Chubby-Haze — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$809

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

6.9%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$186

Open exposure

$170

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-27 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% -$3

Other

21% 38% +$812

Sports

18% 17% -$1

Crypto

10% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No		-170	-$168	100¢	$-169	-$1	06-24 09:20
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-170	-$1	0¢	$-1	+$1	06-24 09:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$3.2K	1,622	1,622	+0	open	—	05-21 12:12
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$2.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	06-22 20:18
will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	2	$2.2K	1,089	1,089	+0	No	-$1	06-22 19:04
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$2.1K	1,079	1,079	+0	open	—	06-23 16:48
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$2.1K	1,073	1,073	+0	No	-$1	06-24 08:53
Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	3	$1.7K	871	871	+0	No	-$1	05-20 08:52
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$1.7K	859	859	+0	No	-$1	05-21 12:41
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	3	$1.7K	840	840	+0	No	-$1	05-18 23:05
Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	3	$1.6K	808	808	+0	No	-$1	05-20 09:41
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$1.6K	802	802	+0	open	—	05-21 11:39
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$1.6K	797	797	+0	open	—	05-18 22:25
cs2 hero mglz 2026 07 24	1	$494	1,176	0	+1,176	TheMongolz	+$682	07-24 05:05
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	6	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	10-27 00:08
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	3	$205	103	103	+0	No	$0	10-15 00:43
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	3	$177	89	89	+0	open	—	10-23 16:47
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$170	0	340	-340	open	—	06-24 09:40
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$164	88	88	+0	open	—	05-24 17:37
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$152	77	77	+0	open	—	10-17 09:52
cs2 m80 nip 2026 07 21	1	$137	268	0	+268	NIP	+$131	07-21 03:10
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$131	66	66	+0	No	$0	06-30 00:23
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	4	$130	66	66	+0	open	—	05-20 09:31
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?	3	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	10-21 10:41
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$124	62	62	+0	open	—	06-22 20:09
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?	3	$107	53	53	+0	No	+$0	06-26 02:20
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	3	$96	48	48	+0	No	$0	06-23 17:49
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$93	47	47	+0	No	$0	05-21 12:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$85	43	43	+0	Yes	+$0	06-23 17:59
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$79	40	40	+0	open	—	05-22 04:51
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	06-27 00:05
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	10-21 10:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:08:12	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x24ef83…
10-26 23:59:32	Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd40d55…
10-26 23:52:03	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xa4fab7…
10-26 23:45:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x445ef0…
10-26 23:37:38	Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe448fd…
10-26 23:24:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x21290f…
10-26 23:14:21	Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0db189…
10-26 23:08:29	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1cc519…
10-23 16:47:57	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xdc1db5…
10-23 16:39:18	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x75ac7d…
10-23 15:30:00	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xb1ee5f…
10-23 13:19:32	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x317918…
10-23 13:02:59	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaa12c7…
10-23 12:54:11	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xddd312…
10-23 12:47:14	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x96aa8c…
10-23 12:19:29	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x361889…
10-23 12:03:06	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7ee7a2…
10-21 10:41:39	Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x081634…
10-21 10:35:20	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$34	0x6311a7…
10-21 10:21:21	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x43b5ee…
10-21 10:13:23	Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x173b09…
10-21 10:06:05	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe16944…
10-21 10:00:27	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc56d8e…
10-21 09:53:48	Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1efd2c…
10-21 09:38:48	Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4a68a3…
10-21 09:31:21	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5bf210…
10-17 09:52:14	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x359ad1…
10-17 09:43:57	Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x76b11c…
10-17 09:35:39	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0xb92a78…
10-17 09:29:48	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0xedb66a…
10-17 09:21:33	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x793b47…
10-17 09:15:18	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbe0084…
10-17 09:08:09	Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2e5a4c…
10-17 08:58:20	Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1aedc9…
10-17 08:50:23	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x291070…
10-15 00:43:58	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x66d442…
10-15 00:33:44	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x4ac29a…
10-15 00:24:13	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9f64e9…
10-15 00:16:43	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9b536f…
10-15 00:08:46	Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd3c2c1…
10-14 23:59:42	Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x54ab6c…
10-14 23:53:42	Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x5f2416…
07-24 05:05:09	cs2 hero mglz 2026 07 24	TheMongolz	BUY	1,176	42¢	$494	0x97db90…
07-21 03:10:33	cs2 m80 nip 2026 07 21	NIP	BUY	268	51¢	$137	0xd317f4…
06-30 00:23:59	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$65	0x03b2cf…
06-30 00:15:52	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x7deb46…
06-29 23:59:56	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7c3aa6…
06-29 23:50:34	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xa9eb93…
06-29 23:40:35	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xda986f…
06-29 23:32:59	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x844e48…
06-29 23:25:35	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6a9032…
06-29 23:16:44	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x786d64…
06-29 23:00:32	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x8d641c…
06-27 00:05:46	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x8d6715…
06-27 00:00:25	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4e966c…
06-26 23:50:32	Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x266e59…
06-26 23:40:22	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x45bc84…
06-26 02:20:11	Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x832e97…
06-24 09:40:31	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$1	0xe5b54d…
06-24 09:31:02	Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfd9d14…
06-24 09:20:46	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0xe4d2bd…
06-24 09:00:14	Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x280f5a…
06-24 08:53:44	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	772	99¢	$766	0xb61d65…
06-24 08:43:38	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	301	99¢	$299	0x8e2dd7…
06-24 08:37:31	Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x61e45e…
06-24 08:26:19	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,073	99¢	$1,066	0xba97a6…
06-23 17:59:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xa5e696…
06-23 17:49:28	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x9321fc…
06-23 17:27:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x61710f…
06-23 17:12:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x60e359…
06-23 16:59:13	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x5c7a37…
06-23 16:48:52	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	815	99¢	$809	0x4cf783…
06-23 16:38:22	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	263	99¢	$261	0x1e7e49…
06-23 16:31:47	Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc71753…
06-23 16:24:10	Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,079	99¢	$1,071	0x167010…
06-22 20:18:16	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1,150	99¢	$1,142	0x6f710d…
06-22 20:09:52	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x8a6628…
06-22 20:02:31	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f36ec…
06-22 19:56:34	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1,130	99¢	$1,124	0xb62f72…
06-22 19:46:29	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x238fa8…
06-22 19:37:53	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xd37134…
06-22 19:28:41	Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x3995e8…
06-22 19:13:20	Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x106d1c…
06-22 19:04:04	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,089	100¢	$1,087	0x3a6d8b…
06-22 18:56:05	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x777496…
06-22 18:45:52	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,088	0xea2a9a…
05-24 17:37:18	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	88	94¢	$82	0x4115a7…
05-24 17:28:51	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	71	94¢	$66	0xac1440…
05-24 17:20:06	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x464cba…
05-24 17:10:11	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0x61d585…
05-24 16:54:01	Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x334055…
05-24 16:43:17	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x1bc626…
05-24 16:32:58	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x013cee…
05-24 16:26:01	Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbb367d…
05-24 15:36:40	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0x7dcf54…
05-22 04:59:15	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x74319f…
05-22 04:51:11	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xab0067…
05-22 04:42:33	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x8230c1…
05-22 04:36:01	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xcfd3ac…
05-22 04:28:59	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x0c72a3…