Absolute-Beating — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

136

Trades

13,724

lifetime

Volume

$9.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-11 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 70% $-5

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 4737 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 5m 1775657700	22	$113	152	0	+152	open	—	04-08 14:17
xrp updown 15m 1775657700	17	$98	141	0	+141	open	—	04-08 14:17
sol updown 5m 1776093900	10	$25	34	24	+10	open	—	04-13 15:29
sol updown 5m 1776087900	25	$22	33	7	+27	open	—	04-13 13:48
sol updown 5m 1775656500	7	$17	15	10	+5	open	—	04-08 13:59
sol updown 5m 1775970000	3	$12	12	1	+11	open	—	04-12 05:04
sol updown 5m 1775724000	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 08:42
xrp updown 5m 1775766600	3	$10	10	10	+1	open	—	04-09 20:32
sol updown 5m 1775766600	3	$10	10	10	+1	open	—	04-09 20:31
sol updown 5m 1775967600	2	$10	10	1	+9	open	—	04-12 04:24
sol updown 5m 1775758500	5	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 18:18
xrp updown 15m 1775744100	3	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-09 14:16
sol updown 5m 1776096000	16	$9	8	6	+2	open	—	04-13 16:04
sol updown 5m 1775774700	3	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-09 22:46
sol updown 5m 1775734500	3	$9	8	7	+0	open	—	04-09 11:39
xrp updown 5m 1775682900	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 21:17
sol updown 15m 1775758500	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 18:20
sol updown 5m 1775759700	3	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	04-09 18:35
sol updown 5m 1775733900	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 11:27
xrp updown 5m 1775694600	3	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	04-09 00:30
sol updown 15m 1775682000	3	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-08 21:07
sol updown 15m 1775691000	3	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-08 23:36
sol updown 5m 1775743800	3	$7	7	5	+2	open	—	04-09 14:10
xrp updown 5m 1775772300	4	$7	7	6	+0	open	—	04-09 22:08
xrp updown 5m 1775664000	4	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 16:04
xrp updown 5m 1775707500	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 04:08
sol updown 5m 1775664000	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-08 16:04
sol updown 5m 1775747700	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 15:16
sol updown 5m 1776088800	21	$6	5	5	-0	open	—	04-13 14:03
sol updown 5m 1775732100	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 10:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:57:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x112cb1…
05-11 20:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x686ad8…
05-11 20:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x01b723…
05-11 20:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x6cc626…
05-11 20:31:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xd3ddf4…
05-11 20:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x3c5b2a…
05-11 20:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xbf4ce5…
05-11 20:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xf39712…
05-11 20:06:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xe43169…
05-11 20:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xb22667…
05-10 20:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xae0c89…
05-10 20:00:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x3e3594…
05-10 13:46:09	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xe8ac91…
05-10 13:41:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x21c541…
05-10 13:36:35	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xb1e2ca…
05-10 13:31:01	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x1aab25…
05-10 13:26:30	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x9ca522…
05-10 13:21:27	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa4864e…
05-10 13:16:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x5bf63f…
05-10 13:11:15	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xbc37fe…
05-10 13:06:22	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xa3fd31…
05-10 13:00:34	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x6b42f1…
05-10 08:21:37	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0xb4f4fd…
05-10 08:16:03	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x475cb7…
05-10 08:11:05	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x6d7d0b…
05-10 08:07:07	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xa38478…
05-10 08:00:30	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x55cad2…
05-09 21:56:52	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xeaec53…
05-09 21:21:12	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x26224b…
05-09 21:16:32	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xff82f0…
05-09 21:11:13	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xe29caa…
05-09 21:06:11	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xcca3fc…
05-09 21:02:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x25ba45…
05-09 20:55:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0xdf28de…
05-09 20:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x1f594b…
05-09 20:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xb3b21b…
05-09 20:41:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x87ee9c…
05-09 20:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x91b410…
05-09 20:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x6efd86…
05-09 20:26:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xbe6f45…
05-09 20:21:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xee331a…
05-09 20:16:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x0c7252…
05-09 20:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x7629f3…
05-09 20:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xadbd18…
05-09 20:02:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x51e69b…
05-09 13:56:38	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x430d1c…
05-09 13:51:18	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x45d9b1…
05-09 13:46:12	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x2f538c…
05-09 13:40:41	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xcadec1…
05-09 13:36:22	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xc91a32…
05-09 13:31:40	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x37d4fa…
05-09 13:16:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x64b3da…
05-09 08:51:37	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x582333…
05-09 08:46:06	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x9cf12a…
05-09 08:42:19	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xc23e04…
05-09 08:35:29	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x4f9c34…
05-09 08:31:05	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x643668…
05-09 08:26:55	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xc7d65f…
05-09 08:21:19	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xd69b9e…
05-09 08:17:00	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x950a54…
05-09 08:11:57	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xb436e0…
05-09 08:01:53	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xd5f4df…
05-08 20:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xbb6323…
05-08 20:36:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xf23ef8…
05-08 20:26:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xd3ac78…
05-08 20:21:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x6750ca…
05-08 20:06:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x2a0696…
05-08 20:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x8d831f…
05-08 13:06:14	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0xd23b4c…
05-08 13:02:16	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x91c840…
05-08 08:56:08	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xa13197…
05-08 08:51:30	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xb2f24a…
05-08 08:46:25	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x885ebc…
05-08 08:40:28	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd2a487…
05-08 08:36:06	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x9f3408…
05-08 08:31:13	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xd8e6a3…
05-08 08:26:44	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xacd83c…
05-08 08:21:04	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x7f9098…
05-08 08:16:05	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x37d9cf…
05-08 08:11:09	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xf3eeed…
05-08 08:00:45	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xf68242…
05-07 20:56:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x1f57ea…
05-07 20:51:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xc8400e…
05-07 08:56:00	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xf3b7bc…
05-07 08:51:51	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x4a9b2c…
05-07 08:46:21	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0xeaf3c8…
05-07 08:40:53	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x2b10f2…
05-07 08:37:04	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xf4a96b…
05-07 08:31:05	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x2d7792…
05-07 08:25:54	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xc536a7…
05-07 08:21:26	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x3590fd…
05-07 08:15:47	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x255b10…
05-07 08:10:28	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x803105…
05-07 08:06:06	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x0069c4…
05-06 20:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x07e482…
05-06 20:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x1721b6…
05-06 20:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x31304c…
05-05 20:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x329aa9…
05-05 20:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x530d00…
05-05 20:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xa4d42b…