Smug-Jockey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

392

lifetime

Volume

$391

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-25 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-0

Politics

31% — —

Crypto

25% 67% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	01-14 03:26
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 08:25
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 07:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 08:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-25 08:16
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:56
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 03:29
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 10:13
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 07:54
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 08:35
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:48
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-03 07:24
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:10
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:37
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:39
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 06:16
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:49
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 04:15
grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-08 07:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 08:31
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 03:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-11 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:26:19	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x76e689…
07-25 08:20:06	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdb271…
07-25 08:16:15	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6e6685…
07-25 08:11:27	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6b3ae0…
07-24 08:28:19	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x906efb…
07-24 08:16:39	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x647fba…
07-24 08:12:03	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x01a18e…
07-24 08:08:10	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0bab8c…
07-23 08:45:33	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6a08f8…
07-23 08:39:10	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c4a0f…
07-23 08:37:10	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x95e646…
07-23 08:33:04	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xce6891…
07-22 08:19:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7938fa…
07-22 08:03:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xf9818e…
07-22 07:57:31	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5ea7a9…
07-22 07:48:27	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x887191…
07-21 07:34:22	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5479f7…
07-21 07:24:48	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70f240…
07-20 08:25:28	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a9bc4…
07-20 08:15:27	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x998f0e…
07-20 08:09:13	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0xd59423…
07-20 08:06:57	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4a9526…
07-18 08:10:51	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x73d3b8…
07-18 08:01:21	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x01960d…
07-18 07:54:52	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbbe9d3…
07-18 07:45:46	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd5207b…
07-17 07:31:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8c6156…
07-17 07:21:27	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcde347…
07-16 08:39:05	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x58116f…
07-16 08:32:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc8c1fe…
07-16 08:28:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xb1bb56…
07-16 08:22:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5b023d…
07-15 08:36:22	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8b5651…
07-15 08:27:22	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb92500…
07-15 08:24:11	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x81091b…
07-15 08:15:17	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x723b91…
07-14 08:21:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x367003…
07-14 08:12:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7dc379…
07-14 08:00:46	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xee8a2b…
07-14 07:52:32	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd01ffb…
07-13 08:15:28	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8cb094…
07-13 08:02:22	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4eb5ce…
07-11 08:27:22	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd97b72…
07-11 08:19:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb9dd0a…
07-10 08:49:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9675c1…
07-10 08:31:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x247521…
07-10 08:27:26	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xfeb542…
07-10 08:15:23	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x628980…
07-09 07:53:46	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa353bd…
07-09 07:44:26	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x17b0e4…
07-09 07:37:19	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe9b70b…
07-09 07:27:46	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x720ffd…
07-08 07:56:35	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x484885…
07-08 07:46:16	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xeb30cf…
07-08 07:41:59	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8d1376…
07-08 07:33:34	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98909f…
07-07 08:19:20	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xce225a…
07-07 08:10:13	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb467c3…
07-07 08:05:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf21db1…
07-07 07:57:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x27bcd3…
07-06 08:35:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd375e0…
07-06 08:23:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa56da1…
07-04 07:27:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa41d6a…
07-04 07:12:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf0278b…
07-03 09:21:59	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x12d9c1…
07-03 09:09:40	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdb0d15…
07-03 09:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x450683…
07-03 08:57:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x420910…
07-01 06:52:05	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc1637e…
07-01 06:49:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf0ca33…
07-01 06:35:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x18eacb…
07-01 06:30:25	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4af813…
06-30 07:10:23	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf855a5…
06-30 06:58:20	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfb0b73…
06-29 08:02:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf6f15f…
06-29 07:51:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7cd372…
06-27 07:56:53	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x20d039…
06-27 07:55:26	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x03f8fc…
06-27 07:46:07	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe9cbea…
06-27 07:31:59	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x52190f…
06-26 08:44:44	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x18696e…
06-26 08:44:14	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3321d3…
06-26 08:27:38	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ce972…
06-26 08:23:11	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xed5935…
06-25 07:27:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd5d082…
06-25 07:25:41	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbe330f…
06-25 07:14:32	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x673411…
06-25 07:10:10	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x959171…
06-24 08:58:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf02154…
06-24 08:25:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdb0754…
06-22 07:42:01	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xeb8711…
06-22 07:40:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x687162…
06-22 07:25:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa3eec2…
06-22 07:19:29	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f04ea…
06-21 07:37:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x07cd3f…
06-21 07:36:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x67a064…
06-21 07:22:17	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f5820…
06-21 07:19:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1be308…
06-18 07:50:38	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdbd1c7…
06-18 07:35:19	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x717a3d…