Wiry-Cycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.2%

Resolved

Trades

475

lifetime

Volume

$415

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-07 00:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 15% $-94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 409 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	43	$49	291	0	+291	Up	$-37	05-07 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	40	$41	1,866	0	+1,866	Up	$-41	05-06 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	19	$23	18	19	-1	Up	$-4	05-06 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	22	$22	2,140	0	+2,140	Up	$-22	05-06 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	23	$19	1,026	5	+1,020	Up	$-9	05-06 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	8	$18	37	12	+25	Up	+$5	05-06 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	15	$17	46	46	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	16	$16	1,489	0	+1,489	Up	$-16	05-06 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	16	$16	1,632	0	+1,632	Up	$-16	05-06 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$15	123	21	+102	Up	+$11	05-06 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	53	$13	114	6	+109	Down	$-3	05-06 19:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	17	$10	28	2	+25	Down	$-5	05-06 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	14	$9	19	2	+17	Down	$-4	05-06 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	14	$9	21	2	+20	Down	$-6	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	8	$8	362	0	+362	Down	$-7	05-07 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$8	144	43	+100	Up	$-1	05-06 18:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	9	$7	12	1	+11	Up	$-1	05-06 22:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	13	$7	26	5	+21	Down	$-6	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	10	$7	12	1	+11	Down	+$1	05-06 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	6	$7	14	0	+14	Down	+$3	05-07 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	6	$6	112	0	+112	Down	$-6	05-07 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	10	$6	11	2	+9	Down	$-1	05-06 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$5	165	74	+92	Down	$-1	05-06 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$5	81	0	+81	Down	$-5	05-06 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	5	$5	234	0	+234	Up	$-5	05-06 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$5	8	2	+6	Up	+$0	05-06 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$5	510	0	+510	Up	$-5	05-06 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	5	$5	510	0	+510	Down	$-5	05-06 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-06 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$4	8	0	+8	Down	$-0	05-06 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 00:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xbadf15…
05-07 00:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc597e4…
05-07 00:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x4db707…
05-07 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xc59783…
05-07 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xb81abf…
05-07 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x7f2f07…
05-07 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x31912e…
05-07 00:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x199adb…
05-07 00:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xbeeb84…
05-07 00:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1c5636…
05-07 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd76250…
05-07 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x900607…
05-07 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x4ef9b9…
05-07 00:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x02e9ea…
05-07 00:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x234d82…
05-07 00:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x680ee4…
05-07 00:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b454e…
05-07 00:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1c174e…
05-07 00:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcb187c…
05-07 00:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x967031…
05-07 00:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf592f5…
05-07 00:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca79f8…
05-07 00:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x706082…
05-07 00:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xeb0998…
05-07 00:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xaec2a1…
05-07 00:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8bd8b0…
05-07 00:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x756309…
05-07 00:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x1476f0…
05-07 00:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x101b25…
05-07 00:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa30ca9…
05-07 00:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x896d9e…
05-07 00:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x727ebd…
05-07 00:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x414fc9…
05-07 00:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xd9935c…
05-07 00:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9b5aa8…
05-07 00:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x208704…
05-07 00:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x0ab2eb…
05-07 00:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf85c32…
05-07 00:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xde3cd7…
05-07 00:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xdcf12d…
05-07 00:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9020f9…
05-07 00:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x1fb4c2…
05-07 00:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdad8f8…
05-07 00:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xbf5c5d…
05-07 00:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x03e36c…
05-07 00:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9ce403…
05-07 00:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x768b3b…
05-07 00:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9004fd…
05-07 00:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf630e6…
05-07 00:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x50b3b9…
05-07 00:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6683b3…
05-07 00:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x090c7a…
05-07 00:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x08321e…
05-07 00:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc84a49…
05-07 00:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb6b8fa…
05-07 00:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x75d502…
05-07 00:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xf8c1e3…
05-07 00:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x02a9eb…
05-07 00:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x24cf9a…
05-07 00:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x36f99c…
05-07 00:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0af577…
05-07 00:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeefee7…
05-07 00:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf177a0…
05-07 00:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5c37ce…
05-07 00:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57ffa2…
05-07 00:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeca6f9…
05-06 23:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2ecc49…
05-06 23:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x252206…
05-06 23:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x6606fb…
05-06 23:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xc8b8f8…
05-06 23:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7b8615…
05-06 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xc00885…
05-06 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x94f4f0…
05-06 23:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x80d0d9…
05-06 23:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x8b5018…
05-06 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xe8630a…
05-06 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xb70652…
05-06 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x61e685…
05-06 23:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xffcc76…
05-06 23:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x5e5b71…
05-06 23:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x6e9620…
05-06 23:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xfd094e…
05-06 23:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xf6bb78…
05-06 23:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xd00563…
05-06 23:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x5d8fe1…
05-06 23:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x62ea59…
05-06 23:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x45cf74…
05-06 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x634a8e…
05-06 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x359f86…
05-06 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x1ebf88…
05-06 23:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x75033b…
05-06 23:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x4a9a35…
05-06 23:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x6b0e86…
05-06 23:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x8406a6…
05-06 23:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x48cdd5…
05-06 23:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xe96fb5…
05-06 23:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x5cdde3…
05-06 23:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xa3ef59…
05-06 23:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x7528d8…
05-06 23:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xee4769…