Watchful-Railing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

1,072

Trades

2,554

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-08 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 202 days

Categories

Other

88% 19% +$216

Politics

5% 11% -$49

Crypto

3% 50% -$11

Sports

3% 43% -$98

Tech

1% 0% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?	5	$356	256	256	+0	Yes	+$156	05-12 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?	5	$330	229	229	+0	Yes	+$121	05-08 08:03
highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 26c	7	$267	371	222	+149	No	-$209	04-12 07:35
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$265	200	200	+0	No	-$11	04-10 09:19
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$254	164	164	+0	Yes	-$37	03-24 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 7?	6	$249	175	175	+0	Yes	+$101	05-07 14:57
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 42m and 46m	6	$195	200	200	+0	Yes	-$1	03-09 09:38
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 28c	10	$190	179	167	+12	No	+$26	04-10 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?	4	$183	127	127	+0	Yes	+$71	04-30 15:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 13?	5	$172	199	199	+0	Yes	+$104	05-13 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 29?	7	$171	119	119	+0	Yes	+$65	05-29 09:37
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	4	$167	100	100	+0	Yes	-$11	06-03 08:03
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 20c	8	$164	136	132	+3	No	+$30	04-02 10:04
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 12c	9	$151	144	144	+0	No	-$1	03-21 10:13
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$150	172	0	+172	Yes	+$22	03-01 12:57
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	5	$150	127	127	+0	Yes	-$19	04-09 03:15
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 27c	10	$149	198	192	+6	No	-$7	04-10 06:16
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 24c	4	$144	137	135	+1	Yes	+$126	04-24 09:56
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$143	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	03-26 17:57
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	2	$141	105	105	+0	Yes	+$63	06-05 07:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 23c	3	$138	130	124	+5	Yes	+$94	04-22 07:45
nba hou por 2026 01 07	4	$137	101	101	+0	Trail Blazers	-$31	01-08 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?	2	$136	139	132	+7	Yes	+$133	04-27 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 2?	4	$136	150	150	+0	Yes	+$36	05-02 04:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 28?	3	$132	93	93	+0	Yes	+$52	05-28 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 30?	6	$123	112	112	+0	Yes	+$54	05-30 09:18
highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 18corbelow	2	$122	161	154	+7	Yes	+$76	04-14 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?	5	$118	220	121	+99	No	-$32	04-26 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 24?	7	$114	109	109	+0	Yes	+$74	05-24 12:41
highest temperature in beijing on april 12 2026 27c	6	$106	132	130	+3	Yes	-$51	04-12 07:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 05:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xa157b5…
11-08 05:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x72bb5f…
11-08 05:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 7°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x55350b…
11-07 15:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 6°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	51	11¢	$6	0xca812f…
11-07 15:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe0588b…
11-07 15:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xcb54b8…
11-07 15:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x3b0b87…
11-07 14:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xd2c396…
11-07 12:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x4c4197…
11-07 12:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x259982…
11-07 12:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x90abf9…
11-07 10:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0xd6cdbf…
11-07 10:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xddc97f…
11-07 10:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x7713ca…
11-07 10:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0x5af0de…
11-07 10:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x708f45…
11-07 09:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x6ea48d…
11-07 09:41:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xfb020e…
11-07 09:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x2669d0…
11-07 09:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbde23d…
11-07 09:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x71ab7c…
11-07 09:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x6a6da7…
11-07 09:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x1938f9…
11-07 08:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xdca480…
11-07 08:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	31	7¢	$2	0x9d6c2e…
11-07 07:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x7f1d75…
11-07 04:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xed2a29…
11-07 04:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0xa192ac…
11-07 04:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0x1f9da4…
11-06 16:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x9e4983…
11-06 14:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xc4857c…
11-06 14:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xfac1e1…
11-06 14:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x5e6628…
11-06 14:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x534040…
11-06 14:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0x19638b…
11-06 13:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on November 6?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xd71311…
11-06 13:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or higher on November 6?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xb0649b…
11-06 12:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	33	8¢	$3	0x967c80…
11-06 12:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x5b1396…
11-06 11:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x30addd…
11-06 11:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf6fbce…
11-06 11:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x727091…
11-06 10:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x2850f5…
11-06 05:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x07a203…
11-06 05:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x710322…
11-06 04:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	51	13¢	$6	0x46db33…
11-06 04:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0xd01b6b…
11-06 04:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x372e43…
11-06 04:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xf39df3…
11-06 04:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x83a658…
11-05 13:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x43f807…
11-05 13:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa325d0…
11-05 12:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x147c01…
11-05 12:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xbeac9c…
11-05 11:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$4	0xe0e842…
11-05 10:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xcdd56e…
11-05 10:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xb795b1…
11-05 09:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x932ce3…
11-05 04:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x9e188d…
11-05 04:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	52	12¢	$6	0x2c4a76…
11-05 04:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	52	8¢	$4	0x10cdba…
11-05 04:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$6	0xdfa3ac…
11-05 04:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0x8ddefb…
11-05 04:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xd6549e…
11-05 04:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x7bba3a…
11-05 04:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$2	0x0af6fe…
11-04 14:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x496aca…
11-04 12:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf5b933…
11-04 12:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xbf3b09…
11-04 12:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xeb86b6…
11-04 11:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x813798…
11-04 11:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x2f80f9…
11-04 11:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9ceac3…
11-04 11:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x2f4872…
11-04 11:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x15ccb0…
11-04 11:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x631723…
11-04 11:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6496c9…
11-04 11:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x584802…
11-04 06:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x8df5db…
11-04 05:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x103ae0…
11-04 05:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xcb8d18…
11-04 05:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xf6ad93…
11-04 05:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xdccdc4…
11-04 04:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0xf5e18d…
11-04 04:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	54	14¢	$8	0x21f6df…
11-04 04:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$2	0xff5259…
11-04 04:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x643cc6…
11-04 04:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$2	0x6ffde8…
11-03 14:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x0bdb70…
11-03 13:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x0557bc…
11-03 13:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x238067…
11-03 12:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xd7d8d8…
11-01 13:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x6e0861…
11-01 13:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xe53d61…
11-01 06:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	49	6¢	$3	0x3b51d6…
11-01 06:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x195727…
11-01 06:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$2	0xb28789…
10-31 15:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4ecdef…
10-31 15:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x8a27de…
10-31 04:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xd8d5f8…