Quiet-Loophole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$198

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$731

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-10 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

100% 12% -$198

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No		+25	$7	1¢	$0	-$7	09-10 20:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$300	667	+667	Yes	-$300	05-22 23:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$100	526	+526	Yes	+$426	02-27 12:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$100	370	+370	Yes	-$100	07-31 21:15
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	1	$50	312	+312	Yes	-$50	07-23 20:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	1	$50	854	+854	Yes	-$50	08-01 16:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	1	$50	357	+357	Yes	-$50	07-24 21:02
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$49	700	+700	No	-$49	02-27 12:12
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	1	$25	1,002	+1,002	Yes	-$25	07-23 11:46
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$7	25	+25	open	—	09-10 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 20:06:00	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0xf6369a…
08-01 16:52:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	854	6¢	$50	0xc6f2af…
07-31 21:15:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xaa27be…
07-24 21:02:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xbe2895…
07-23 20:06:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x2c3fb3…
07-23 11:46:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	1,002	2¢	$25	0x996d63…
05-22 23:19:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x97a743…
02-27 12:20:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xdb5eb4…
02-27 12:12:13	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	700	7¢	$49	0xb20f16…