Frigid-Coil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

114

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$262

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-09 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 46% -$66

Other

44% 21% -$70

Politics

1% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$41	51	0	+51	Up	-$39	05-09 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:25 UTC	2	$10	22	0	+22	Down	-$1	04-18 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:50 UTC	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	-$10	04-18 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:15 UTC	2	$10	23	0	+23	Down	+$5	04-18 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	04-18 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:55 UTC	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	04-18 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:30 UTC	2	$7	64	0	+64	Down	-$7	04-18 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:20 UTC	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	-$5	04-18 23:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:10 UTC	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	-$5	04-18 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:35 UTC	1	$5	26	0	+26	Down	-$5	04-18 23:36
Will there be exactly 3 major space weather events this week?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	04-25 18:30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 27?	3	$4	70	66	+3	No	-$4	04-27 03:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 27?	2	$4	373	0	+373	No	-$4	04-26 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 27?	2	$4	11	0	+11	No	-$4	04-26 10:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$3	6	2	+4	Down	-$1	05-09 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 19:08
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$2	1,250	0	+1,250	No	-$2	04-29 16:08
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 27?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	04-26 02:30
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 27?	1	$2	141	0	+141	No	-$2	04-26 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 27?	1	$2	52	0	+52	No	-$2	04-26 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 27?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	04-26 10:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	04-26 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	04-26 02:30
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	04-26 10:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 27?	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	04-26 10:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 19:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x6aa582…
05-09 19:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x455b03…
05-09 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x85ddd3…
05-09 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe3ebe2…
05-09 19:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97213d…
05-09 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6e26dd…
05-09 19:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8afdab…
05-09 19:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x2c2187…
05-09 19:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3baa53…
05-09 19:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd0436…
05-09 19:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x97b134…
05-09 19:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xba4d49…
05-09 19:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x71fa31…
05-09 19:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x62e92f…
05-09 19:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa866a2…
05-09 19:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x784e3a…
05-09 19:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3c6a90…
05-09 19:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xefa4f2…
05-09 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c4052…
05-09 18:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x6daf7e…
05-09 18:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe9b53f…
05-09 18:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x2d8a63…
05-09 18:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x982f67…
05-08 18:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 10?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x14b4cf…
05-06 19:37:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xef56eb…
05-06 19:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x80370d…
05-06 19:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf7ecf4…
05-06 19:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd27fe7…
05-06 18:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe3bfe1…
05-06 18:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x77b206…
05-06 18:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xe96eb0…
05-06 18:16:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x50ba3b…
05-06 18:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaa4e6d…
05-06 18:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1aea6e…
05-01 03:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xea3ce7…
05-01 03:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x42a911…
05-01 03:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x59ab3d…
05-01 03:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x898c12…
04-29 16:08:46	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8a8eff…
04-29 15:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x24f0f3…
04-29 15:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x007e21…
04-29 15:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb02757…
04-29 15:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7b0226…
04-29 15:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on April 30?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4c5d73…
04-29 15:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x72355a…
04-29 15:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x987165…
04-29 15:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcb348c…
04-29 15:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x7feb0b…
04-29 15:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x29161f…
04-29 15:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x43ffd9…
04-29 15:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0841ec…
04-29 15:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9ff23b…
04-29 15:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or higher on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf0f26a…
04-29 15:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5c5fea…
04-29 15:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x097bed…
04-29 15:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 55°F or below on April 30?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9c9af6…
04-29 15:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3ff400…
04-29 15:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5766b8…
04-29 15:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa5a1c5…
04-29 15:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc84dfe…
04-29 15:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xbfc133…
04-29 15:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb7fd82…
04-29 15:41:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3c9cd9…
04-29 15:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 30?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xde911b…
04-29 15:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on April 30?	No	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x236b34…
04-27 05:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x313827…
04-27 05:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	127	1¢	$1	0x61085c…
04-27 05:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1b6323…
04-27 05:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x472cce…
04-27 05:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0e9a9e…
04-27 05:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x879c3c…
04-27 05:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xdd7643…
04-27 05:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x699208…
04-27 05:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x51deef…
04-27 05:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x40ab7d…
04-27 05:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xadbbdd…
04-27 05:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x80849d…
04-27 05:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x421d6e…
04-27 05:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3a56f9…
04-27 05:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xef6c72…
04-27 05:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x031607…
04-27 05:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x9d221b…
04-27 05:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x17dca3…
04-27 05:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x412e89…
04-27 05:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x8fa2d8…
04-27 05:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x52caf1…
04-27 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x267b06…
04-27 05:32:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfc6319…
04-27 05:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x01a3de…
04-27 05:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbef5d0…
04-27 05:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x38cba0…
04-27 05:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x591bdf…
04-27 03:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	66	1¢	$0	0x8be80d…
04-26 10:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x4f4d06…
04-26 10:53:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x62b6aa…
04-26 10:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x718b9b…
04-26 10:53:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x0cc393…
04-26 10:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb53a05…
04-26 10:53:02	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xa5fcc0…
04-26 10:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$2	0x9ea1b3…