Smug-Jockey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$330

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-04 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

36% 0% $-0

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

25% 67% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	01-14 03:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 07:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 08:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:56
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 03:29
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 10:13
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:48
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 07:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:10
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:37
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:39
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 06:16
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:49
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 04:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 08:31
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 03:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-11 08:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:50
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-12 03:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 00:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 07:27
bitcoin above 70k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 03:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:27:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa41d6a…
07-04 07:12:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0278b…
07-03 09:21:59	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x12d9c1…
07-03 09:09:40	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb0d15…
07-03 09:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x450683…
07-03 08:57:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x420910…
07-01 06:52:05	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc1637e…
07-01 06:49:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf0ca33…
07-01 06:35:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18eacb…
07-01 06:30:25	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4af813…
06-30 07:10:23	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf855a5…
06-30 06:58:20	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb0b73…
06-29 08:02:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf6f15f…
06-29 07:51:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7cd372…
06-27 07:56:53	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x20d039…
06-27 07:55:26	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x03f8fc…
06-27 07:46:07	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9cbea…
06-27 07:31:59	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x52190f…
06-26 08:44:44	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18696e…
06-26 08:44:14	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3321d3…
06-26 08:27:38	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ce972…
06-26 08:23:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xed5935…
06-25 07:27:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd5d082…
06-25 07:25:41	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbe330f…
06-25 07:14:32	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x673411…
06-25 07:10:10	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x959171…
06-24 08:58:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf02154…
06-24 08:25:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdb0754…
06-22 07:42:01	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xeb8711…
06-22 07:40:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x687162…
06-22 07:25:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa3eec2…
06-22 07:19:29	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f04ea…
06-21 07:37:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x07cd3f…
06-21 07:36:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x67a064…
06-21 07:22:17	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f5820…
06-21 07:19:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1be308…
06-18 07:50:38	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdbd1c7…
06-18 07:35:19	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x717a3d…
06-17 07:32:26	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfc7adb…
06-17 07:29:34	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa6a7cb…
06-17 07:17:17	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2ec760…
06-17 07:09:32	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9c357e…
06-16 07:48:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xed52ed…
06-16 07:47:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8dd69f…
06-16 07:28:31	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe54808…
06-16 07:23:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb66c3f…
06-13 08:33:09	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x37eecc…
06-13 08:14:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2b8788…
06-12 08:08:30	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4431e7…
06-12 07:51:31	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x928c13…
06-11 08:26:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1a2921…
06-11 08:22:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc977d1…
06-11 08:15:28	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xa267a2…
06-11 08:14:10	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x0f0c3f…
06-11 08:13:15	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x19abbe…
06-09 03:30:43	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x61954a…
06-09 03:26:25	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdf5653…
06-08 03:13:07	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8211e3…
06-08 03:09:00	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbcd1b7…
06-06 07:48:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x3a78e4…
06-06 07:25:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x96b8ad…
06-05 06:32:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x80fc6f…
06-05 06:30:55	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdf3cb0…
06-05 06:22:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xff1b11…
06-05 06:18:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x54bcaa…
06-04 07:22:00	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xcaff77…
06-04 07:02:15	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdaa803…
06-03 07:27:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe77d3a…
06-03 07:24:08	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x7169e4…
06-03 06:52:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0ed594…
06-03 06:28:33	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc74f78…
06-03 06:27:44	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25e5c4…
06-02 06:12:24	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1dc2eb…
06-02 04:37:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8eca18…
06-02 04:34:57	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfd1804…
05-30 07:08:45	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1e4740…
05-29 04:55:34	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58588a…
05-28 07:14:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x421492…
05-28 07:13:48	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0798f2…
05-28 07:02:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf4a697…
05-28 06:57:47	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8f4d6e…
05-27 08:19:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xaf6b24…
05-27 07:26:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x55880d…
05-25 06:23:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc43880…
05-25 06:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e429a…
05-22 07:50:33	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa56dc1…
05-22 07:38:01	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73b109…
05-22 07:24:22	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x285382…
05-21 07:49:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x803287…
05-21 07:39:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcbdd19…
05-20 07:17:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3b82fc…
05-20 06:53:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x882254…
05-19 06:06:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0cc474…
05-19 04:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x99f0f9…
05-18 08:15:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x570ca6…
05-18 08:06:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x287a3a…
05-16 06:46:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12493e…
05-16 06:40:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x587d7e…
05-15 06:20:13	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x35b73b…
05-15 06:03:29	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x177d3c…