Watchful-Preface — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.2%

Resolved

2,012

Trades

3,405

lifetime

Volume

$38.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-12 22:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% -$204

Other

0% 60% +$10

Sports

0% 33% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC	31	$366	211	200	+12	Down	+$18	03-18 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:45 UTC	32	$310	226	195	+31	Down	+$20	03-18 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:35 UTC	27	$274	150	149	+1	Up	+$5	03-18 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:25 UTC	1	$259	262	0	+262	Down	+$3	04-06 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:45 UTC	1	$259	262	0	+262	Down	-$259	04-06 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:15 UTC	1	$259	262	0	+262	Down	+$3	04-06 00:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 06:55 UTC	17	$258	138	136	+2	Down	+$9	03-18 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:20 UTC	1	$254	262	0	+262	Up	+$8	04-06 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 00:30 UTC	1	$254	262	0	+262	Down	+$8	04-06 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 01:10 UTC	1	$250	262	0	+262	Down	+$12	04-06 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:05 UTC	31	$242	219	186	+33	Up	-$25	03-18 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:55 UTC	20	$215	124	120	+4	Down	+$9	03-18 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:40 UTC	22	$180	155	149	+7	Down	-$30	03-18 13:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:15 UTC	18	$172	110	102	+8	Up	+$1	03-18 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:25 UTC	10	$167	94	93	+1	Down	+$16	03-18 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:50 UTC	22	$165	134	133	+1	Down	-$14	03-18 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 14:10 UTC	11	$165	99	95	+4	Down	+$19	03-18 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 08:00 UTC	33	$160	105	101	+4	Up	-$15	03-18 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:30 UTC	11	$156	83	83	+0	Down	+$6	03-18 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 07:25 UTC	14	$140	81	67	+14	Down	+$4	03-18 07:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:30 UTC	1	$140	141	0	+141	Down	+$1	04-05 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:00 UTC	1	$140	141	0	+141	Up	+$1	04-05 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:35 UTC	1	$140	141	0	+141	Down	+$1	04-05 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 21:45 UTC	1	$140	141	0	+141	Up	+$1	04-05 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-05 23:45 UTC	1	$140	141	0	+141	Up	+$1	04-05 23:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 23:50 UTC	1	$140	141	0	+141	Up	+$1	04-05 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:45 UTC	1	$139	141	0	+141	Down	+$2	04-05 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 22:50 UTC	1	$138	141	0	+141	Down	+$3	04-05 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 23:25 UTC	1	$138	141	0	+141	Up	+$3	04-05 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:05 UTC	15	$137	111	99	+12	Up	+$17	03-18 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 22:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x17eb21…
06-12 19:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x62143b…
06-12 13:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5cbf8f…
06-12 10:15:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbecc79…
06-12 01:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x71dc89…
06-12 01:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd766d6…
06-12 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xde93d5…
06-12 00:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x276b88…
06-11 06:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x001584…
06-10 22:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x52d644…
06-10 18:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe9da84…
06-10 05:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7b73a9…
06-09 21:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc1b360…
06-09 19:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc48b95…
06-09 18:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdaf35a…
06-09 13:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xfbf01a…
06-08 18:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbb255b…
06-08 17:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2a5955…
06-08 16:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xe6f2b2…
06-08 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd489fe…
06-08 02:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcc8015…
06-07 22:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3dfcba…
06-07 18:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xe8fffb…
06-07 17:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x833355…
06-07 11:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x01ea5b…
06-07 03:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x312a4f…
06-06 20:20:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x162c69…
06-06 20:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xff493a…
06-06 14:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6744dc…
06-06 07:00:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd859ab…
06-06 04:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x659717…
06-06 04:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0b189a…
06-02 20:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd75438…
06-02 19:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5f7ce3…
06-02 14:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x69a013…
06-02 08:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5194bc…
06-01 13:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xea89f8…
06-01 12:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x56ec79…
06-01 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2bb329…
06-01 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x975b4c…
06-01 04:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7ea094…
06-01 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xcd7119…
06-01 02:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x9f59b5…
06-01 01:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xb7e92b…
06-01 00:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9ba108…
05-31 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x1d31af…
05-31 15:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbcd67c…
05-31 15:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2f78c0…
05-31 13:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc16c7c…
05-31 10:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xaa28cb…
05-31 09:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x73b1ee…
05-31 08:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf185ea…
05-30 23:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3bbd7e…
05-30 21:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf6741e…
05-30 17:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xefd876…
05-30 14:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb47616…
05-30 12:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xf5e195…
05-30 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xda4ccf…
05-30 05:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xeca5a0…
05-29 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x98c8a1…
05-29 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x135dec…
05-29 10:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x19aa1e…
05-29 01:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x9e61b0…
05-27 18:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x277250…
05-27 01:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xce3d69…
05-26 23:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc96347…
05-26 04:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x70a639…
05-25 20:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xfcdee6…
05-25 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xc90bcd…
05-24 07:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xa2a9c4…
05-23 21:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x68c093…
05-23 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x97d765…
05-23 16:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1c1094…
05-23 15:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x420f48…
05-23 07:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0c5242…
05-23 01:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x005d0e…
05-23 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf95eb8…
05-22 18:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1c0ace…
05-22 14:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x0debba…
05-22 14:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x56db15…
05-22 14:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x354bc9…
05-22 13:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	90¢	$41	0x5a56cd…
05-22 13:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0x2602c3…
05-22 13:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xc9c5ee…
05-22 07:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xe15dd7…
05-22 00:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf9c601…
05-21 20:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe9c373…
05-21 18:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xda1f1f…
05-21 17:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xf55f5b…
05-21 17:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x7ed6e6…
05-21 13:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe95275…
05-20 14:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x47df7d…
05-20 14:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x6fa516…
05-20 08:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0b55da…
05-19 21:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe5165b…
05-19 10:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xca8410…
05-19 06:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a442f…
05-19 02:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xce6a40…
05-19 02:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x00ab30…
05-18 17:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8d4844…