Hefty-Upward — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

130

Trades

933

lifetime

Volume

$572.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$613

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 10-27 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Sports

95% 69% -$46,073

Crypto

5% 78% -$525

Other

0% 75% +$72

Politics

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	62	$122.1K	142,584	0	+142,584	Knicks	-$122,067	06-11 03:21
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	161	$90.8K	115,441	0	+115,441	Spurs	+$24,650	06-09 03:21
Spurs vs. Thunder	76	$79.8K	97,118	0	+97,118	Spurs	+$17,347	05-31 02:28
Thunder vs. Spurs	112	$69.5K	82,814	0	+82,814	Spurs	+$13,278	05-29 02:13
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	18	$68.6K	123,332	15,953	+107,379	Knicks	+$49,717	06-06 02:48
Spurs vs. Thunder	48	$55.6K	63,247	0	+63,247	Thunder	+$7,602	05-27 02:58
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	2	$30.0K	52,631	0	+52,631	Knicks	-$30,000	06-04 02:46
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$13.1K	16,666	16,666	+0	No	-$6,869	06-11 10:40
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$10.0K	10,185	0	+10,185	Spurs	+$185	05-25 01:57
Pelicans vs. Nuggets	15	$3.7K	2,368	2,368	+0	Nuggets	+$48	10-25 03:52
Warriors vs. Nuggets	2	$1.1K	714	714	+0	Warriors	+$86	10-27 03:54
ITF Fukui: Sera Nishimoto vs Yujin Kim	20	$1.0K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yujin Kim	+$99	05-27 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 02:15 UTC	11	$805	408	408	+0	Down	-$3	10-15 02:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 14:30 UTC	13	$748	440	440	-0	Down	-$32	09-30 14:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	5	$626	440	222	+217	Down	+$13	10-19 14:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 15:30 UTC	6	$404	204	204	+0	Down	+$0	10-14 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	5	$402	204	204	+0	Down	-$2	09-23 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	4	$389	197	197	+0	Up	+$0	10-20 13:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 18:15 UTC	11	$384	195	195	+0	Down	-$2	10-14 18:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 13:45 UTC	8	$381	295	91	+204	Up	+$1	09-29 13:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$370	217	217	+0	Up	-$43	10-16 18:57
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$369	204	204	+0	Down	-$18	10-26 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$369	206	206	+0	Down	-$40	10-20 14:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 12:45 UTC	14	$362	250	250	+0	Up	-$37	08-12 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$362	204	204	+0	Up	-$39	10-25 23:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC	2	$361	217	217	+0	Up	-$49	10-15 06:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	2	$359	206	206	+0	Down	-$42	10-15 01:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 08:15 UTC	3	$358	180	180	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 08:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:15 UTC	3	$348	217	217	+0	Up	-$35	09-21 12:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	5	$344	204	204	-0	Up	-$56	10-22 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:54:11	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	SELL	714	82¢	$585	0xe1131a…
10-27 03:45:54	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0x6c3e03…
10-26 13:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	201	98¢	$197	0xb576d2…
10-26 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x872a0e…
10-26 13:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x9089d9…
10-26 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x93a53c…
10-26 13:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	220	92¢	$202	0x31aec7…
10-26 13:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0xf2a6f0…
10-26 06:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xa86e95…
10-26 06:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7799e…
10-26 06:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa0fb8e…
10-26 06:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0x386efa…
10-26 03:58:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	174	86¢	$150	0x7d0af1…
10-26 03:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xfb8138…
10-26 03:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x11cba4…
10-26 03:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$24	0x816763…
10-26 03:58:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	178	95¢	$169	0x09b8c0…
10-26 03:58:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x940cb4…
10-26 01:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xf0091b…
10-26 01:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa7e915…
10-26 01:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x68f2f2…
10-26 01:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x1b5dcd…
10-26 01:28:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	182	62¢	$113	0x904280…
10-26 01:28:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0x728e76…
10-26 01:27:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	86¢	$18	0x22127c…
10-26 01:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xbbd942…
10-26 01:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0a9cf2…
10-26 01:27:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2fc7b3…
10-26 01:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe68579…
10-26 01:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9216e9…
10-26 01:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	98¢	$50	0x758678…
10-26 01:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5bf680…
10-26 01:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x1c2f9c…
10-26 00:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	78	94¢	$74	0xbc1734…
10-26 00:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x968802…
10-26 00:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	79	94¢	$74	0x528e89…
10-26 00:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb159fb…
10-26 00:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9d3b16…
10-26 00:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8c13dc…
10-26 00:41:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x40d271…
10-26 00:12:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x4ecd1d…
10-26 00:12:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	96¢	$95	0xe34f1a…
10-26 00:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x376cca…
10-26 00:12:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0x4b2f4e…
10-25 23:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x95faa7…
10-25 23:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb9d9fe…
10-25 23:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	54	41¢	$22	0x817faa…
10-25 23:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	44	41¢	$18	0x5e801b…
10-25 23:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	41¢	$21	0x5bbecf…
10-25 23:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	47	41¢	$19	0x4f6935…
10-25 23:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x4ce760…
10-25 23:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x0ad950…
10-25 23:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	204	79¢	$161	0x4407c0…
10-25 23:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0xe06f83…
10-25 23:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	84¢	$26	0x220394…
10-25 23:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	170	84¢	$142	0x00db8c…
10-25 23:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	134	99¢	$132	0xcf4f43…
10-25 23:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x006bce…
10-25 03:52:09	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	1,258	93¢	$1,170	0xaaaaf1…
10-25 03:52:06	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xacd349…
10-25 03:52:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	149	93¢	$138	0xd9f823…
10-25 03:52:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xbef690…
10-25 03:52:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xb58d9c…
10-25 03:52:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	140	93¢	$130	0x934906…
10-25 03:52:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	144	93¢	$134	0x7fbad5…
10-25 03:52:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x046182…
10-25 03:48:29	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	555	84¢	$466	0x39ad85…
10-25 03:44:00	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	994	70¢	$696	0x11758f…
10-25 03:43:59	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x488720…
10-25 03:42:05	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	85	66¢	$56	0xcf8eed…
10-25 03:41:36	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	173	67¢	$116	0x6c9592…
10-25 03:40:42	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	SELL	555	31¢	$172	0xd51b09…
10-25 03:16:41	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	555	85¢	$472	0x74840f…
10-24 17:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x49c058…
10-24 17:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x533035…
10-24 16:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xab95e5…
10-24 16:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x25b13c…
10-24 16:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x96864e…
10-24 16:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2c0774…
10-24 16:13:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	117	96¢	$112	0xd20cd1…
10-24 16:13:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x41177d…
10-24 14:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	211	97¢	$204	0xf9e5cb…
10-23 12:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x467180…
10-23 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	204	90¢	$184	0xb428c6…
10-23 01:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0x69d73e…
10-23 01:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x10ceec…
10-23 01:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x7aa645…
10-23 01:42:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	209	96¢	$199	0x4211d0…
10-23 01:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x929026…
10-23 01:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x62603e…
10-23 01:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	68	98¢	$66	0x61c65e…
10-23 01:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3c8bf8…
10-23 01:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd288c9…
10-23 01:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xc3c1dd…
10-23 01:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xaa42d9…
10-23 01:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa11638…
10-23 01:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x2d0abb…
10-22 19:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	206	96¢	$197	0xe09170…
10-22 18:27:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	204	71¢	$144	0x87638f…
10-22 18:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x61e895…