Erika Sema	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9842d4…
11-02 01:57:58	Charlottesville: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Kenta Miyoshi	Kenta Miyoshi	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcb4ba1…
11-01 22:05:40	W75 Petange: Fanny Pire vs Tamila Gadamauri	Fanny Pire	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x81fdc8…
11-01 22:05:40	W75 Petange: Fanny Pire vs Tamila Gadamauri	Fanny Pire	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x39c610…
11-01 21:22:27	W75 Petange: Fanny Pire vs Tamila Gadamauri	Fanny Pire	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x887ccf…
11-01 20:07:07	Costa do Sauipe: Leonardo Storck Franca vs Jose Pereira	Leonardo Storck Franca	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x74cc99…
11-01 17:14:01	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x188dc3…
11-01 16:53:03	Will FC Arouca win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4ca67b…
11-01 16:47:40	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa0fde8…
11-01 14:52:36	Charlottesville: Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia	Giles Hussey	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xaf4f25…
11-01 14:36:36	Villa Maria: Rocco Valente vs Ryo Tabata	Ryo Tabata	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x4cc207…
11-01 14:34:28	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	25¢	$27	0xc50e97…
11-01 14:33:03	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	54	73¢	$39	0xe5e292…
11-01 14:33:03	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	27¢	$14	0xe5e292…
11-01 13:41:43	Charlottesville: Giles Hussey vs Samuel Heredia	Giles Hussey	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0787c0…
11-01 13:01:12	Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb32970…
11-01 12:55:36	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x3ae0f0…
11-01 12:47:37	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x524516…
11-01 12:40:03	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	Betclic Apogee Esports	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x532855…
11-01 12:24:09	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Playoffs	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4438d5…
11-01 12:19:57	atp valente tabata 2026 11 01	Ryo Tabata	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa10305…
11-01 11:11:40	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	50¢	$35	0xac04a4…
11-01 11:08:19	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	53¢	$19	0x9bbefa…
11-01 11:06:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	58¢	$62	0x05026f…
11-01 10:56:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0xd676c0…
11-01 10:56:54	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	87	27¢	$23	0xae17da…
11-01 10:56:51	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x4a78b9…
11-01 10:54:42	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	108	46¢	$49	0x1d2400…
11-01 10:47:22	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	79	47¢	$37	0xd7b10a…
11-01 10:46:27	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xef4e11…
11-01 10:46:27	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x83c8d6…
11-01 08:20:16	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	137	34¢	$47	0xbf6c1a…
11-01 08:18:06	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xaa7fdf…
11-01 08:13:51	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0x2eb615…
11-01 08:13:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x265262…
11-01 08:13:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x265262…
11-01 08:11:54	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0xacafa9…
11-01 08:10:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xb72017…
11-01 08:09:30	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$8	0x4147e9…
11-01 08:09:18	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x9f8fb8…
11-01 08:07:00	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?	No	SELL	49	56¢	$27	0x534269…
11-01 04:59:04	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x45683a…
11-01 04:55:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	24¢	$13	0xfdab52…
11-01 02:49:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0xf069aa…
11-01 02:28:19	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$13	0x5144b1…
11-01 01:57:36	M15 Yanagawa City: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Taiyo Yamanaka	Hikaru Shiraishi	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x58de94…
11-01 01:08:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	24	72¢	$17	0x674b9a…
11-01 01:08:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x632313…
11-01 00:46:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No	BUY	54	77¢	$41	0xa6302c…
10-31 21:52:43	UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Piera Rodriguez	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x08c691…
10-31 20:59:40	Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Yes	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0x74cad1…
10-31 20:37:46	Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Yes	BUY	23	32¢	$7	0xe5832e…
10-31 20:37:46	Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x140130…
10-31 17:33:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x375d54…
10-31 17:26:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xb13cf9…
10-31 17:26:25	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2ba0f8…
10-31 17:26:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x2ec73e…
10-31 17:26:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x4aeb10…
10-31 17:24:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x9fa239…
10-31 16:47:40	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	24¢	$13	0xdfe295…
10-31 16:22:52	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	30¢	$16	0x9f82c9…
10-31 14:17:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0x8ab2b3…
10-31 14:15:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xd8265c…
10-31 11:39:25	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xb5becc…
10-31 11:17:16	Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $6.50 on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa65f32…
10-31 10:51:51	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xee8651…
10-31 10:20:33	Chennai Open, Qualification: Mariia Tkacheva vs Rada Zolotareva	Rada Zolotareva	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xaf977d…
10-31 08:38:45	M15 Heraklion: Miles Jones vs Pablo Perez Ramos	Miles Jones	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2e9e93…
10-31 05:36:43	M15 Fergana: Digvijay Pratap Singh vs David Eichenseher	Digvijay Pratap Singh	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x285da4…
10-31 00:15:48	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Carole Monnet	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x804841…
10-30 22:48:09	Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0x6e6fba…
10-30 22:24:58	Will Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x6bfce0…
10-30 21:17:09	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x634bbf…
10-30 21:11:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x802d7b…
10-30 21:11:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0xc2642e…
10-30 21:11:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x486b4a…
10-30 17:32:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x1c709c…
10-30 16:44:25	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x38f598…
10-30 16:43:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	29	74¢	$21	0xf7668b…
10-30 16:43:49	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x715eba…
10-30 16:21:43	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xf12308…