Questionable-Organizing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.4%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$734

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-29 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Crypto

21% 100% +$1

Politics

8% 0% $-2

Sports

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	57	$77	667	677	-10	open	—	05-13 18:44
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	2	$65	45	45	+0	open	—	06-24 00:57
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	2	$61	42	42	+0	open	—	06-23 00:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	15	$56	208	208	+0	open	—	05-14 11:45
fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	2	$33	109	109	+0	open	—	06-23 01:52
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	1	$30	94	0	+94	open	—	06-28 03:49
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 08:10
fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$30	86	0	+86	open	—	06-24 15:29
fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	1	$30	115	0	+115	open	—	06-24 15:29
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	1	$30	103	0	+103	open	—	06-24 15:53
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	1	$30	103	0	+103	open	—	06-24 15:54
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	1	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	06-23 14:27
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	2	$26	83	83	+0	open	—	06-27 01:55
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	1	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	06-28 03:55
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	1	$25	114	0	+114	open	—	06-28 04:04
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	1	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	06-24 15:30
fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	1	$20	125	0	+125	open	—	06-27 02:04
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	4	$17	14	8	+6	open	—	05-14 17:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	9	$11	178	203	-25	No	$-1	05-10 20:29
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	8	$10	94	94	+0	open	—	05-14 16:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	3	$8	42	42	+0	open	—	05-10 18:58
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 13:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$7	28	28	+0	open	—	05-10 18:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$7	60	60	+0	open	—	05-10 18:50
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 16:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$5	24	24	+0	open	—	05-10 18:56
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	6	$5	22	22	+0	open	—	05-14 16:42
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	5	$5	75	75	+0	open	—	05-11 16:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	17	17	+0	open	—	05-10 18:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 18:19:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 2pt5	Japan	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5f7b55…
06-29 17:42:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 2pt5	Japan	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xed4411…
06-28 04:04:19	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x86b9b8…
06-28 03:55:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x3fbcda…
06-28 03:49:44	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Canada	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x53cc94…
06-27 02:04:08	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x45e5e4…
06-27 01:55:44	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	SELL	83	7¢	$6	0x3ae324…
06-27 00:25:05	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	Spain	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xd69a2b…
06-25 08:10:52	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	United States	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xb48f80…
06-24 15:54:32	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x42ec1a…
06-24 15:53:38	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Germany	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xf433ad…
06-24 15:30:56	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x6442b9…
06-24 15:29:38	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0x45ff79…
06-24 15:29:11	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xc36f64…
06-24 00:57:19	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x2cb760…
06-23 14:28:20	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xd32214…
06-23 14:27:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Uzbekistan	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x73d491…
06-23 01:52:52	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Norway	SELL	109	7¢	$8	0x56d78d…
06-23 00:48:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x8a419a…
06-22 10:02:16	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x9e8ddb…
06-22 10:01:02	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe41641…
05-24 15:33:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xe04d45…
05-24 14:32:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x4feb14…
05-15 13:24:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x2994c3…
05-14 17:38:53	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x9a46a5…
05-14 17:08:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe3c0f7…
05-14 16:42:37	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0xf473a2…
05-14 16:42:22	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x2bda29…
05-14 16:40:30	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x5ffc06…
05-14 16:40:12	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xde4d65…
05-14 16:35:11	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x2d1cd2…
05-14 16:34:59	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x3724ce…
05-14 16:32:35	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4bb008…
05-14 16:30:49	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x99c10f…
05-14 16:24:08	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x43302c…
05-14 16:18:44	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x643ace…
05-14 16:00:20	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x3868e0…
05-14 15:33:30	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xa9def0…
05-14 15:14:39	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x004a0c…
05-14 15:14:38	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x2ede43…
05-14 15:14:01	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x341149…
05-14 15:13:57	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xc0da62…
05-14 11:45:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x3f26cd…
05-14 09:41:41	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavs	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x622383…
05-14 09:39:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbdc466…
05-14 09:37:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1511ac…
05-14 09:29:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xd17a59…
05-14 07:20:09	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0xe11be1…
05-14 07:20:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x3e995d…
05-13 18:44:28	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x9c439f…
05-13 17:24:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf186f6…
05-13 14:16:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x6402d2…
05-12 16:41:39	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5140c0…
05-12 16:38:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xab3bb2…
05-11 18:14:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0xe14e01…
05-11 17:39:25	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xc828ef…
05-11 17:36:07	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xaa3f01…
05-11 16:56:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xfdfd68…
05-11 14:39:26	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xfd597f…
05-11 13:37:46	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x59d953…
05-11 13:37:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x61d655…
05-11 12:49:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xde6b86…
05-11 10:50:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xb67aae…
05-11 08:30:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xd61269…
05-11 08:24:19	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xa86411…
05-11 08:13:39	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x6f139a…
05-11 07:39:08	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xcbb1f5…
05-11 07:28:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xa805f8…
05-11 07:09:22	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x907f5d…
05-11 07:05:18	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xd22a90…
05-11 05:49:25	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x0a169a…
05-11 05:29:24	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xae8fea…
05-11 03:55:29	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0x06353c…
05-11 03:11:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x88d57e…
05-11 03:08:02	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x2d0ed4…
05-11 03:07:59	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x85a55c…
05-11 02:15:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xcde259…
05-11 01:36:46	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x6cffc6…
05-11 01:34:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xe96adf…
05-11 01:32:48	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x2a9a1d…
05-11 01:29:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x77e57b…
05-11 01:24:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xb2f93c…
05-11 01:24:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xf59a4e…
05-11 01:22:36	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x1b4287…
05-11 01:16:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x494174…
05-11 01:15:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xb34534…
05-11 00:52:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x6bad98…
05-11 00:36:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xf2ef48…
05-11 00:29:20	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x33d589…
05-10 22:34:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x94a2a7…
05-10 22:33:49	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x7f8f34…
05-10 22:28:07	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x802259…
05-10 22:18:25	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x392fd4…
05-10 22:18:07	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x4c724c…
05-10 22:10:44	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x699547…
05-10 21:04:25	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x0713db…
05-10 20:59:22	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xf9ad86…
05-10 20:49:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xbc885f…
05-10 20:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0xec9f81…
05-10 20:40:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x355703…